Cooling

Notables:

Airline fares (+6.5%): Biggest monthly mover, showing sharp volatility and a strong rebound after prior weakness.

Cereals & bakery products (+1.2%): Largest grocery-category gain, contributing to remaining food inflation pressure.

Utility (piped) gas service (+1.0%): Energy services rose even as overall energy fell, highlighting internal energy divergence.

Hospital services (+0.9%): Medical services continued firm gains, reinforcing sticky services inflation.

Shelter rose 0.2% m/m, continuing to add steady pressure to core inflation even as the pace eased from prior months.


Fuel oil (-5.7%): Largest monthly decline, driven by energy price weakness.

Gasoline (all types) (-3.2%): Key downside driver that pulled headline CPI lower for the month.

Used cars & trucks (-1.8%): Continued deflation trend in autos helped offset strong services inflation.

Motor vehicle insurance (-0.4%): Notable pullback after sustained prior gains, providing some relief within transportation costs.


This may not change the Fed’s near-term stance because core inflation remains firm (+0.3% m/m) and services inflation, especially shelter and medical care, is still sticky. While falling energy prices helped cool headline CPI, the Fed will likely view that as volatile and temporary rather than a sign of broad disinflation. Overall, the data might support the Fed maintaining their wait-and-see approach, tilted toward holding rates steady at the next meeting.

Not what mental liberals wanted to hear

Incredible analysis.

Looking forward to your further genius insights

Mortgage delinquencies and the big drop in home sales may have something to do with it.

People will be happy to know that, although they have no job or house, prices are no longer rising as much. Winning!

Ran this past AI.....let's see how it did.....



please summarize the report released at this website: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/arc...i_02132026.htm
U.S. CPI Inflation Report — January 2026 (released Feb 13, 2026)
Big picture:
Inflation remained relatively low and stable. Prices rose modestly in January, and the annual inflation rate continued cooling compared with the prior month.


Headline numbers
Monthly inflation (Jan 2026): +0.2%
Year-over-year inflation: +2.4% (down from 2.7% in December)
Core inflation (excluding food & energy):
Monthly: +0.3%
Annual: +2.5%
Translation: Inflation is close to the Federal Reserve’s ~2% target and trending downward compared to late 2025.


What drove prices higher
Housing (biggest contributor)
Shelter: +0.2% month, +3.0% year
Housing continues to be the main persistent inflation pressure.
Food
Food overall: +0.2% month, +2.9% year
Groceries: +2.1% year
Restaurants: +4.0% year
Eating out is rising much faster than grocery prices.


Services & other increases
Monthly gains included:
Airline fares (+6.5%)
Medical care
Personal care
Recreation & communication


What pushed inflation lower
Energy (main offset)
Energy: –1.5% month
Gasoline: –3.2% month, –7.5% year
Electricity and natural gas are still higher year-over-year, but falling gasoline prices pulled inflation down overall.

Other declines
Used cars & trucks: –1.8% month, –2.0% year
Motor vehicle insurance (monthly decrease)
Household furnishings (monthly decrease)



Key takeaways (plain English)
Inflation cooled again — annual CPI fell from 2.7% → 2.4%.
Gas prices are doing most of the disinflation work.
Housing and services remain sticky, preventing inflation from hitting 2% yet.
Goods inflation is basically gone (cars and many products falling).
The economy now looks like a typical late-cycle environment:
cheap goods
expensive services
moderate overall inflation

BLS Data = Fake Data imo

I love the sarcasm! :-D hehehe

ALL BANKS from UK, Europe, Canada, South America, should register with Wero ("https://wero-wallet.eu/about")

Reduce the dependence on VISA and MASTERCARD, and thus will reduce the costs for consumers as well.

Billions and Billions of savings for other countries except the US, US will lose Billions from 1.4T market.

Most muted pre-market response to CPI since....? Certainly the past few years. This does not bode well. It means everything was exactly as expected and whatever market players were going to do before the number will continue. Here's hoping the big boys were saving $$ to be deployed at the cash open in the event of an in-line release, or today is going to be a bloodbath

Unfortunately, /VX continues to tell us everything we need to know about this data. As long as that remains above 20, the market didn't really like what it saw. If the /VX can roll down into the 18 handle today, it will be a nice green bar for equities. Otherwise.....strap in for a bumpy ride.

Rate cut odds through the end of the year crept up a little as well....but not enough to encourage /rty to fly to the upside (which is what we'd see happen immediately if the market thought the FED would come to the rescue near term).

I was wondering the same. I guess it could be rationalized if the price changes take month(s) to make their way through the system? Nat gas spiked in the front month, for example, due to the storm, but the yearly curve wasn't as affected. Providers likely balance themselves better across multiple contracts to avoid huge issues like we just saw. That move was for traders.

Mixed Data Confuse the market,big players ready to start the game with this CPI ,but not workout,asusual after some hours they start the new track. Wait & see

Horsefeathers!

I'm sure you meant "gilded age". Autocorrect gets me too sometimes.

I wish. You have been consistent on this number.

Alright pal don't push your luck too much

Buy usd

gold today 4800

Maybe you should recheck ur chart again.

The result is moderately Dovish. Expect interest rate cut. Be patient till next week after FOMC minutes before you buy XAUUSD. If they agree to cut down rates be ready to buy XAUUSD. Happy trading

passed my first funded account with it, so much joy with one index

Eeeekkk!

euro usd

omg

Yay thx +300 pips on gold

you've seen this big fvg and still wanted price to be down lol

Account black

Exactly what the Fed needs to continue inflating the system. Whoever believes these numbers is a complete idiot. Weak labor market (which is the truth unlike CPI) along with rigged CPI number gives the green light to the Fed to continue cutting rates.

sell gold & silver, it will go down

I appreciate your thoughts

it has started, enjoy the journey

he meant the real golden age of pizza and pasta. it happened all time with chess

There's a very good chance that gold is going to go up to at least 61 and potentially the 78 percent on the fib, before dropping to collect liquidity, and bouncing back upwards. thats my take...

There is no inflation, no worry mate

Wick city son!! It’s good but not good

fuck trump

no believes this lol, but basically energy prices is driving the low number

what about gold movement?

why wasn't there cpi news data? someone to explain briefly please...

I don't understand core cpi shows non cooling inflation yet I'm seeing green wicks for mnq

Why US inflation rate is dropping so fast but FED still don’t want to cut interest rate ……. Lolzzzzz zZzZzzz

caused spikes on EURUSD and GBPUSD - moves completely neutralised after 15 mins.

So oil bottomed in December and has only gone up in January. Nat gas spiked significantly in January as well. But yet energy went down big time in this CPI report? What am I missing?

Strong follow through after 30 minutes

USDJPY stalling near pivot

yup am fucking sure thst is right eye on zi

fuck trump

A statistician keeps his job for another month.

why