EURUSD & GOLD

my new teacher is awesome

gold rising double bottom daily

h4 100 200 check post with a 50 ton policeman sitting on it

We are still waiting for rain here; then we can go up the mountain.

monitor activity in trump's trading account to FORECAST trade in gold and oil

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to be EXACT check the activity in his account exactly 54 minutes before the two ships trying to cross hormuz near the coast of oman

Weather conditions from the XAU/EURUSD weather station:
- currently: rain showers and storms (SR3M6 and ZQN6);
- outlook: fair weather (ZQU6).

example

Market expectations point to higher yields [the brown (2Y) and green (10Y) lines on the chart].

Through its meetings, the FOMC announces the target range for the federal funds rate.
The FOMC maintained the target range for the federal funds rate at 3½–3¾%.

Therefore, the first time the FOMC sets a target range different from the current one, it will serve as the official signal that the federal funds rate is changing.

USD following FOMC meetings:

Gold if it holds after a possible USOIL pop

$XAUUSD
short scalping gold. here soon near ~4128 - then waiting for a long scalp on the pullback

gold bugs crazy not sure why - waiting 4 a signal to short it a long later

We respected the OTE zone on the 1hr and 4hr bullish fvg. We also created a CiSD whihc we respected. We have a protected low at 4081.50. We already retracved into CiSD and we are already pumping up. We have a 4hr bearish fvg coming. Once we inverse that one too we will pump even higher for sure

URUSD M30 update
Based on this screenshot, EURUSD remains bearish intraday, but price is already close to support, so this is not an ideal place to chase a new short.
Structure and pattern
The chart shows a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows following the rejection from roughly 1.1455–1.1460. The rebound toward 1.1435 failed, and price subsequently broke below the 1.1420 area with sustained bearish candles.
The current formation resembles a bearish continuation move followed by consolidation near the lows. The small candles around 1.1390–1.1397 show hesitation, but there is not yet a confirmed bullish reversal pattern such as a strong bullish engulfing candle or a higher-high break.
The sell signal near 1.13946 already reached TP1 before price retraced close to the entry area. That means the signal produced profit, but the market is now testing whether sellers can continue through support.
Key levels
Resistance

1. 1.1397–1.1408
2. 1.1420
3. 1.1431–1.1435

Support

1. 1.1385
2. 1.1373
3. 1.1361

Trade scenarios
Pullback short
Wait for price to recover into 1.1398–1.1408 and print bearish rejection on M15 or M30.

1. Entry zone: 1.1398–1.1408
2. Stop loss: above 1.1421
3. TP1: 1.1385
4. TP2: 1.1373
5. TP3: 1.1361

Breakdown short
A cleaner continuation signal would be an M30 close below 1.1385, followed by a failed retest from underneath.

1. Entry zone: 1.1385–1.1390 retest
2. Stop loss: above 1.1401
3. TP1: 1.1373
4. TP2: 1.1361

Invalidation
The immediate bearish setup weakens if M30 reclaims 1.1408. A sustained move above 1.1420–1.1431 would break the nearest lower-high structure and make further downside less convincing.
ForexFactory-style paragraph
EURUSD M30 remains bearish after rejecting the 1.1455 area and continuing to form lower highs and lower lows. Price broke below the previous 1.1420 support and is now consolidating near 1.1395 after the sell setup already reached its first target. The structure still favors sellers, but I would avoid chasing the market directly into support. I prefer selling a bearish retest of 1.1398–1.1408, targeting 1.1385, 1.1373, and potentially 1.1361. A sustained M30 reclaim above 1.1420 would weaken the bearish continuation outlook.

Key levels to watch:
* US2Y above 4.25%: further hawkish acceleration;
* US2Y back below 4.20%: possible rejection of the breakout;

* DXY above 101.30: firmer confirmation of the Fed repricing;

* US2Y above 4.24% but DXY below 101.00: clearer negative divergence for the dollar;

* Tuesday'sw US CPI and statements from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh are the next major catalysts

i have just used basic macd to estimate

simplicity is da best polici