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Jairo replied Jun 25, 2018Big stop cluster near 129? Good target for longs?!?
The only thread you will ever need: FX Exposed!
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Jairo replied Jun 25, 2018Hi elqflinchy, I stopped using double down (martingale) and cleaned the spreadsheet from it. Updated files are attached (English/Portuguese mixed, lol). Results still a bit disappointing, but Kelly with low "aggressiveness" keeps me from ...
Kelly Criterion - Optimizing risk
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Jairo replied Feb 27, 2018Discretionary entries (answers to the question "where is this s*** going next day?"). 1.1% in the first day. Not valid though (not following the rules). So, I should stop posting.
DIY Trading - An Art of Probability
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Jairo replied Feb 21, 2018Closed on drawdown recovery to get a fresh start for the new entry time.
DIY Trading - An Art of Probability
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Jairo replied Feb 21, 2018Third day balance: $-2 (0% acc). Will change my entry time to 03:00 GMT.
DIY Trading - An Art of Probability
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Jairo replied Feb 20, 2018Ended the 2nd day with -1.1%. Had the opportunity to close with +1,8% during the day but sticked to the plan of holding until London 00:00. It was a bad (and mechanical) decision. I believe it is not possible to win mechanically. The market would ...
DIY Trading - An Art of Probability
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Jairo replied Feb 20, 2018Discretionary exit, that's fine. I am very skeptical of completely mechanical approach.
DIY Trading - An Art of Probability
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Jairo replied Feb 19, 2018First day -1.3%, leverage aprox. 9:1. Day winners held (I think there is no need to close and reopen in the same direction), day losers closed and reversed.
DIY Trading - An Art of Probability
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Jairo replied Feb 19, 2018Created a Trade Explorer to monitor the test. Enter/exit at London 00:00, 9 pairs, 1:1 leverage each, margin level near 5000%, first day running. Looks like it is not necessary to close the winners just to reopen them immediately in the same ...
DIY Trading - An Art of Probability
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Jairo replied Feb 18, 2018Interesting idea, thank you for sharing PXchange. Testing it with lower leverage.
DIY Trading - An Art of Probability
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Jairo replied Jul 17, 2017Hi David, I hope I am not annoying you with "yet another little trading puzzle":
do you know if (or believe) there is an "ideal" (mathematical) share of profits to be earned by a person who trades other people's money on a profit ...Hanover replies to PMs
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Jairo replied Jul 12, 2017Hi David, Thank you very much for the detailed reply. As I am a slow learner, it will take time for me to grasp it all. In the meantime, I'll keep trying to find my "ideal risk level" (if I have any) in small incremental steps from below. Thanks ...
Hanover replies to PMs
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Jairo replied Jul 11, 2017Hi Hanover, Your math background is much better than mine so I was wondering if you could kindly help me with this little (?) trading puzzle: suppose I had a trading method that could produce 60% wins on a 1:1 risk/reward ratio. It may be shown that ...
Hanover replies to PMs
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Jairo replied Apr 25, 2017Hi, I am using the exponential decay of the probability of a certain drawdown (I believe exponential is a good fit) to (try to) create a positive expectancy (average 1% return per cycle with 1 to 1.5% probability of hitting a stop out of 30% - so ...
Software Developer and Trader Partnership
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MultiTerminal killed trade levels in MT4
Started Mar 23, 2017|Platform Tech|0 replies
Hi, Since I first placed a trade through the MultiTerminal, all trade levels (green and red ...
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Jairo replied Mar 11, 2017Regulators should not try to "protect" traders from themselves of from market risk. They should strive to protect them against FRAUD. I think they are a bunch of liars, this is just to suck more money in.
Technical Analysis Fallacy
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Jairo replied Mar 10, 2017I installed this one for test too. It is the same pack (version 4.00 Build 1045 3 Feb 2017). It works with one server only, so you cannot connect two brokers. For me it would be interesting if there was a multi-broker version or some plug-in to make ...
Anyone tried FxPro's MT4 multi-terminal?
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Jairo replied Mar 8, 2017Hi meyoik, Agreed. I have an account with another broker, which I would like to be able to bring into the Multiterminal. This is a problem.
Anyone tried FxPro's MT4 multi-terminal?
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Jairo replied Mar 7, 2017I am taking a look at it. Downloaded and partially configured. Looks fine so far. Probably will start trading through it this week. FxPro terminal will work only on FxPro accounts. Additionally, all accounts must have been assigned the same trade ...
Anyone tried FxPro's MT4 multi-terminal?