US Personal Income and Outlays, January 2026 | Metals Mine

  • US Personal Income and Outlays, January 2026

    From bea.gov

    Personal income increased $113.8 billion (0.4 percent at a monthly rate) in January, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $219.9 billion (0.9 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $81.1 billion (0.4 percent). This report for January 2026, originally scheduled for February 26, 2026, was rescheduled due to the October–November 2025 government shutdown. Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer ... (full story)

Comment Options
rosy440
Mar 13, 2026 11:26am
Permalink
PCE inflation data has been released:

Headline PCE came out at 2.8%, which is below expectations and the previous reading of 2.9%. (These are still not the latest figures, as they are for January.)

Core PCE came out at 3.1%, in line with expectations (3.1%) and above the previous reading of 3.0%. (Also for January.)

Analyzing or relying heavily on the PCE data doesn’t make much sense right now, as it comes with a significant time lag. What’s more interesting is something else:

Truflation data for the PCE Price Index has risen sharply recently, which may indicate that the impact of higher oil prices is already starting to feed into prices. (The levels are not critical yet, but the upward trend is noticeable.)

Regarding the Federal Reserve rate, as of yesterday there appeared a small probability that rates could be raised. Of course, we are talking about a micro-probability, but the shift in market sentiment itself is interesting.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: PCE.jpg Size: 50 KB
Reply

  • Related Stories

US: Fourth-quarter GDP revised down to just 0.7% growth; January core inflation was 3.1%
From cnbc.com | Mar 13, 2026
Economic growth was much slower than expected in the final three months of 2025 while core inflation rose to start 2026, the Commerce Department reported Friday. Gross domestic product, a measure of all the goods and services produced across the sprawling U.S. economy, rose at a seasonally and inflation-adjusted annual rate of just 0.7% in the fourth ...
Trump: We are totally destroying the terrorist regime of Iran, militarily, economically, and otherwise
From @realDonaldTrump | Mar 12, 2026 | 192 comments
We are totally destroying the terrorist regime of Iran, militarily, economically, and otherwise, yet, if you read the Failing New York Times, you would incorrectly think that we are not winning. Iran’s Navy is gone, their Air Force is no longer, missiles, drones and everything else are being decimated, and their leaders have been wiped from the face of the earth. We have unparalleled firepower, unlimited ammunition, and plenty of time - Watch what happens to these deranged scumbags today. They’ve been killing innocent people all over the world for 47 years, and now I, as the 47th President of the United States of America, am killing them. What a great honor it is to do so! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP
Index of Production, UK: January 2026
From ons.gov.uk | Mar 13, 2026
Production output was estimated to have increased by 1.3% during the three months to January 2026, compared with the three months to October 2025. There were positive contributions from two sectors in the three months to January 2026; "manufacturing" (up 1.5%) and "electricity and gas" (up 2.2%), these were partially offset by "water supply and sewerage" ...
  • Story Stats