US Personal Income and Outlays, July 2025 | Metals Mine

  • US Personal Income and Outlays, July 2025

    From bea.gov

    Personal income increased $112.3 billion (0.4 percent at a monthly rate) in July, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $93.9 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $108.9 billion (0.5 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $110.9 billion in July. Personal saving was $985.6 billion in July and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable ... (full story)

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Trader#3DCF
Aug 29, 2025 7:42am
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It is stable, but personal spending increased from 0.4% to 0.5% and personal income from 0.3% to 0.4%. This suggests that consumers are spending more, driven by higher income. This increase in spending can put upward pressure on prices, as greater demand for goods and services can lead producers to raise prices. Although core PCE is stable, the increase in personal spending and personal income suggests that there could be inflationary pressure in the future. In short, core inflation is under control, but headline inflation could rise if consumer spending continues to grow.
Reply
EventsTrader
Aug 29, 2025 8:59am
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There’s not much justification for a September rate cut at this point. The market’s attention will be on next Friday’s jobs report, which will carry significant weight.

Takeaways:

- Headline PCE is now at 2.6% y/y and the Core figure at 2.9% y/y.

- The persistence in core, especially services, signals that price pressures are not yet subdued enough for easing.

- Consumer spending remains strong, , led by robust gains in motor vehicles, financial services, housing, and health care. Households are still driving demand, which risks keeping inflation sticky.

- Personal income at 0.4%, driven by higher wages and salaries, particularly in service-producing industries. Rising incomes support ongoing consumer outlays, complicating the Fed’s Sept rate decision.

- Spending surged in financial services, housing & utilities, and health care, categories which are core services ex-housing sensitive, and are showing little sign of easing.
Reply
Schultz
Aug 29, 2025 10:00am
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Quoting EventsTrader
Takeaways: - Headline PCE is now at 2.6% y/y and the Core figure at 2.9% y/y. - The persistence in core, especially services, signals that price pressures are not yet subdued enough for easing. -.
Yep. The priority of the Fed's monetary policy ought to be getting those inflation numbers under control.

Fiscal and other measures can deal with everything else.
Reply
ww3361
Aug 29, 2025 9:14am
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Quoting EventsTrader
There’s not much justification for a September rate cut at this point. The market’s attention will be on next Friday’s jobs report, which will carry significant weight. Takeaways: - Headline PCE is now at 2.6% y/y and the Core figure at 2.9% y/y. - The persistence in core, especially services, signals that price pressures are not yet subdued enough for easing. - Consumer spending remains strong, , led by robust gains in motor vehicles, financial services, housing, and health care. Households are still driving demand, which risks...
It's like they want lower inflation, but think it's gonna come without people losing jobs.

Total batshit madness.
Reply
Schultz
Aug 29, 2025 10:12am
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Quoting hamid93
Are the published numbers really real?
That is quite a philosophical question. Are you sure that you are on the right forum?

Do you sometimes find yourself contemplating - I'm not quite sure why I'm here or what I'm doing, but there's a reason.
Reply
hamid93
Aug 29, 2025 8:17am
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Are the published numbers really real?
Reply
Trader#EAE6
Aug 29, 2025 12:42pm
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Quoting 866fgkyj
always buy bitcoin
How dat margin call doing bro?

Shittycoin looking a bit weak for sometime bruddaaaaaah. I'm shorting anything that pops its head above water and making a years pay every fucking time. BOOM shaka laka. {insert Trump's fist in whatever orifice is free}
Reply
Luxyus
Aug 29, 2025 7:40am
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fried air
Polimini
Aug 29, 2025 8:35am
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Quoting hamid93
Are the published numbers really real?
they are real, they exist and were released. Now the question is are they based on reality? probably not.
Reply
DuranDuran
Aug 29, 2025 7:34am
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No inflation. No more excuses Jerome
Reply
mattrader
Aug 29, 2025 7:33am
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Great
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BillyIdol
Aug 29, 2025 7:34am
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Very expected data. So dollar may still be weak, as market looking at. Ms. Cook
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Momofrmnyc
Aug 29, 2025 8:02am
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Quoting DuranDuran
No inflation. No more excuses Jerome
Well thank God you're not in his position.
ww3361
Aug 29, 2025 7:51am
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Quoting DuranDuran
No inflation. No more excuses Jerome
0.3% per month is loads you ninny!
Reply
Kriauzza
Aug 30, 2025 8:08am
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Quoting EventsTrader
There’s not much justification for a September rate cut at this point. The market’s attention will be on next Friday’s jobs report, which will carry significant weight. Takeaways: - Headline PCE is now at 2.6% y/y and the Core figure at 2.9% y/y. - The persistence in core, especially services, signals that price pressures are not yet subdued enough for easing. - Consumer spending remains strong, , led by robust gains in motor vehicles, financial services, housing, and health care. Households are still driving demand, which risks...
nice analysis
Reply
skylinexau
Aug 29, 2025 7:31am
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OK
Reply
FXWish
Aug 29, 2025 7:33am
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bullshiit
Reply
hbg82.tg
Aug 29, 2025 7:33am
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ok
Reply
Trader#816A
Aug 29, 2025 7:38am
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Fudge the numbers. We all knew this was going to happen because inflation wouldn't go down. The Fed failed. Now it's Trump admin normalizing inflated prices pretending it's all good. None of this is reliable or good. Trade the charts not the news.
Reply
tanibhatti
Aug 29, 2025 7:39am
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Quoting Trader#949E
Gold ??
FLYYYYY
Reply
Meoldy129
Aug 29, 2025 8:53am
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Buy Buy Gold All New high
Reply
866fgkyj
Aug 29, 2025 10:05am
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always buy bitcoin
Reply
Trader#949E
Aug 29, 2025 7:31am
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Gold ??
Reply
Trader#3EA5
Aug 29, 2025 7:32am
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Another snooze fest
Reply
Trader#F228
Aug 29, 2025 7:33am
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Crypto
Reply
Trader#07C6
Aug 29, 2025 7:33am
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Bitcoin
Reply
Trader#150B
Aug 29, 2025 7:35am
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Sweet
Reply
Trader#12EA
Aug 29, 2025 7:37am
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Will the market remain bullish in September too?
Reply
Trader#3516
Aug 29, 2025 7:37am
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Can anyone what tell me what this actually means and what the affect on Gbpusd and eurusd
Reply
Trader#949E
Aug 29, 2025 7:39am
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Gold buy or sell ?
Reply
Trader#70F7
Aug 29, 2025 7:56am
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Quoting Trader#12EA
Will the market remain bullish in September too?
Obviously
Reply
Trader#CAF8
Aug 29, 2025 8:08am
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Tarifflation
Reply
Trader#9FB6
Aug 29, 2025 8:24am
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Volatility has gone to zero, that’s what matters for trading.
Reply

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