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- MBT-Nev replied Oct 11, 2023
Most of the markets I follow are going sideways as we head into the FOMC meeting minutes release and the inflation data. European bourses have held onto the mixed theme seen at the cash open with underperformance seen in the CAC 40 and Euro Stoxx 50 ...
- MBT-Nev replied Oct 9, 2023
image I did some marketing campaign analysis for the prop firm, and it shows that 82% of the interactions are male and that the majority of them are over the age of 45. The only people with money to trade it would seem are the middle age men of ...
- MBT-Nev replied Oct 6, 2023
image This is what NFP did last month, will be interesting to see how they trade it today. Clearly, the jobs data is the focus for the week and this is what the banks have to say: file file But for me, the moves in Oil have been the most ...
- MBT-Nev replied Oct 5, 2023
I wrote a new blog post today --> HERE <-- I discuss the macro spending of the US government and how the $7 trillion helps keep the S&P500 higher. Also, how the interest payments are adding to the US government deficit. Lots of people talk down $33 ...
- MBT-Nev replied Oct 4, 2023
The US Treasury sell-off continues and it feels like something is about to break. Higher cross-market volatility and wider credit spreads very much favour conservative positioning - which in the current environment means holding dollars. Look for ...
- MBT-Nev replied Oct 2, 2023
US House and Senate passed a short-term spending bill to keep the government funded until November 14th. APAC stocks traded mixed in severely holiday-quietened conditions amid the mass closures in the region. European equity futures are indicative ...
- MBT-Nev replied Sep 27, 2023
ING file US dollar DXY hasn't shown any signs of the bears being in control. I waited patiently for a reversal yesterday after the 106.00 but the bulls took control again. Is 109 and then 110 the target? image
- MBT-Nev replied Sep 26, 2023
Would you take this trade? image It implies that the DXY is still rising and that Oil will coming lower. file Their previous trade idea resulted in a loss
- MBT-Nev replied Sep 26, 2023
file News Headlines I am going to keep my eye on the DXY today. 106.00 was a big level for them to take. There may not be much more in this part of the rally image
- MBT-Nev replied Sep 25, 2023
Looking for a continuation lower in the S&P500, so willing to sell any rally. Here are the levels that I will be monitoring today url file file
- MBT-Nev replied Sep 24, 2023
G10 USD: Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index at 13:30 BST for Aug. (September 25); Dallas Fed Manf. Activity at 15:30 BST for Sep. (September 25); Fed's Kashkari Speaks at 23:00 BST. (September 25); New Home Sales at 15:00 BST for Aug. (September 26); ...
- MBT-Nev replied Sep 21, 2023
file As Turkey has out-of-control inflation and rising interest rates, here is the correlation of high interest rates = lower inflation. Oh wait! it doesn't work like that! image
- MBT-Nev replied Sep 20, 2023
FOMC tonight, and then what? image Well, we've been going sideways for nearly 3 months, so I will be glad to get the rate pause out of the way and see where the market decides to go. I personally don't care what the FOMC decides as I follow the ...
- MBT-Nev replied Sep 19, 2023
If you ever thought that the Institutional Money was clever and the rest of us were dumb, you should check out this document I received today from Sociéte Generale image First thing to notice is that they haven't updated the footer date since ...
- MBT-Nev replied Sep 19, 2023
The trading world is bracing itself for the FOMC decision tomorrow night. There is currently 99% chance of a pause with a 1% chance of a rate hike. image It is not until January 2024 does the market starts pricing in a rate cut. The current ...
- MBT-Nev replied Sep 18, 2023
With the FOMC coming up it is worth looking at the DXY chart to see how long the US dollar has been rising. image It's basically been a moonshot since July 2023 and with the Fed raising rates at the last meeting it should come as no surprise. ...
- MBT-Nev replied Sep 15, 2023
US stocks rallied with risk sentiment spurred by several factors including strong US data, a dovish ECB hike, the PBoC RRR cut, and a blockbuster Arm IPO. APAC stocks gained after global risk was fuelled by the upside in Europe and the US; Hang Seng ...
- MBT-Nev replied Sep 14, 2023
More thoughts: In the Asia-Pacific region, the risk tone has taken a constructive turn as Treasury yields dipped following the release of the US CPI inflation report. The report revealed that the annual core inflation rate had fallen to 4.3%, the ...
- MBT-Nev replied Sep 14, 2023
Today's thoughts summarised from Bloomberg articles: European Central Bank Dilemma: The European Central Bank (ECB) is facing a decision on whether to raise interest rates for the 10th consecutive time, and this decision hinges on the speed at which ...
- Posts by Member Search: 'MBT-Nev'