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  • #101
  • Nov 25, 2025 4:45am Nov 25, 2025 4:45am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} if this current h1 candle in the purple sphere closes bearish/red by 8 a.m utc close buy positions because it will push down further but if it closes bullish/green, then it will likely buy more so you hold your buy positions , i'm busy so update for the next 2 hours would be difficult {image}

let me explain what happened
  • #102
  • Nov 25, 2025 6:09am Nov 25, 2025 6:09am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} if this current h1 candle in the purple sphere closes bearish/red by 8 a.m UTC close buy positions because it will push down further but if it closes bullish/green, then it will likely buy more so you hold your buy positions , I'm busy so update for the next 2 hours would be difficult {image}

As I said before, these confirmation candles says a lot about the validity of a trade and I'm happy to have found something very important together with the strategy i use and they are just like gold(precious) to me , now let me explain what happened in the morning.
so as I said about the confirmation candle, once that circled candle on h1 closed bearish by 8 a.m UTC it was a signal of further push downwards not necessarily long term sells, but a further sells so you should close any buy just above it and wait for a good entry after careful analysis, but i didn't know or check a higher time frame candle/s closed was/were about to also close at 8 a.m and that is what i saw at 8 a.m after checking different time frames and hence the reason I gave a different buy entry close to the first one and asked for sl to be at 4120/15 instead of closing it,
so I wasn't wrong about the confirmation candle and the second entry, but it's because of the higher time frame candle that closed at 8 a.m, that is why i gave another buy entry and asked not to close the first entry because it was close but still markets decided to sell a bit further to test a major zone,
and let me tell you this; if market was trading in a free zone that move below the second entry(the move below 4130-25) would have signaled a further sell below 4100 and I would have given a sell entry around 4125 area instead of the another buy entry i just gave but price has been trading in or in between a major zone and it comes with a different approach and I learned this just this month, just so you know.
  • #103
  • Nov 25, 2025 6:37am Nov 25, 2025 6:37am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} A buy at 4130-25, sl at 4109 and this could be the recovery trade , but I will explain something soon, last buy entry which will not fail and if it fails then bye bye to buys because it will go down more {image} A buy at 4130-25, sl at 4109 and this could be the recovery trade , but I will explain something soon, last buy entry which will not fail and if it fails then bye bye to buys because it will go down more

If you don't really understand what is happening in the market and you trade just because of how candles appear then you will sell because of these m30 candles in the sphere because you will say they are showing weak momentum and it's completely wrong , candlestick chart is the best chart among all chart and I thank those who brought it because it has information but if don't use brain to think properly or critically and look carefully and properly you will always misinterprete the chart but it's the best for easy analysis.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #104
  • Nov 25, 2025 6:48am Nov 25, 2025 6:48am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} If you don't really understand what is happening in the market and you trade just because of how candles appear then you will sell because of these m30 candles in the sphere because you will say they are showing weak momentum and it's completely wrong , candlestick chart is the best chart among all chart and I thank those who brought it because it has information but if don't use brain to think properly or critically and look carefully and properly you will always misinterprete the chart but it's the best for easy analysis. {image}
From what I'm seeing it looks like market is pricing in a better PPI data hence more sells
  • #105
  • Nov 25, 2025 6:56am Nov 25, 2025 6:56am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} Price at entry let see how it goes {image} Price at entry let see how it goes

close this trade because it looks like market is pricing in a better PPI data hence we are likely going to see more sells so let close and wait for a confirmation may be after PPI or any moment from now
  • #106
  • Nov 25, 2025 7:31am Nov 25, 2025 7:31am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} close this trade because it looks like market is pricing in a better PPI data hence we are likely going to see more sells so let close and wait for a confirmation may be after PPI or any moment from now
There was no confirmation candle of more sells but that sudden and unexpected push to 4119 was scrary and suspicious and news too was close , that is why I called for a close not because I saw a further sell confirmation candle
  • #107
  • Nov 25, 2025 8:16am Nov 25, 2025 8:16am
Quoting AlwaysNew
{quote} Meanwhile I took half of my position to 4100, Monday was a good day. I’m looking forward to see new high this week due to bad news from world
We might not move above 4250/4300 this week from the reaction I'm seeing today, gold could move back to the range area and range again till first December before it decides whether to buy again or sell more, today's market reaction doesn't show a strong bullishness but rather a weak or low bullish momentum, therefore not advisable to hold buys aiming for a higher high on weekly
  • #108
  • Nov 25, 2025 9:31am Nov 25, 2025 9:31am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} close this trade because it looks like market is pricing in a better PPI data hence we are likely going to see more sells so let close and wait for a confirmation may be after PPI or any moment from now
I wasn't wrong though , something was suspicious, and market priced in mixed data ,
let prepare for our next move and it could be any direction and it could be any moment from now or even tomorrow
  • #109
  • Edited 11:17am Nov 25, 2025 10:53am | Edited 11:17am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} I wasn't wrong though , something was suspicious, and market priced in mixed data , let prepare for our next move and it could be any direction and it could be any moment from now or even tomorrow

A buy at 4127-22, sl at 4109 and tp at 4180/70 , so as I said the bullishness is not looking strong to me but we have another push upward to around 4190 as long as price is still above 4110, before maybe a sell again to maybe range again below 4150
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #110
  • Edited 12:26pm Nov 25, 2025 12:10pm | Edited 12:26pm
Quoting canyouu
{quote} A buy at 4127-22, sl at 4109 and tp at 4180/70 , so as I said the bullishness is not looking strong to me but we have another push upward to around 4190 as long as price is still above 4110, before maybe a sell again to maybe range again below 4150 {image}

Tomorrow's buy entry will be around today's entry somewhere around 4130 and I will update before market close or opens and the target should be around 4180-4200 and we could see a major sell from there so we might not move above 4250 this week but market does what it wants so we will follow it footsteps

The real bullish move on gold could start from 1st December or any moments after 1st December and if it fails then it will sell like 2000
  • #111
  • Nov 25, 2025 3:17pm Nov 25, 2025 3:17pm
Quoting canyouu
{quote} Tomorrow's buy entry will be around today's entry somewhere around 4130 and I will update before market close or opens and the target should be around 4180-4200 and we could see a major sell from there so we might not move above 4250 this week but market does what it wants so we will follow it footsteps The real bullish move on gold could start from 1st December or any moments after 1st December and if it fails then it will sell like 2000
A buy any moment after market open at 4128-23, sl at 4109 and tp at 4180/70
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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A buy any moment after market open at 4128-23, sl at 4109 and tp at 4180/70
  • #112
  • Nov 25, 2025 10:52pm Nov 25, 2025 10:52pm
Quoting canyouu
{quote} A buy any moment after market open at 4128-23, sl at 4109 and tp at 4180/70 {image} A buy any moment after market open at 4128-23, sl at 4109 and tp at 4180/70

It's good to tp or close buys at 4160 because it could sell again to 4115-10 for another buy before a major sell from somewhere around 4180-4200
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLD_2025-11-26_04-52-00.png Size: 27 KB

It's good to tp or close buys at 4160 because it could sell again to 4115-10 for another buy before a major sell from somewhere around 4180-4200
  • #113
  • Nov 25, 2025 11:13pm Nov 25, 2025 11:13pm
Quoting canyouu
{quote} It's good to tp or close buys at 4160 because it could sell again to 4115-10 for another buy before a major sell from somewhere around 4180-4200 {image} It's good to tp or close buys at 4160 because it could sell again to 4115-10 for another buy before a major sell from somewhere around 4180-4200

A sell at 4164-70, sl at 4185 and tp 4120 a bit risky but still worth taking
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLD_2025-11-26_05-10-08.png Size: 30 KB


A sell at 4164-70, sl at 4185 and tp 4120 a bit risky but still worth taking
  • #114
  • Nov 25, 2025 11:40pm Nov 25, 2025 11:40pm
Quoting canyouu
{quote} A sell at 4164-70, sl at 4185 and tp 4120 a bit risky but still worth taking {image} A sell at 4164-70, sl at 4185 and tp 4120 a bit risky but still worth taking

if we close below the orange rectangular shape by 8 a.m UTC then we will probably reach 4120
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLD_2025-11-26_05-37-11.png Size: 23 KB

if we close below the orange rectangular shape by 8 a.m UTC then we will probably reach 4120
  • #115
  • Nov 26, 2025 12:07am Nov 26, 2025 12:07am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} if we close below the orange rectangular shape by 8 a.m UTC then we will probably reach 4120 {image} if we close below the orange rectangular shape by 8 a.m UTC then we will probably reach 4120

I already have first confirmation that we are closing below the rectangle to sell more but a good confirmation will be at 7 a.m
  • #116
  • Nov 26, 2025 1:54am Nov 26, 2025 1:54am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} if we close below the orange rectangular shape by 8 a.m UTC then we will probably reach 4120 {image} if we close below the orange rectangular shape by 8 a.m UTC then we will probably reach 4120

We will likely go to 4120 if we fail to move above the block by 9 a.m
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLD_2025-11-26_07-51-07.png Size: 29 KB

We will likely go to 4120 if we fail to move above the block by 9 a.m
  • #117
  • Nov 26, 2025 3:17am Nov 26, 2025 3:17am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} A sell at 4164-70, sl at 4185 and tp 4120 a bit risky but still worth taking {image} A sell at 4164-70, sl at 4185 and tp 4120 a bit risky but still worth taking
if this current h2 candle closes bearish by 11 a.m UTC then it will be a good confirmation of possible further sells
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLD_2025-11-26_09-13-42.png Size: 24 KB

if this current h2 candle closes bearish by 11 a.m UTC then it will be a good confirmation of possible further sells
  • #118
  • Nov 26, 2025 3:52am Nov 26, 2025 3:52am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} if this current h2 candle closes bearish by 11 a.m UTC then it will be a good confirmation of possible further sells {image} if this current h2 candle closes bearish by 11 a.m UTC then it will be a good confirmation of possible further sells

i just checked other time frames and realized where price touched this morning 4147 is also a major zone reason for that push upwards and if were/are in a strong bullish market that would lead to some serious buy but as said, the bullish momentum looks very low to me and i will use wherever direction we move from current price to also confirm the nature or level of the bullish trend
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLD_2025-11-26_09-41-03.png Size: 26 KB
  • #119
  • Nov 26, 2025 5:40am Nov 26, 2025 5:40am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} A sell at 4164-70, sl at 4185 and tp 4120 a bit risky but still worth taking {image} A sell at 4164-70, sl at 4185 and tp 4120 a bit risky but still worth taking

Better to close it because it could move to 4190/4200, before a sell again maybe
  • #120
  • Nov 26, 2025 5:55am Nov 26, 2025 5:55am
Quoting canyouu
{quote} We will likely go to 4120 if we fail to move above the block by 9 a.m {image} We will likely go to 4120 if we fail to move above the block by 9 a.m


Better to close it because it could move to 4190/4200, before a sell again maybe
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