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FOMC Summary of Economic Projections
In conjunction with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting held on September 16–17, 2025, meeting participants submitted their projections of the most likely outcomes for real gross domestic product (GDP) growth, the unemployment rate, and inflation for each year from 2025 to 2028 and over the longer run. Each participant’s projections were based on information available at the time of the meeting, together with her or his assessment of appropriate monetary policy—including a path for the federal funds rate and its longer-run value—and assumptions about other factors likely to affect economic ... (full story)
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*FED’S MEDIAN RATE FORECAST END-’28 AT 3.1%
— DB News TradFi (@DBNewswire) September 17, 2025
*FED’S MEDIAN RATE FORECAST END-’26 AT 3.4%; PREV. 3.6%
*FED’S MEDIAN RATE FORECAST END-’27 AT 3.1%; PREV. 3.4%
*FED’S MEDIAN RATE FORECAST END-’25 AT 3.6%; PREV. 3.9%
*FED’S MEDIAN RATE FORECAST LONGER-RUN AT 3%; PREV. 3.0%
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The #Fed decreased the fed funds rate by 25bps as expected. In the dot plot, a majority of policymakers see 2 cuts in 2025. pic.twitter.com/Hn1tr3OT5i
— Bluekurtic Market Insights (@Bluekurtic) September 17, 2025
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MORE FOMC: DOT PLOT SHOWS ONE PARTICIPANT WANTED FIVE MORE RATE CUTS THIS YEAR, PRESUMED TO BE MIRAN; UNCERTAINTY 'REMAINS ELEVATED' #FOMC #FederalReserve #economy
— Mace News (@MaceNewsMacro) September 17, 2025
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From federalreserve.gov|Sep 17, 2025|106 commentsRecent indicators suggest that growth of economic activity moderated in the first half of the year. Job gains have slowed, and the unemployment rate has edged up but remains low. Inflation has moved up and remains somewhat elevated. The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated. The Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate and judges that downside risks to employment have risen. In support of its goals and in light of the shift in the balance of risks, the Committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point to 4 to 4‑1/4 percent. In considering additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. The Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage‑backed securities. The Committee is strongly committed to supporting maximum employment and returning inflation to its 2 percent objective. FOMC STATEMENT COMPARE: pic.twitter.com/6gTcajtaKz One dissenter: Voting against this action was Stephen I. Miran, who preferred to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/2 percentage point at this meeting. FED SAYS DOWNSIDE RISKS TO EMPLOYMENT HAVE RISEN
From kitco.com|Sep 17, 2025Even with some selling pressure, the gold market has managed to stand its ground, with prices remaining near recent all-time highs and within striking distance of $3,700 an ounce. ...
From morningstar.com|Sep 17, 2025Silver prices are trading at their highest levels in 14 years Silver prices have outperformed gold so far this year, even as gold continues to climb to fresh record highs. As gold ...
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From youtube.com|Sep 17, 2025|1 commentThe Federal Reserve System is the central bank of the United States. It performs five general functions to promote the effective operation of the U.S. economy and, more generally, ...
From @DeItaone|Sep 17, 2025|8 commentsPOWELL: INFLATION HAS RISEN RECENTLY, REMAINS SOMEWHAT ELEVATED Fed Chair Powell: Inflation Has Risen Recently, Remains Somewhat Elevated - Moderation In GDP Growth Largely Reflects Consumer Spending Slowdown - Payroll Job Gains Have Slowed Significantly, Reflecting Lower Immigration, Lower Participation Fed's Powell: Inflation for goods has picked up, disinflation for services continuing. Fed's Powell: Beyond next year most inflation-expectation measures consistent with 2% goal. Fed’s Powell Says Individual Forecasts Are Not A Plan; Policy Not On A Preset Course
From @DeItaone|Sep 17, 2025|3 commentsPOWELL: EXPECT TARIFF-DRIVEN PRICE INCREASES TO CONTINUE THIS YEAR AND NEXT Fed's Powell: It's possible tariffs are a reason for some slowing in labor market. Fed's Powell: Increase in goods prices accounts for most of inflation increase this year. *POWELL: REVISED JOBS NUMBERS MEAN LABOR MARKET NO LONGER SOLID Fed's Powell: Change in balance of risks suggests need to move in direction of neutral.
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