dear trader,
if you enter the market randomly with tp. and sl. +-20 pips for example you will after few amount of trades get the result of 49.5 to 50.5 ~ win to loss ratio... i tested it like 1000 times
now i have a question and you maybe tested it already or can help me answer it kindly??
(or have the possibilty to test it)
Its somehow in my head and i dont know but it seems logic but you never know...... so for example:
If you look at a series of 10 trades... it should probably be 5 wins 5 losses with 1:1 RR - of course its sometimes 8 wins 2 losses or 3 wins 7 losses etc. But in the long run its almost win and loss 50% ~
I thought what if you trade for example 2 trades lot size 0.01 RR 1:1 20 pips, now both lost - now you increase lot size to 0.1 and trade 8 trades! Now you have traded 10 trades, you continue now to reduce lot size to 0.01 and trade again till 2 losses apear then you increase lot size again to 0.1 and trade 8 trades...
Lets say you do it with 500 trades! Your win rate should be around 50%~ ? Right ? Cause you did 500 random trades but cause u let out 2 first losses the average win amount should be bigger then 50 %!
Why? If 2 trades out of 10 already lost -> and you continue trading 8 further trades (random) in the long run you should have won more trades with 0.1 lot size then lost with 0.1 lot size! Cause in average long run you should lose and win 5 and 5
So to speak
2/10 trades 0.01 lot
8/10 trades 0.1 lot
Means out of 10 trades, average win is 5 trades and 5 loss
So in this theory in the average term you should win 5 trades with lot size 0.1 and lose 3 trades lot size 0.1 + 2 trades lot size 0.01
Has anyone ever tried something similar and has some review or information to it ?
So you start trading with lot site 0.01 and if 2 losses in a row appear you increase lot and trade another 8 trades.
Then you go back zo 0.01 lot size and trade till 2 errors appear in row, increase lot to 0.1 and trade 8 trades again .... so in the long run its 50:50 but im not quite sure if the average amount won is 50:50-> could simply be more
If you would lose 6 trade out of thes ten! :
Then you would have lost
2 trades 0.01
4 trades 0.1
And won
4 trades 0.1
So basically you lost 60 % of the trades but the money you lost is 50:50~
So if you would have won 5 out of 10 trades (which should happen in the long longe long run)
Loss:
2 trades 0.01
3 trades 0.1
Won:
5 trades 0.1
So basically if it would have been 20 pipps sl tp
You would have won 100$ and losst 64 $ with an RR 1:1 and an average win of 50% which means above average win
Idk but if you could help me solve this i would appreciate
Or backtest it somehow.
Kind regards
Kind regards
if you enter the market randomly with tp. and sl. +-20 pips for example you will after few amount of trades get the result of 49.5 to 50.5 ~ win to loss ratio... i tested it like 1000 times
now i have a question and you maybe tested it already or can help me answer it kindly??
(or have the possibilty to test it)
Its somehow in my head and i dont know but it seems logic but you never know...... so for example:
If you look at a series of 10 trades... it should probably be 5 wins 5 losses with 1:1 RR - of course its sometimes 8 wins 2 losses or 3 wins 7 losses etc. But in the long run its almost win and loss 50% ~
I thought what if you trade for example 2 trades lot size 0.01 RR 1:1 20 pips, now both lost - now you increase lot size to 0.1 and trade 8 trades! Now you have traded 10 trades, you continue now to reduce lot size to 0.01 and trade again till 2 losses apear then you increase lot size again to 0.1 and trade 8 trades...
Lets say you do it with 500 trades! Your win rate should be around 50%~ ? Right ? Cause you did 500 random trades but cause u let out 2 first losses the average win amount should be bigger then 50 %!
Why? If 2 trades out of 10 already lost -> and you continue trading 8 further trades (random) in the long run you should have won more trades with 0.1 lot size then lost with 0.1 lot size! Cause in average long run you should lose and win 5 and 5
So to speak
2/10 trades 0.01 lot
8/10 trades 0.1 lot
Means out of 10 trades, average win is 5 trades and 5 loss
So in this theory in the average term you should win 5 trades with lot size 0.1 and lose 3 trades lot size 0.1 + 2 trades lot size 0.01
Has anyone ever tried something similar and has some review or information to it ?
So you start trading with lot site 0.01 and if 2 losses in a row appear you increase lot and trade another 8 trades.
Then you go back zo 0.01 lot size and trade till 2 errors appear in row, increase lot to 0.1 and trade 8 trades again .... so in the long run its 50:50 but im not quite sure if the average amount won is 50:50-> could simply be more
If you would lose 6 trade out of thes ten! :
Then you would have lost
2 trades 0.01
4 trades 0.1
And won
4 trades 0.1
So basically you lost 60 % of the trades but the money you lost is 50:50~
So if you would have won 5 out of 10 trades (which should happen in the long longe long run)
Loss:
2 trades 0.01
3 trades 0.1
Won:
5 trades 0.1
So basically if it would have been 20 pipps sl tp
You would have won 100$ and losst 64 $ with an RR 1:1 and an average win of 50% which means above average win
Idk but if you could help me solve this i would appreciate
Or backtest it somehow.
Kind regards
Kind regards