US Personal Income and Outlays, July 2025 | Metals Mine

US Personal Income and Outlays, July 2025 | Metals Mine

US Personal Income and Outlays, July 2025

From bea.gov

Personal income increased $112.3 billion (0.4 percent at a monthly rate) in July, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $93.9 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $108.9 billion (0.5 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $110.9 billion in July. Personal saving was $985.6 billion in July and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable ... (full story)

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Trader#3DCF

Aug 29, 2025 7:42am

It is stable, but personal spending increased from 0.4% to 0.5% and personal income from 0.3% to 0.4%. This suggests that consumers are spending more, driven by higher income. This increase in spending can put upward pressure on prices, as greater demand for goods and services can lead producers to raise prices. Although core PCE is stable, the increase in personal spending and personal income suggests that there could be inflationary pressure in the future. In short, core inflation is under control, but headline inflation could rise if consumer spending continues to grow.

3

Aug 29, 2025 8:59am

There’s not much justification for a September rate cut at this point. The market’s attention will be on next Friday’s jobs report, which will carry significant weight.

Takeaways:

- Headline PCE is now at 2.6% y/y and the Core figure at 2.9% y/y.

- The persistence in core, especially services, signals that price pressures are not yet subdued enough for easing.

- Consumer spending remains strong, , led by robust gains in motor vehicles, financial services, housing, and health care. Households are still driving demand, which risks keeping inflation sticky.

- Personal income at 0.4%, driven by higher wages and salaries, particularly in service-producing industries. Rising incomes support ongoing consumer outlays, complicating the Fed’s Sept rate decision.

- Spending surged in financial services, housing & utilities, and health care, categories which are core services ex-housing sensitive, and are showing little sign of easing.

1

Aug 29, 2025 10:00am

Quoting EventsTrader

Disliked

Takeaways: - Headline PCE is now at 2.6% y/y and the Core figure at 2.9% y/y. - The persistence in core, especially services, signals that price pressures are not yet subdued enough for easing. -.

Ignored

Yep. The priority of the Fed's monetary policy ought to be getting those inflation numbers under control.

Fiscal and other measures can deal with everything else.

1

Aug 29, 2025 9:14am

Quoting EventsTrader

Disliked

There’s not much justification for a September rate cut at this point. The market’s attention will be on next Friday’s jobs report, which will carry significant weight. Takeaways: - Headline PCE is now at 2.6% y/y and the Core figure at 2.9% y/y. - The persistence in core, especially services, signals that price pressures are not yet subdued enough for easing. - Consumer spending remains strong, , led by robust gains in motor vehicles, financial services, housing, and health care. Households are still driving demand, which risks...

Ignored

It's like they want lower inflation, but think it's gonna come without people losing jobs.

Total batshit madness.

1

Aug 29, 2025 10:12am

Quoting hamid93

Disliked

Are the published numbers really real?

Ignored

That is quite a philosophical question. Are you sure that you are on the right forum?

Do you sometimes find yourself contemplating - I'm not quite sure why I'm here or what I'm doing, but there's a reason.

Aug 29, 2025 8:17am

Are the published numbers really real?

1

Trader#EAE6

Aug 29, 2025 12:42pm

Quoting 866fgkyj

Disliked

always buy bitcoin

Ignored

How dat margin call doing bro?

Shittycoin looking a bit weak for sometime bruddaaaaaah. I'm shorting anything that pops its head above water and making a years pay every fucking time. BOOM shaka laka. {insert Trump's fist in whatever orifice is free}

1

Aug 29, 2025 7:40am

fried air

Aug 29, 2025 8:35am

Quoting hamid93

Disliked

Are the published numbers really real?

Ignored

they are real, they exist and were released. Now the question is are they based on reality? probably not.

Aug 29, 2025 7:33am

Great

Aug 29, 2025 7:34am

No inflation. No more excuses Jerome

Aug 29, 2025 7:34am

Very expected data. So dollar may still be weak, as market looking at. Ms. Cook

Aug 29, 2025 8:02am

Quoting DuranDuran

Disliked

No inflation. No more excuses Jerome

Ignored

Well thank God you're not in his position.

Aug 29, 2025 7:51am

Quoting DuranDuran

Disliked

No inflation. No more excuses Jerome

Ignored

0.3% per month is loads you ninny!

Aug 30, 2025 8:08am

Quoting EventsTrader

Disliked

There’s not much justification for a September rate cut at this point. The market’s attention will be on next Friday’s jobs report, which will carry significant weight. Takeaways: - Headline PCE is now at 2.6% y/y and the Core figure at 2.9% y/y. - The persistence in core, especially services, signals that price pressures are not yet subdued enough for easing. - Consumer spending remains strong, , led by robust gains in motor vehicles, financial services, housing, and health care. Households are still driving demand, which risks...

Ignored

nice analysis

Aug 29, 2025 7:31am

OK

Aug 29, 2025 7:33am

bullshiit

Aug 29, 2025 7:33am

ok

Trader#816A

Aug 29, 2025 7:38am

Fudge the numbers. We all knew this was going to happen because inflation wouldn't go down. The Fed failed. Now it's Trump admin normalizing inflated prices pretending it's all good. None of this is reliable or good. Trade the charts not the news.

Aug 29, 2025 7:39am

Quoting Trader#949E

Disliked

Gold ??

Ignored

FLYYYYY

Aug 29, 2025 8:53am

Buy Buy Gold

All New high

Aug 29, 2025 10:05am

always buy bitcoin

Trader#949E

Aug 29, 2025 7:31am

Gold ??

Trader#3EA5

Aug 29, 2025 7:32am

Another snooze fest

Trader#F228

Aug 29, 2025 7:33am

Crypto

Trader#07C6

Aug 29, 2025 7:33am

Bitcoin

Trader#150B

Aug 29, 2025 7:35am

Sweet

Trader#12EA

Aug 29, 2025 7:37am

Will the market remain bullish in September too?

Trader#3516

Aug 29, 2025 7:37am

Can anyone what tell me what this actually means and what the affect on Gbpusd and eurusd

Trader#949E

Aug 29, 2025 7:39am

Gold buy or sell ?

Trader#70F7

Aug 29, 2025 7:56am

Quoting Trader#12EA

Disliked

Will the market remain bullish in September too?

Ignored

Obviously

Trader#CAF8

Aug 29, 2025 8:08am

Tarifflation

Trader#9FB6

Aug 29, 2025 8:24am

Volatility has gone to zero, that’s what matters for trading.

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Story Stats

Aug 29, 2025 7:30am
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High Impact Breaking

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Linked events:

US Core PCE Price Index m/m

US Personal Spending m/m

US Personal Income m/m
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