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Why the Fed will likely keep interest rates unchanged at its upcoming meeting
The U.S. central bank, to President Donald Trump’s chagrin, will likely leave interest rates unchanged at a policy meeting this week, but that’s not to say there won’t be a vigorous debate, with one if not two Federal Reserve governors possibly casting a rare dissent in support of lower borrowing costs. The majority of Fed policymakers, though, remain concerned that Trump’s tariffs could undo progress on bringing inflation back to the central bank’s 2% goal, outweighing for now worries about the labor market. The trade deal struck between the U.S. and Japan last week, with tariffs set at 15%, and reported ... (full story)
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It feels like everybody wants lower interest rates: President Donald Trump, the Treasury secretary, and even members of the Federal Open Market Committee. But with inflation above target (and potentially moving in the wrong direction, thanks to tariffs) and the economy cooling but still solid, analysts say central bankers still have time to wait. The ...
A so-called 'Kindleberger Spiral' could materialize if capital flows dry up The Federal Reserve, by not cutting interest rates, is risking the creation of a deflationary downturn called a Kindelberger Spiral, a leading bond manager says. The concept comes from a famed economist, Charles Kindleberger, who wrote a seminal book on the Great Depression in 1973 ...
The number of job openings was little changed at 7.4 million in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, both hires and total separations were little changed at 5.2 million and 5.1 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (3.1 million) were little changed while layoffs and discharges (1.6 million) were unchanged. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the total nonfarm sector, by industry, and by establishment size class. Job openings include all positions that are open on the last business day of the month. Hires and separations include all changes to the payroll during the entire month. Job Openings The number and rate of job openings were little changed at 7.4 million and 4.4 percent, respectively, in June. The number of job openings decreased in accommodation and food services (-308,000), health care and social assistance (-244,000), and finance and insurance (-142,000). The number of job openings increased in retail trade (+190,000), information (+67,000), and state and local government education (+61,000). (See table 1.) Hires In June, the number and rate of hires were little changed at 5.2 million and 3.3 percent, respectively. The number of hires decreased in arts, e - Prior month revised to 7.712m from 7.769m - Job openings rate was 4.4% in June vs 4.6% prior - 3.142m people quit a job in June vs 3.27m prior - Quits rate at 2% vs 2% - 1.604m workers were fired or laid off in June vs 1.611m prior - Layoffs and discharges rate at 1% vs 1%
