Legend
- High Impact Expected
- Med Impact Expected
- Low Impact Expected
- Non-Economic
Revision
- Green NumberBetter than forecast -or- revised better
- Red NumberWorse than forecast -or- revised worse
- m/mMonth Over Month
- q/qQuarter Over Quarter
- y/yYear Over Year
- K Thousand
- M Million
- B Billion
- T Trillion
US Advance GDP q/q
It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health;
While this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart – Advance, Preliminary, and Final. The Advance release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact;
- US Advance GDP q/q Graph
- History
| Expected Impact / Date | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.2% |
0.5% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | 1.4% | 2.8% |
4.4% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 3.0% | 2.5% |
-0.5% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | -0.3% | 0.2% |
2.4% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2.3% | 2.7% |
3.1% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2.8% | 3.0% |
3.0% |
| Jul 25, 2024 | 2.8% | 2.0% |
1.4% |
| Apr 25, 2024 | 1.6% | 2.5% |
3.4% |
-
- US Advance GDP q/q News
From economics.bmo.com|Apr 30, 2026Personal spending jumped 0.9% in March, right in line with the consensus forecast. More encouraging for consumer spending in the second quarter was the improvement in personal income growth to a better than expected 0.6% gain last month. Inflation readings heated up as expected with PCE and core PCE prices rising 0.7% and 0.3%, respectively, in line with our forecasts. Real personal spending, after adjusting for inflation, increased 0.2% in March, a slight moderation from February’s 0.3% gain but a solid showing, nevertheless. Goods ...
From bea.gov|Apr 30, 2026|2 commentsReal gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.0 percent in the first quarter of 2026 (January, February, and March), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2025, real GDP increased 0.5 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the first quarter were investment, exports, consumer spending, and government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, also increased. For more information, refer to the ...
- From bea.gov|Feb 20, 2026|16 comments
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The advance report for the fourth quarter of 2025, originally scheduled for January 29, 2026, was rescheduled due to the October–November 2025 government shutdown. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in ...
From @realDonaldTrump|Feb 20, 2026|30 comments
The Democrat Shutdown cost the U.S.A. at least two points in GDP. That’s why they are doing it, in mini form, again. No Shutdowns! Also, LOWER INTEREST RATES. “Two Late” Powell is the WORST!!! President DJT- From @realDonaldTrump|Jul 30, 2025|22 comments2Q GDP JUST OUT: 3%, WAY BETTER THAN EXPECTED! “Too Late” MUST NOW LOWER THE RATE. No Inflation! Let people buy, and refinance, their homes!
From bea.gov|Jul 30, 2025|35 commentsReal gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.0 percent in the second quarter of 2025 (April, May, and June), according to the advance estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP decreased 0.5 percent. The increase in real GDP in the second quarter primarily reflected a decrease in imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, and an increase in consumer spending. These movements were partly offset by decreases in investment and exports. For more ...
From morningstar.com|Jul 29, 2025|10 commentsImports have see-sawed during U.S. trade wars The nation's trade deficit in goods sank 11% in June to a 22-month low as U.S. companies grappled with on-again, off-again Trump tariffs, a pattern that's likely to play out at least several more months. The trade gap in goods dropped to $86.0 billion in June from $96.4 billion in May, coming in well below the Wall Street's forecast. Lower deficits add to GDP, the official scorecard for the economy. GDP is forecast to show a 2.4% annual increase in the second quarter, but the estimate ...
From disciplinefunds.com|May 1, 2025Here are some things I think I am thinking about this week: 1) Does the Negative GDP Mean We’re in a Recession? We got a huge data dump on Wednesday including the first estimate of Q1 GDP which came in marginally negative at -0.3%. Net exports and government subtracted a total of 5.08% with exports making up the majority of that. But you had a lot of conflicting things going on under the surface. There was a large inventory build likely in anticipation of tariffs and a very soft consumption component at just 1.21%. If you backed out ...
| Released on Apr 30, 2026 |
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| Released on Feb 20, 2026 |
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| Released on Jul 30, 2025 |
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