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EURUSD & GOLD

  • #1,541
  • Sep 23, 2025 10:52am Sep 23, 2025 10:52am
The nickel price is set for a rally, TF W1, which means that electronics, appliances, and other durable or long-lasting goods will become more expensive.
  • #1,542
  • Sep 23, 2025 11:04am Sep 23, 2025 11:04am
in September month overall data was bad because trump tariff backfired badly on domestic market

but every month data cannot be bad, so chance of sideways consolidation exists

thursday and friday news may have the power to touch 3600 levels so stay alert
  • #1,543
  • Sep 23, 2025 11:19pm Sep 23, 2025 11:19pm
New Home Sales – this is the key indicator for USD today.
• If the data is above expectations → strong consumer signal → support for USD.
• If the data is below expectations → shows economic slowdown → pressure on USD.

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate, Applications, Refinance Index, Purchase Index
Impact on USD is usually small, but the market can react if sudden movements occur (e.g. strong rate hike)
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  • #1,544
  • Sep 23, 2025 11:45pm Sep 23, 2025 11:45pm
Whatever mistakes I do are real time in my account
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  • #1,545
  • Sep 24, 2025 12:16am Sep 24, 2025 12:16am
Quoting PatienceFx
Whatever mistakes I do are real time in my account {image}

Positive mistakes, intentional mistakes
  • #1,546
  • Sep 24, 2025 12:28am Sep 24, 2025 12:28am
Quoting Gelubrin
{quote} Positive mistakes, intentional mistakes
But it was a very good blessing because I had completely forgotten about an indicator I had made in 2008
And about which we had discussed I think one or two years back, in euro USD and I never thought it will always work in gold
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  • #1,547
  • Sep 24, 2025 12:35am Sep 24, 2025 12:35am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} But it was a very good blessing because I had completely forgotten about an indicator I had made in 2008 And about which we had discussed I think one or two years back, in euro USD and I never thought it will always work in gold {image}
this week i will not be interested in holding any buy position above 3781.58 the average weekly range

yesterday i made the mistake of buying at 3781.58 and paid the price
  • #1,548
  • Sep 24, 2025 12:44am Sep 24, 2025 12:44am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} this week i will not be interested in holding any buy position above 3781.58 the average weekly range yesterday i made the mistake of buying at 3781.58 and paid the price
maximum surprise can be 3804 but price will drop very fast on profit booking so not a good idea
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  • #1,549
  • Sep 24, 2025 12:48am Sep 24, 2025 12:48am
on monthly we are well above the average range so not a good idea to buy gold anywhere

lets shift to eurusd for now
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  • #1,550
  • Sep 24, 2025 12:53am Sep 24, 2025 12:53am
possible slide to 17638 on usd strength
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  • #1,551
  • Sep 24, 2025 1:13am Sep 24, 2025 1:13am
Quoting PatienceFx
possible slide to 17638 on usd strength {image}
Yes, USD futures are starting to be bought massively.
  • #1,552
  • Sep 24, 2025 4:52am Sep 24, 2025 4:52am
Quoting PatienceFx
possible slide to 17638 on usd strength {image}
Achieved
  • #1,553
  • Sep 24, 2025 5:13am Sep 24, 2025 5:13am
Eurusd with that setup gelubrin
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  • #1,554
  • Sep 24, 2025 5:45am Sep 24, 2025 5:45am
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  • #1,555
  • Sep 24, 2025 9:03am Sep 24, 2025 9:03am
The news was very strong for USD
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  • #1,556
  • Sep 24, 2025 9:12am Sep 24, 2025 9:12am
Bang on, congratulations Sir Gelubrin
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  • #1,557
  • Sep 24, 2025 5:51pm Sep 24, 2025 5:51pm
Ok, but normally the price shouldn't have dropped that much since September 23rd because no major economic indicators were released. Something else is moving the market. Big investors are now positioning themselves for Q4. Look at the contracts on Clear Port. Huge blocks of US 10y T Notes are negotiated bilaterally, then reported to the exchange and cleared centrally. If they were executed directly on Globex, they would move the market suddenly and create panic. Open interest has also increased, which shows us that there are new big buyers. Such moves occur in March, June, September and December. I think JP gives them the signal through his speech. TF D1/H4 shows us all this more visibly. After the first move, they let the price rise and then drop it sharply again.
Opinions?
  • #1,558
  • Sep 24, 2025 10:17pm Sep 24, 2025 10:17pm
Quoting Gelubrin
Ok, but normally the price shouldn't have dropped that much since September 23rd because no major economic indicators were released. Something else is moving the market. Big investors are now positioning themselves for Q4. Look at the contracts on Clear Port. Huge blocks of US 10y T Notes are negotiated bilaterally, then reported to the exchange and cleared centrally. If they were executed directly on Globex, they would move the market suddenly and create panic. Open interest has also increased, which shows us that there are new big buyers. Such...
"That’s an interesting breakdown, thanks for sharing. I agree that the big block trades on ClearPort and the timing with Q4 positioning suggest institutional flows are at play rather than just retail reaction. The increase in open interest definitely supports the idea of fresh participation rather than position squaring. I also think JP’s messaging is crucial here—it almost feels like markets are preemptively aligning themselves before he even speaks. One angle worth considering is whether these sharp up-and-down moves are more about liquidity management than pure directional bets. Have you looked at how the options market is positioning alongside these futures moves?"
  • #1,559
  • Sep 24, 2025 10:32pm Sep 24, 2025 10:32pm
The most active options reflect the current trading range with bid/ask prices in the 3,745 area and day ranges extending towards 3,779, capturing both bullish and bearish market sentiment.
  • #1,560
  • Sep 24, 2025 10:42pm Sep 24, 2025 10:42pm
suggest a trade for today
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