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Make More Money - Eliminate DRAMA 11 replies

Just posting my trades, everyone is welcome but no drama 2 replies

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Gold with No Drama

  • #40,481
  • Mar 11, 2026 1:33pm Mar 11, 2026 1:33pm
Quoting louiiey
{quote} Not to argue politics but trump did a complete 180 on his immigration policy, firstly by letting the wealthy buy citizen status in the country then more recently by pulling ICE out of areas where illegal immigration was running rampant. He has done a massive disservice to his voters by both doing this and entering the war with Iran which he promised not to do. I'd get your facts right before insinuating other regions are "weak" and "politically stupid"
The Trump clean up in the US is not over by a long shot.
His administration has intel on Iran trying to Assassinate him long before he attacked them. Not a secret. It is general knowledge. His voters are perfectly ok with him.
Only a leader with a backbone will address the "death to America" slogans. They have learned the hard way.
Iran will be liberated and the Persian people will determine their own destiny.
Let us stick to trading and keep politics aside. This is a trading forum with clear rules.
G
Never Ever Give Up!
  • #40,482
  • Mar 11, 2026 1:36pm Mar 11, 2026 1:36pm
Inflation is still sticky → Bullish for Gold
The report shows inflation is not falling much:

  1. Headline CPI: 0.3% MoM
  2. Core CPI: 0.2% MoM
  3. YoY inflation: ~2.4–2.5%

But the details matter more:
Strong price increases in:

  1. Gasoline
  2. Airfares
  3. Housing
  4. Medical care
  5. Food & beverages
  6. Apparel

This tells traders inflation pressure is still embedded in services.
Market interpretation:

  1. Inflation not fully under control
  2. Real purchasing power risk remains

Historically that supports gold demand as an inflation hedge.
2. War risk + energy spike → Very bullish for gold
Your note about Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruption is critical.
If the Strait of Hormuz is restricted:

  1. ~20% of global oil supply is affected
  2. Energy prices spike
  3. Inflation rises again

Higher energy → higher inflation → investors hedge with gold.
Geopolitical crises usually cause safe-haven flows into gold.
3. The Fed may pause rate cuts → Mixed impact
The report suggests Federal Reserve will likely:

  1. Wait and see
  2. Avoid cutting rates quickly

Higher rates normally hurt gold because gold has no yield.
But if inflation rises while growth slows, the Fed gets trapped.
That scenario is called stagflation, which historically is very bullish for gold.
4. Market psychology matters more than CPI headline
Even though CPI was “in-line”, markets care about future inflation, not past data.
Your text basically says:
February might be the lowest inflation reading for a while.
If traders believe inflation will rise again:

  1. bond yields may rise
  2. but gold still attracts safe-haven flows

5. Short-term vs medium-term impact on gold
Short term (days)
Gold can be volatile because:

  1. CPI not worse than expected
  2. Fed may stay cautious

So price may range or pull back slightly.
Medium term (weeks/months)
Bullish drivers are building:

  1. Iran conflict risk
  2. Oil inflation shock
  3. Sticky services inflation
  4. Slowing job growth

That combination historically pushes gold higher.
Simple trader interpretation
If you trade gold (like XAUUSD):
Bullish factors

  1. War risk
  2. Energy inflation
  3. Sticky services inflation

Bearish factors

  1. Fed delaying rate cuts
  2. Strong USD

Right now geopolitics > CPI headline.
Conclusion:
This CPI report is mildly bullish for gold, and if oil spikes because of the Iran situation, gold likely trends higher again after pullbacks.

  • #40,483
  • Mar 11, 2026 1:38pm Mar 11, 2026 1:38pm
i literally hate it when the data sis undecisive
stagflation is headache
  • #40,484
  • Mar 11, 2026 1:42pm Mar 11, 2026 1:42pm
Quoting XcapeReality
{quote} So far gold has not reacted quite as many hoped with the war and oil supply. Plus I would say that has a more immediate direct impact on oil and thats where the money most likely would be first
I'm pretty sure it has to go down with all news considered... Asia will probably touch 5123 at least and I think we'll get some new range a bit lower than where we are.
  • #40,485
  • Mar 11, 2026 1:51pm Mar 11, 2026 1:51pm
Man look at these cute 5m minions - lmaoo
Anyways, have a good day everyone, logging off for today
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~ Jester
  • #40,486
  • Mar 11, 2026 1:52pm Mar 11, 2026 1:52pm
Quoting louiiey
{quote} I'm pretty sure it has to go down with all news considered... Asia will probably touch 5123 at least and I think we'll get some new range a bit lower than where we are.
That's the similar feeling I was getting. I am looking lower for potential buys but will trade what gets presented. Today just looks like hot garbage for now. Some scalps to steal here and there but no clear direction yet
  • #40,487
  • Mar 11, 2026 1:53pm Mar 11, 2026 1:53pm
Quoting Huzaifa88
Inflation is still sticky → Bullish for Gold The report shows inflation is not falling much: Headline CPI: 0.3% MoM Core CPI: 0.2% MoM YoY inflation: ~2.4–2.5% But the details matter more: Strong price increases in: Gasoline Airfares Housing Medical care Food & beverages Apparel This tells traders inflation pressure is still embedded in services. Market interpretation: Inflation not fully under control Real purchasing power risk remains Historically that supports gold demand as an inflation hedge. 2. War risk + energy spike → Very bullish...
are you giving us ai analysis?
  • #40,488
  • Mar 11, 2026 2:55pm Mar 11, 2026 2:55pm
Quoting Deal
Serious, there are no defined bias. If you guys use volatility with volume ( not forget yesterday ) what seems so bearish is not so straigth, price always fluctuates, if no certain of a bias, take advantage of those price zones, is where they average, is not any zone... They are correlated, volume and volatility... We never close below 5158 like i mention early, all was aligned... And we can also averaging 4h, but no time to check it. Only had this 15m so, i am leaving, safe trades. EDIT: A tip, a break of 5197.175 in 15m price will tap here again.......
5 hours ago and didn't happen a fully break of this 15m range lol
Was waiting for me...
  • #40,489
  • Edited 3:31pm Mar 11, 2026 3:05pm | Edited 3:31pm
Quoting Cobra
{quote} A clown is one who opens his country's borders to invite the enemy in. Like the rulers of your country. Take your BS anti Trump rhetoric elsewhere. Here we trade and discuss trading. We don't showcase our weakness and political stupidity. G
What I said was my point of view; whether you liked it or not is irrelevant. You're the one who brought politics into it. It seems I touched a nerve by calling The idol you worship clown.
  • #40,490
  • Mar 11, 2026 3:31pm Mar 11, 2026 3:31pm
Quoting Sunny008
========== XAUUSD TRADER FORECAST ========== Origin Close : 5,193.920 Market Bias : BULLISH Prob Up : 60.1% Confidence : Slight Bullish 24H FORECAST High : 5,216.893 Low : 5,149.124 Final Close : 5,184.514 ASIA SESSION High Q50 : 5,222.042 Low Q50 : 5,160.184 LONDON SESSION High Q50 : 5,225.105 Low Q50 : 5,148.481 NEW YORK SESSION High Q50 : 5,217.017 Low Q50 : 5,157.706 remember news can make it wrong and in backtest is tell 40$ variations
Guys how you find today's predictions?
  • #40,491
  • Mar 11, 2026 3:32pm Mar 11, 2026 3:32pm
Break of ATH or 4850 continue the trade,no trade till that(june?)
Positive pips to All
  • #40,492
  • Mar 11, 2026 3:46pm Mar 11, 2026 3:46pm
5-0
I know is few pips, is what average offer...
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  • #40,493
  • Mar 11, 2026 5:19pm Mar 11, 2026 5:19pm
========== XAUUSD TRADER FORECAST ==========
Origin Close : 5,177.193
Market Bias : BULLISH
Prob Up : 53.4%
Confidence : Neutral
24H FORECAST
High : 5,197.606
Low : 5,151.794
Final Close : 5,183.071
ASIA SESSION
High Q50 : 5,198.592
Low Q50 : 5,141.428
LONDON SESSION
High Q50 : 5,200.255
Low Q50 : 5,137.821
NEW YORK SESSION
High Q50 : 5,193.941
Low Q50 : 5,137.865
  • #40,494
  • Mar 11, 2026 5:43pm Mar 11, 2026 5:43pm
TP'ed at 65 instead of waiting for 59
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"Death created time to grow the things that it would kill"
  • #40,495
  • Mar 11, 2026 5:51pm Mar 11, 2026 5:51pm
The US will have to return $480 billion because of those tariffs. bruh
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  • #40,496
  • Mar 11, 2026 5:59pm Mar 11, 2026 5:59pm
Quoting misheal
TP'ed at 65 instead of waiting for 59 {image}
proceeds to hit 5130
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"Death created time to grow the things that it would kill"
  • #40,497
  • Mar 11, 2026 6:07pm Mar 11, 2026 6:07pm
Quoting XcapeReality
{quote} That's the similar feeling I was getting. I am looking lower for potential buys but will trade what gets presented. Today just looks like hot garbage for now. Some scalps to steal here and there but no clear direction yet
looks like I was right but not as low as I wanted it.
  • #40,498
  • Mar 11, 2026 6:12pm Mar 11, 2026 6:12pm
Quoting louiiey
{quote} looks like I was right but not as low as I wanted it.
has the session reached its low 4 today?
  • #40,499
  • Mar 11, 2026 6:18pm Mar 11, 2026 6:18pm
Quoting louiiey
{quote} looks like I was right but not as low as I wanted it.
Still time, Asia is not in full swing yet. That was a good looking drop. I am not too worried about catching the bottom and I doubt I can stay awake much longer .

Will see where things are in a couple hours
  • #40,500
  • Mar 11, 2026 6:41pm Mar 11, 2026 6:41pm
Quoting XcapeReality
{quote} Still time, Asia is not in full swing yet. That was a good looking drop. I am not too worried about catching the bottom and I doubt I can stay awake much longer . Will see where things are in a couple hours
Yeah it's a real shame it plays out like this... I exited my short I'd been holding all day too early, entered another one and we have another stall. You're right, I can see Asia breaching through 5123 easy from here and if / when the do, they'll set a new range somewhere lower. Though I need my sleep also, I'm starting to look like I belong in the Tokyo session
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