XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread | Page 1928 | Metals Mine

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XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread

  • #38,541
  • Nov 15, 2016 1:52pm Nov 15, 2016 1:52pm
Quoting SunTrader
{quote} Which is one half of the SUPPLY/demand equation. Or does that other half not matter? Maybe if you only trade one direction - like most.
It doesn't matter during times of extreme uncertainty, hence the fact silver/gold has almost always tanked prior to spiking. I'm long silver/gold now, but only till january. There is such a thing as market manipulation. The price of the commodity doesn't matter as long as those who are selling the raw material are hedging against it. Messes everything up. The demand for silver has increased tremendously in the last couple years, not really sure about gold. Silver supply is limited, none of it matters, I still think it's going down early next year. So I guess to answer your question, IMO....nothing really matters. People be crazy.
  • #38,542
  • Nov 15, 2016 6:25pm Nov 15, 2016 6:25pm
Quoting conclude7
....nothing really matters. People be crazy.
To you. Not to the markets.

But that's ok. Someone has to be on the other end of a trade.
  • #38,543
  • Nov 16, 2016 12:26am Nov 16, 2016 12:26am
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  • #38,544
  • Nov 16, 2016 1:50am Nov 16, 2016 1:50am
Quoting conclude7
{quote} Yeah....something doesn't feel right about my prediction....I can't tell if this new thought is a feeling of "optimism" or reality.....just like when I thought hillary was going to win after I originally said trump would win it in june......is optimism ever right? Cause I keep taking the bait. Either way I see this as a "potential" bottom for the year....NOT saying it will hold beginning of next year.
Its ok dear , we just predict depending upon what seeing in the chart mostly perhaps . trying keep aside any bias of my trades be loss or any gain with it , just like I bet my wife & child long back about US election ( anyway I have loss again when it goes on my side though ).So nothing is true perhaps in this very volatile world as being a part of the same thing ( as I see how all basis changing in the structure of materials & concepts with energies etc . while helping my kid ). so actually no bet /toss or any inflexible bias or even a prediction with all concrete logic even.just one thing we can say true , nothing happening automatically , for every actions /move there remains a trail, never there a thing from nothing.take care , fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #38,545
  • Nov 17, 2016 12:16am Nov 17, 2016 12:16am
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  • #38,546
  • Nov 17, 2016 7:56pm Nov 17, 2016 7:56pm
A few dollars away from a 6 MONTH low. Which means instead of looking for downside and either going short or standing aside permabulls will be bargain shopping - as it most likely drops even lower heading for new multiyear lows. Oh welllll.
  • #38,547
  • Nov 17, 2016 9:41pm Nov 17, 2016 9:41pm
Quoting Aleksbuk
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6pMC3luKHt8
Thanks for share Aleks
I only trade XAU/USD. Based on USD news & Fib SR & BB20
  • #38,548
  • Nov 17, 2016 10:01pm Nov 17, 2016 10:01pm
Well seems to me, It's going for bullish. It might hit starting on next week around 1232 but if it did, it might reach to 1236. Maybe.... I don't know haha
  • #38,549
  • Nov 17, 2016 11:04pm Nov 17, 2016 11:04pm
The 1200.00 level looks like a sweet spot for a bounce on the resistance.
18 Novemeber 2016

What is everybody else's take?
Ask and you look stupid for 5 minutes. Don't ask and stay stupid forever.
  • #38,550
  • Nov 18, 2016 12:21am Nov 18, 2016 12:21am
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  • #38,551
  • Nov 18, 2016 4:59am Nov 18, 2016 4:59am
Quoting EeZeeTrader
The 1200.00 level looks like a sweet spot for a bounce on the resistance. 18 Novemeber 2016 What is everybody else's take?
It will likely reach $1,200 but in my opionion we might see it break below that level too.
  • #38,552
  • Nov 18, 2016 9:58am Nov 18, 2016 9:58am
If price is rejected at 1207 area then Im long. Price bounced off 1202 so now Im looking to buy the pullback.
Charts: XAUUSD/UJ/EU. Tools: stoch/daily pivots/fibo/channels. Scalper.
  • #38,553
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:18am Nov 18, 2016 10:18am
Quoting jorgen.fx
If price is rejected at 1207 area then Im long. Price bounced off 1202 so now Im looking to buy the pullback.
I will wait for bounce 1200 as a minimum. The 1202 was AS , US want to have slice of the low too.

Also afraid 1200 get taken. To much SL below so I think the big bastards will run it below. They have help now .
Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #38,554
  • Nov 18, 2016 11:13am Nov 18, 2016 11:13am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} I will wait for bounce 1200 as a minimum. The 1202 was AS , US want to have slice of the low too. Also afraid 1200 get taken. To much SL below so I think the big bastards will run it below. They have help now .
Theres sometimes a big spike when gold bottoms, haven't seen that yet at this level, so could be more downside for sure.

On the other side, 1210 is 50% retracement of the entire bull run from dec/jan so a close above on weekly is interesting. Theres also 100 wma at 1210-ish.
Charts: XAUUSD/UJ/EU. Tools: stoch/daily pivots/fibo/channels. Scalper.
  • #38,555
  • Nov 18, 2016 11:30am Nov 18, 2016 11:30am
Quoting jorgen.fx
{quote} Theres sometimes a big spike when gold bottoms, haven't seen that yet at this level, so could be more downside for sure. On the other side, 1210 is 50% retracement of the entire bull run from dec/jan so a close above on weekly is interesting. Theres also 100 wma at 1210-ish.
The levels can be good intraday. But the movement for gold lately has been because of USD. And small intraday levels, big tf levels, , fib, trendlines, MA , pivots is taken out by the fundamental move. So IMO the retracements is driven by scalping and are short lived. Big players are not buying a falling knife before they see a clear bottom and I am not sure the bottom will be a technical level. I been driving a little bit with the current this week. To heavy to swim against it in current move.
Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #38,556
  • Nov 18, 2016 11:31am Nov 18, 2016 11:31am
On the other hand (as we say it) price is at the low on a quarterly/monthly/weekly/daily chart.
Does that seem bullish - for more than a bounce?
  • #38,557
  • Nov 18, 2016 12:45pm Nov 18, 2016 12:45pm
XAUUSD 2H Chart:
The Wave ratios support the current Low as a Wave v.
That would mean correction over.
The alternative [red] is probably more likely though,
as the Grey Wave iii was the bare minimum 176.4% projection of Wave i.
Cheers, U2
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Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #38,558
  • Nov 19, 2016 3:47am Nov 19, 2016 3:47am
As of Tuesday COMEX speculators still held a sizeable net long position

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Twitter: ThirdMoment
  • #38,559
  • Nov 19, 2016 7:34pm Nov 19, 2016 7:34pm
There seems to be bearish movement a bit that it have to fulfilled somewhere 1203 - 1202. Maybe it will fulfill on Monday.
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  • #38,560
  • Nov 19, 2016 7:57pm Nov 19, 2016 7:57pm
Also the trend seems like going bearish this 12 days so might be its gonna go bullish because its going downward too much even giving more than 10000+ Pips. (So lucky who ever going short from 9th Nov) What do you guys think?
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