Good morning guys I want to make an observation. Are the previous performances due to luck or not? This is a question only you 2 guys can answer. This type of ALL IN trading style will work only with high win rate setups (80% and above). Do you agree with me? If so, did you measured your setups performance over 5 or 10 years backtesting? Having that info you will easily see if this type of trading is applicable or not. On average, retail traders have between 25% 45% win rate. I agree with you that this ALL IN style is the quickest way to make real...
About win-rate.. I think if you look this CHEETAH with "classical" parameters, you might be disappointed... As I explained before... win-rate means nothing if you do not specify R:R ratio! Also, as you noticed, sequence of wins/loses is important for CHEETAH style (check my previous posts pls, this one for example!)! Additionally.. we try to "CHEET" this win-rate with re-depositing... Remember, we only have to STRIKE big "n" ONCE! or many times a little lower "n"... burning (smaller) deposits along the way, destroying stats... as long as overall withdrawal outweight the deposits/burners..
If you want to stick with classical indicators.. like R:R level, win-rate.. I would suggest you you check the more normal threads (of mine) or the one from others... and even there is debatable about what indicators/stat really tell something... Would much more advise for you to check the TradeList (of anyone).. to see for yourself what trades did or would go through at certain parameters.. Specially... was the predicted price reached? How soon, at what "error" aka counter-direction before it went there... Would different TP/SL be hit..
- For GOLD: https://www.metalsmine.com/showthread.php?t=951941
- For WTI: https://www.energyexch.com/showthread.php?t=951937
I started similar threads before as you know but the more I tried to deeper explain, the more we deviated from the simple principles... Again, we try to either REACH as high N as possible.. and then we do not care if it FAILS forever... n=12 means 250USD->1mio... And STOP.. precisely for that reason, to not "give back" aka overtrade into loss... So you see, it might very well get to 1mio... and then fail so many times that win-rate would drop "nothing"... Some traders did got to 100k BTW, out of small deposits.. but overtraded back... We already proved here that x100 on the deposit is possible... The question is, how higher even and how many times we might lose before hitting that kind of strike...
Also, with all that being said... I note again that this strategy might be better for "new" because some that are in trading for too long would have a hard time getting over this R:R and win-rate "rules"...
Backtesting...
Since this cheetah is MAINLY about HUMAN-part.. at least in my case.. I do not know how could I backtest this.. It is not an automated formula/EA that I could backtest 5-10years...
also when you state average win-rate... you mean at R:R 1:1 ? Because there is massive difference... You could earn BILLIONs from 30% win-rate... But yes, not with R:R 1:1... So if someone says to me about win-rate without at least R:R combined to it... it doesn't say much to me...
But I can tell you right away, even before this test is over... If you are looking for 80% consistent win-rate.. that you could somehow backtest YEARS back.. and possibly even make EA out of it... You might not find it or we would all become BILLIONAIRES very fast.. out of pocket change... Because any longterm/consistent edge could one find.. that could be leveraged beyond the max...
Realistically... At this TS... CHEETAH, I think the best we can hope for is, as in any TS tbh... for it to work for some time... some small window even... for us to GO BIG, STRIKE, SPEEED, and PULL-out before it might crash or before we meet the Swan... It is the same logic in other ventures also... About timing, exploiting the opportunity... For other longerterm gains.. but considerably lower.. there are better TSs/investments I think...
So If I haven't explained so far, I won't be able to not in 500 pages... which I might try but not now... Right now the focus is on TEST... (part 2) btw... Part 1 is complete, check previous posts.... if Part 2 goes through, we go live... Part 3... And THEN. if it reaches good enough n at least.. best would be n=12... THEN we
make substantial analysis... if it was luck or not... If it was, GOOD laugh, glad we made it If it wasn't.. that would mean we striked on something... and would be time to up the game for a new target.. which you know what is... B(s)... That is all...
Opened USDCAD 0.04 lot 1.32877. TP is set after the news come through. Big reason is USDCAD flatting and doesn't break higher. Another reason is this picture. Been using it for Gold trading . It was created as a joke in r/wallstreetbets but it works surprisingly {image}
. That's why I'm trying to show my value of signals to form some sort of group of cheetah's and only hitting huge returns without thinking about it. I think if we get in a nonstop winning trades, Forex will get boring 
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So yeah, no a walk in the park, but I believe it could be done... We have already proved in virtual example that 250USD->50k+ could be... and is not that "n" more from there to 1mio (less than n=5
. FOLLOW YOUR GUT . I already failed my 2 signals that were correct. Can't trust myself.