EURUSD & GOLD

My Pre Market Analysis on GOLD 5th June 2026

Current position before NFP

1. Current close: 4465.53
2. Day high: 4481.50
3. Day low: 4428.94
4. Current VWAP: 4453.36
5. VWAP +1 STD: 4463.10
6. VWAP +2 STD: 4472.85
7. VWAP -1 STD: 4443.62
8. VWAP -2 STD: 4433.87

Price is currently above VWAP and above +1 STD, but still below the day high. That means gold has already rebounded from the morning selloff, but it is not clean bullish expansion yet.
NFP context
Today already has a 52.56 point range before release. That is large.
Historical first-Friday/NFP days with similar pre-release range and weak early direction showed a strong downside skew after release in this dataset.
The closest matches gave median post-release downside around 52–64 points from the pre-release anchor, while upside was much smaller.
Forecast high / low
Using current anchor 4465.53:
Likely high zone
4472–4482
Why:

1. VWAP +2 STD = 4472.85
2. Day high = 4481.50
3. This is the obvious upside liquidity / rejection zone.

Stretch high
4495–4505
Only if NFP produces a bullish surprise and price accepts above 4482.
Likely low zone
4413–4425
Why:

1. Day low = 4428.94
2. Similar NFP setups historically often broke pre-release lows.
3. Post-release downside projection from 4465.53 gives roughly 4413–4425.

Posted in my free Telegram channel

sideways

eurusd paused for the nfp news and weekend closing