EURUSD & GOLD

The market is playing catch-up to a reality

This is not just a smoking gun; this is a signed confession

TF MN:

1. DXY;

2. DAX : 6 doji at the top = recession in preparation.

On a monthly timeframe, the candlesticks are very strong.

Fed would need to step in with QE(printing money baby)

D1:

Now traders are selling stocks and buying USD and bonds.

USD is rising, EURUSD and indices are falling, bond prices are falling (yields are rising), and gold is going sideways.

Good morning, Friend!

If NVIDIA's quarterly result is below estimates, the Nasdaq and US500 continue their fall.

The mystery is in the labor market: small employers are not hiring or firing.

NVDA results above expectations.

USD appreciated strongly because:
-US software products → global demand → USD payments → support for the dollar.
-financial flows generated by international purchases of NVDA shares and US ETFs increase demand for USD.

Watch out for news about Japan.

BOJ (Bank of Japan) is caught in a trap BOJ has been keeping interest rates very low for over 20 years.

If it tries to stabilize the yen or stop the collapse of JGB:
• it must raise interest rates
• but an increase in interest rates would collapse the value of bonds held by banks → insolvencies.

If it does not intervene:
• the yen collapses,
• capital flows out en masse,
• global markets panic.
Any option is dangerous → "policy trap".

If the above option happens, USD and GOLD will appreciate strongly, and EURUSD, a strong depreciation.

still pending little but i just closed by sl.

If what is written below is confirmed, big moves in the markets are coming:


BREAKING: The $610 Billion AI Ponzi Scheme Just Collapsed
Last night at 4pm EST, something unprecedented happened. Nvidia stock rallied 5% on earnings, then crashed into negative territory within 18 hours. Wall Street algorithms detected what humans couldn’t: the numbers don’t add up.
Here’s what they found.
Nvidia reported $33.4 billion in unpaid bills, up 89% in one year. Customers who bought chips haven’t paid for them yet. The average wait time for payment stretched from 46 days to 53 days. That extra week represents $10.4 billion that may never arrive.
Meanwhile, Nvidia stockpiled $19.8 billion in unsold chips, up 32% in three months. But management claims demand is insane and supply is constrained. Both cannot be true. Either customers aren’t buying or they’re buying without cash.
The cash flow tells the real story. Nvidia generated $14.5 billion in actual cash but reported $19.3 billion in profit. The gap is $4.8 billion. Healthy chip companies like TSMC and AMD convert over 95% of profits to cash. Nvidia converts 75%. That’s distress level.
Here’s where it gets criminal.
Nvidia gave $2 billion to xAI. xAI borrowed $12.5 billion to buy Nvidia chips. Microsoft gave OpenAI $13 billion. OpenAI committed $50 billion to buy Microsoft cloud. Microsoft ordered $100 billion in Nvidia chips for that cloud. Oracle gave OpenAI $300 billion in cloud credits. OpenAI ordered Nvidia chips for Oracle data centers.
The same dollars circle through different companies and get counted as revenue multiple times. Nvidia books sales, but nobody actually pays. The bills age. The inventory piles up. The cash never comes.
AI company CEOs admitted it themselves last week. Airbnb’s CEO called it vibe revenue. OpenAI burns $9.3 billion per year but makes $3.7 billion. That’s a $5.6 billion annual loss. The $157 billion valuation requires $3.1 trillion in future profits that MIT research shows 95% of AI projects will never generate.
Peter Thiel sold $100 million in Nvidia on November 9. SoftBank dumped $5.8 billion on November 11. Michael Burry bought put options betting Nvidia crashes to $140 by March 2026.
Bitcoin, which tracks AI speculation, dropped from $126,000 in October to $89,567 today. That’s a 29% crash. AI startups hold $26.8 billion in Bitcoin as collateral for loans. When Nvidia falls another 40%, those loans default, forcing $23 billion in Bitcoin sales, crashing crypto to $52,000.
The timeline is now certain. February 2026, Nvidia reports fourth quarter and reveals how many bills aged past 60 days. March 2026, credit agencies downgrade. April 2026, the first restatement. The fraud that took 18 months to build unwinds in 90 days.
Fair value for Nvidia: $71 per share. Current price: $186. The math is simple.
This is the fastest moving financial fraud in history because algorithms detected it in real time. Human investors are 90 days behind.
Read the full data driven deep dive article here - open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

This weekend I designed something with AI to very accurately predict price movement one day in advance so I can trade using limit orders, market order no longer needed

Monday is forecast to be a bull candle with high of approximately 41 10. Tuesday Wednesday will be a beer candle with low of 4065. Thursday we will see Bull candle