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Metals Outlook: Cash and Futures

  • #21
  • Jun 6, 2019 4:11am Jun 6, 2019 4:11am
Quoting bigtx
Beyfor, it looks like all your charts here are Daily or high TFs. Can you give me some insight as to how you use lower TFs, if at all?
BIGTX speaking for myself. Try and approach it with a top down approach....so look to identify you possible buy or sell levels, mark them out and then look at what price action is doing on the lower time frame on or around that area...... So that could be possible divergence and or even candle stick formation that supports your initial outlook......

Hope it helps
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #22
  • Jun 6, 2019 8:20am Jun 6, 2019 8:20am
Anyone having any view on Zinc and Nickel among the base metals pack??
  • #23
  • Jun 6, 2019 9:14am Jun 6, 2019 9:14am
Quoting swagtrading
Anyone having any view on Zinc and Nickel among the base metals pack??
I have never traded or invested in those commodities...sorry
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  • #24
  • Jun 6, 2019 9:52am Jun 6, 2019 9:52am
Quoting swagtrading
Anyone having any view on Zinc and Nickel among the base metals pack??
where does one trade those?
Keep It Simple With Sentiment (KISWS) - Trade and Profit like the Pros!
  • #25
  • Jun 6, 2019 9:55am Jun 6, 2019 9:55am
Quoting Beyfor
Copper {image} {image}
do you have one of those seasonal projections for gold or silver?
Keep It Simple With Sentiment (KISWS) - Trade and Profit like the Pros!
  • #26
  • Jun 6, 2019 11:48am Jun 6, 2019 11:48am
Quoting perma-bull
{quote} do you have one of those seasonal projections for gold or silver?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gold seasonal.jpg Size: 126 KB
  • #27
  • Jun 6, 2019 7:11pm Jun 6, 2019 7:11pm
Quoting MzansiObi
{quote} BIGTX speaking for myself. Try and approach it with a top down approach....so look to identify you possible buy or sell levels, mark them out and then look at what price action is doing on the lower time frame on or around that area...... So that could be possible divergence and or even candle stick formation that supports your initial outlook...... Hope it helps
Thanks Mzansi! I do almost all my analysis on the larger timeframes. That part makes sense. I get how smaller timeframes can be beneficial too, but that has just felt like guessing to me. I appreciate your useful info.
  • #28
  • Jun 6, 2019 7:27pm Jun 6, 2019 7:27pm
Quoting Beyfor
{quote} {image}
That lines up well with the seasonal chart I created for gold:

Attached Image


Seems like the bulls have a clear advantage between August through January.
Self-sufficiency is the greatest of all wealth. - Epicurus
  • #29
  • Jun 7, 2019 3:57am Jun 7, 2019 3:57am
Quoting Ef5
{quote} That lines up well with the seasonal chart I created for gold: {image} Seems like the bulls have a clear advantage between August through January.
Lol I know of a guy that looked at astronomy (star signs when looking to predict PA. Tried to correlate it with the markets) needless to say his no longer trading........
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #30
  • Jun 7, 2019 3:58am Jun 7, 2019 3:58am
Quoting bigtx
{quote} Thanks Mzansi! I do almost all my analysis on the larger timeframes. That part makes sense. I get how smaller timeframes can be beneficial too, but that has just felt like guessing to me. I appreciate your useful info.
I for one, don't necessarily trade the lower time frames. Will just look for hints on them as an entry.......my issue is unless ecalpinh, then you're more susceptible to finding yourself trading lots of false signals
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #31
  • Jun 7, 2019 4:58am Jun 7, 2019 4:58am
Quoting swagtrading
Anyone having any view on Zinc and Nickel among the base metals pack??
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ZINC WEEKLY.jpg Size: 194 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: zinc wh stocks.jpg Size: 129 KB
  • #32
  • Jun 7, 2019 7:46am Jun 7, 2019 7:46am
Quoting Ef5
Seems like the bulls have a clear advantage between August through January.
Like stocks "Sell in May and go away."

Gold "Sell in January and... drive away in your ferrari.."
Keep It Simple With Sentiment (KISWS) - Trade and Profit like the Pros!
  • #33
  • Jun 7, 2019 4:35pm Jun 7, 2019 4:35pm
Quoting Ef5
{quote} That lines up well with the seasonal chart I created for gold: {image} Seems like the bulls have a clear advantage between August through January.
What time period is this? How did you create it?
  • #34
  • Jun 7, 2019 4:38pm Jun 7, 2019 4:38pm
Quoting perma-bull
{quote} Like stocks "Sell in May and go away." Gold "Sell in January and... drive away in your ferrari.."
Ferrari?! I need to trade with you more often. I rode in a Ferrari once - the guy driving was an absolutely lunatic behind the wheel. Damn near tried to kill me! Someday maybe I'll repay the favor.
  • #35
  • Jun 8, 2019 5:11pm Jun 8, 2019 5:11pm
Quoting bigtx
{quote} What time period is this? How did you create it?
The chart is based on the past 40 years. All I did to create it was download the monthly data, add a new column to show the month without the year, calculated the monthly change, and created a pivotchart showing avg monthly change.
Self-sufficiency is the greatest of all wealth. - Epicurus
  • #36
  • Jun 9, 2019 2:00pm Jun 9, 2019 2:00pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gold daily 61.jpg Size: 228 KB
  • #37
  • Jun 9, 2019 2:01pm Jun 9, 2019 2:01pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #38
  • Jun 9, 2019 2:03pm Jun 9, 2019 2:03pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: copper july19 daily 7.jpg Size: 183 KB
  • #39
  • Jun 10, 2019 10:32am Jun 10, 2019 10:32am
Silver is falling back into the area where buyers dominated (via shorts stopping out) last week. I am watching intently to see if the order flow will turn to buying dominance once more in this area. Bottom of day's price action appears to be mostly buying.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #40
  • Jun 10, 2019 7:33pm Jun 10, 2019 7:33pm
Quoting DonPato
Silver is falling back into the area where buyers dominated (via shorts stopping out) last week. I am watching intently to see if the order flow will turn to buying dominance once more in this area. Bottom of day's price action appears to be mostly buying. {image}
That makes sense to me. It may be range bound short term, but I can't see it losing much value going forward. While everyone is uncertain, I think gold and silver will continue to be in demand. Gold has had it's day, but silver will rip too if risk continues to stick around.
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