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Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee
The manager turned first to an overview of broad market developments during the intermeeting period. Respondents to the Open Market Desk Survey of Market Expectations (Desk survey) continued to see the economy as resilient and again marked up their forecasts for real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in 2026, while their expectations for headline personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation and the unemployment rate were little changed. Market- and survey-based policy rate expectations were likewise little changed. Market-based measures of policy rate expectations indicated one to two 25 basis point rate cuts ... (full story)
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*FED: SEVERAL WOULD'VE SUPPORTED TWO-SIDED LANGUAGE ON RATE PATH
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) February 18, 2026
*FED: SEVERAL SAW MORE CUTS IF INFLATION DECLINES AS EXPECTED
*FED: MOST CAUTIONED DISINFLATION COULD BE SLOWER THAN EXPECTED
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Fed Minutes: Most participants cautioned that progress toward 2% target might be slower and more uneven than generally expected and judged risk of inflation running persistently above target was meaningful.
— FinancialJuice (@financialjuice) February 18, 2026
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Fed commenting on yen "rate check" on behalf of the BOJ
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) February 18, 2026
"In the days leading up to the meeting, the dollar had depreciated markedly after reports that the Desk had made requests for indicative quotes, known as "rate checks," on the dollar–yen exchange rate. The manager noted…
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