This is coincidence, random buying and selling or AI.
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- #624
- Aug 29, 2021 3:56pm Aug 29, 2021 3:56pm
- Joined Sep 2015 | Status: Trader | 2,516 Posts
{quote} What are the odds of all 3 born on the 13th., Good for your pops to be active at 92
The youngest was born on the 3rd month
His father was born on the 6th month
The grandfather was born on the 9th month
On the 13th of the 12th month, at the 13th hour
we eat lunch together whenever possible.
13 is not lucky, it’s my life
Trading thin liquidity at the boundary of the charts
- #626
- Aug 29, 2021 6:12pm Aug 29, 2021 6:12pm
- Joined Dec 2018 | Status: Trader | 4,594 Posts
{quote} To make that story even weirder
The youngest was born on the 3rd month
His father was born on the 6th month
The grandfather was born on the 9th month
On the 13th of the 12th month, at the 13th hour we eat lunch together whenever possible.
13 is not lucky, it’s my life
Hi Rick,
Well not only the beauty of #13
but #3, #6, #9
AS WELL
I'm fairly certain those were the numbers that N Tesla said ruled the basis of our universe (or something like that lol).
- #627
- Aug 29, 2021 7:14pm Aug 29, 2021 7:14pm
- Joined Dec 2018 | Status: Trader | 4,594 Posts
WAITING.
There’s more lol.
I spent three decades with my first speculation love of HORSE-RACING
(where the HORSES were the actual joy - and I'd "visit" them race day in their stalls to say hello well prior to their racetime when they were being final groomed),
I also spent three months in & around a greyhound trainer in Northern Victoria in the late 70’s/early 80’s.
I used to frustrate the Trainer by backing his longshots, and NOT his favourites in some races (and I explained to him why I did that sometimes).
I used to stand & just watch the greyhounds at the front of the starting ‘boxes’ (not at the finish line).
Some dogs would get massively wound up & excited when they heard the “whir” of the lure approaching. They would literally urinate in the box as the lure approached.
But also, some dogs would hear the lure and then “jump the gun” trying to PREDICT the opening of the boxes and would bang their noses against the still-closed gates.
The well-calmed dogs would merely wait till the ‘gates opened’ before exploding into action.
I reckoned it gave those wait’ers an advantage.
Not just over naturally slower dogs, but also the dogs that couldn’t wait and who tried to begin their race too early (before the boxes opened).
WAIT’ ing was a terrific trait I observed in the doggies so maybe why that's easier for me to do now in trading.
Ps and my penchant for short course racing (in horses & dogs) is probably my subconscious reason for me now scalping in day-trading Forex lol and not position or long-term trade holding
.
There’s more lol.
I spent three decades with my first speculation love of HORSE-RACING
(where the HORSES were the actual joy - and I'd "visit" them race day in their stalls to say hello well prior to their racetime when they were being final groomed),
I also spent three months in & around a greyhound trainer in Northern Victoria in the late 70’s/early 80’s.
I used to frustrate the Trainer by backing his longshots, and NOT his favourites in some races (and I explained to him why I did that sometimes).
I used to stand & just watch the greyhounds at the front of the starting ‘boxes’ (not at the finish line).
Some dogs would get massively wound up & excited when they heard the “whir” of the lure approaching. They would literally urinate in the box as the lure approached.
But also, some dogs would hear the lure and then “jump the gun” trying to PREDICT the opening of the boxes and would bang their noses against the still-closed gates.
The well-calmed dogs would merely wait till the ‘gates opened’ before exploding into action.
I reckoned it gave those wait’ers an advantage.
Not just over naturally slower dogs, but also the dogs that couldn’t wait and who tried to begin their race too early (before the boxes opened).
WAIT’ ing was a terrific trait I observed in the doggies so maybe why that's easier for me to do now in trading.
Ps and my penchant for short course racing (in horses & dogs) is probably my subconscious reason for me now scalping in day-trading Forex lol and not position or long-term trade holding
.
- #630
- Edited Aug 30, 2021 12:15am Aug 29, 2021 9:50pm | Edited Aug 30, 2021 12:15am
- Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Membership revoke | 2,332 Posts
Know what you trade
- #631
- Edited 11:18pm Aug 29, 2021 9:58pm | Edited 11:18pm
- Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Membership revoke | 2,332 Posts
Theres BUT Yes, the 'BUT' things that BWilliam never clearly anwer my questions are : How we visualize Nakamoto Bayesian probability decision model in real time while he move the price ? and How Nakamoto weighing his timing Risk and money management risk at flow of his charts ? Or The best things we can do is just WAITING for Nakamoto to show ITS hand and card ? Is this reaaly true ?
Or if you're this "wise" adult then pay for exotic tools that allow the trader to peer into the microscopic details of price in a parallel universe then apply this butterfly effect theory which gives the "extra" insider info to get ahead of us simpletons.
Ok ok since this is repeated so many times all over FF, I heard you(the first time) and I get it.... But I don't buy into this bs.
This time I use unbridled direct language.
One more thing about your query on bayesian probability, I wrote this post here.
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...4#post13685634
Nobody wants to be bored with such show off high school math. I realised that.
so let's not get into that.
Know what you trade
- #633
- Aug 30, 2021 12:28am Aug 30, 2021 12:28am
- Joined Dec 2018 | Status: Trader | 4,594 Posts
{quote} https://youtu.be/-WrUJO3tco8
Cheers BW for the greyhound race video link.
Others could look, if they were interested, at the START of the race. And keep their eyes on the two inside boxes, #1 and #2.
You can SEE what I was alluding to about waiting.
Those 2 inside dogs ‘rattle’ their gates, trying to push them open, BEFORE the lure passes and the ‘starter’ officially releases the latches.
--------------
I am always open & interested to hear everybody’s story in trading FX. I hold no illusions that I have found anything more than just a window of opportunity to take some scraps off the table (7-10 pips hopefully).
This all in a trade that starts AFTER a directional move is confirmed in my eyes. And then TP is well BEFORE the end of the direction cycle (which is often inside the later NY session for me).
I am not a big balls trader, and I don’t wish to be lol, for my own personal requirements.
All the best BW, (keep it nice
).Pete
- #634
- Edited 12:46am Aug 30, 2021 12:36am | Edited 12:46am
- Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Membership revoke | 2,332 Posts
{quote} Hi BW, simple but NOT easy is how I would refer to - waiting.
)https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...8#post13677218
I have no reason, for however I trade FX myself, to cast any judgement on any others. I applaud all those who have found a way to put the odds in their favour when trading. That is the grail as I see it.
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...0#post13461920
Perhaps you are correct about the way I did it, blare out loud on FF. That's blardy rude buddy. Ok, be nice........ on FF.
Bang deano, get some medication for our uncontrollable mouth.
Cheers, back to waiting mode.
Know what you trade
- #635
- Aug 30, 2021 12:46am Aug 30, 2021 12:46am
- Joined Dec 2018 | Status: Trader | 4,594 Posts
{quote} https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...0#post13461920
Perhaps you are correct about the way I did it, blare out loud on FF. Ok, be nice........ on FF.
Hahaa, yes BW, I remember those good old Real Or Algo thread days.
Maybe YOU are right, who knows.
We went at it head & head there for a while. And ended up as pals (through the blessed mare Winx, as I remember).
All the best Jason, I know you are only trying to help, in your own way, I do understand that.
- #636
- Aug 30, 2021 12:48am Aug 30, 2021 12:48am
- Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Membership revoke | 2,332 Posts
Know what you trade
- #637
- Aug 30, 2021 1:05am Aug 30, 2021 1:05am
- Joined May 2010 | Status: Straight line Fest | 3,194 Posts
{quote} It means a lot to read that. Thanks.
- #638
- Aug 30, 2021 1:09am Aug 30, 2021 1:09am
- Joined Dec 2018 | Status: Trader | 4,594 Posts
{quote} Pete/Jason …. Have booked a room for you..
And, Andy, who are YOU kicking out to make the room
- #639
- Aug 30, 2021 1:16am Aug 30, 2021 1:16am
- Joined May 2010 | Status: Straight line Fest | 3,194 Posts
{quote}
Have booked you into the Backpackers special...
- #640
- Aug 30, 2021 1:19am Aug 30, 2021 1:19am
- Joined Dec 2018 | Status: Trader | 4,594 Posts
{quote} lol Have booked you into the Backpackers special...
lol
Ahhh, that's right, you had a permanent booking there, as I remember
