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Most Volatile & Crazy Month? 6 replies

Anyone try using XAU/USD - XAU/EUR as proxy for EUR/USD? 4 replies

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Attachments: Most volatile EU/GU/XAU/BTC trading
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Most volatile EU/GU/XAU/BTC trading

Quoting Nd10
{quote} I sold from 37000 till 31000 and re-entered buy at my expected area of 29000 till 37000 again. However, if Btc drops to less than 10k, that would be fabulous
Heh, previous drop was -85%, so we can see
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Observer effect
  • Post #842
  • Quote
  • Edited at 2:42pm May 11, 2022 2:31pm | Edited at 2:42pm
I have created little dashboard about delta

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if compare with tradingview delta:
(arrow on top are real delta, bottom indi is detla using tradingview data)

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As you see signals are different, and real volume data delta is much more accurate. In fact it is not accurate, it is real.
That's why they are hiding real volume from us, because it shows the truth.
Observer effect
Quoting ryuryu
{quote} Heh, previous drop was -85%, so we can see {image}
You are anticipating 10k for btc? I sure want that too and trust me, lots of buys are waiting there
Quoting Nd10
{quote} You are anticipating 10k for btc? I sure want that too and trust me, lots of buys are waiting there
I'm not long-term trader, so I don't wait for 10k. In fact I don't care. All I need is volume, because I just scalp perpetual futures.

But I'll buy some BTC, ETH and XRP when BTC price will be 10k and hodl it till next pump. It always drops at 85% and then rise 20x (ETH rise more).

So why not. But who knows. May be we have the deep already...
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Quoting ryuryu
{quote} I'm not long-term trader, so I don't wait for 10k. In fact I don't care. All I need is volume, because I just scalp perpetual futures. But I'll buy some BTC, ETH and XRP when BTC price will be 10k and hodl it till next pump. It always drops at 85% and then rise 20x (ETH rise more). So why not. But who knows. May be we have the deep already...
Fantastic comments. Would want that too. Fingers crossed. Kindly help me explain this 20x stuff. It's abit confusing to me please. If you can, explain in terms of the trades using lot size. Cheers
Quoting Nd10
{quote} Fantastic comments. Would want that too. Fingers crossed. Kindly help me explain this 20x stuff. It's abit confusing to me please. If you can, explain in terms of the trades using lot size. Cheers
The best time to buy shit coins is by watching the ratio of money sitting in Bitcoin over all other coins. At the bottom, you often see 65% of all money in crypto sitting in Bitcoin. At present, it sits at 43% in bitcoin, 57% in shitcoin.

I would wait till more shit coins collapse and the masses flee back to Bitcoin to save their arse.
Trading thin liquidity at the boundary of the charts
Quoting Nd10
{quote} Fantastic comments. Would want that too. Fingers crossed. Kindly help me explain this 20x stuff. It's abit confusing to me please. If you can, explain in terms of the trades using lot size. Cheers
Last cycle it was 20k -> 3.3k, it is -85%, then 3.3k - 67k, it is 20x

To trade crypto long-term (long position) you don't have to use any exchange. Because you are long 1x by default. So much less risk.
For short you can use 1x short on inverse perpetual. Then you will ear funding every 8 hours and protect your $ (lock it), because 1x btc short has no liquidation price.
Observer effect
  • Post #848
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  • May 15, 6:00pm (30 hr ago) May 15, 6:00pm (30 hr ago)
The "Why?" approach.

I don't know how it is called, and may be (for sure) I'm not the first who use it.

How it works? Do not use anything if you can't explain it.

For example. They say: Use RSI 14. Why 14? Why not 138? Or 12?
Or. Price (or traders) respect EMA 200. Why? How price (or traders) can "respect" moving average? Why 200? Why not 180 or 222?

Or. Average your trade every 100 points. Why 100? Why not 99?
Or. I set take profit at 150 pips distance. Okay. Sure. Why?

Why? Why? Why? Ask yourself. Question all claims.
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  • Post #849
  • Quote
  • Last Post: May 16, 9:40am (14 hr ago) May 16, 9:40am (14 hr ago)
Let's talk about magical thinking issue. Its the belief that one's ideas, thoughts, actions, words, or use of symbols can influence the course of events in the material world.

For example one trader thinks that price hit EMA200 because banks use it and there are a lot of youtube videos about it. But it is not because of that. It is because moving average is average. You can set EMA 183 and surprise that price will hit it too. Moreover - the shorter the period, the more touches and crosses will be.

Magical thinking is a disorder of thought content. Like "It is raining because I lost all on LUNA and UST". But it is not. It is raining because of physics conditions.

Why it happens and why people believe in all that shit? That is because of laziness. It is easy to say that price hit some line drawn on the chart because of some magic instead of study math, psychology, money management and other stuff.

Stay green!
Observer effect
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