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Aluminium deficit persists despite easing Middle East tensions
The signing of a preliminary Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between the US and Iran last week, alongside the extension of the ceasefire, has eased concerns over further disruptions to aluminium supply and key shipping routes in the Middle East. However, while the agreement lowers the risk of additional supply losses, it does not materially change our outlook for the aluminium market. We continue to expect the global aluminium market to remain in deficit this year. Supply disruptions linked to the conflict have already removed an estimated 3 million tonnes of production from the market. As a result, we continue to ... (full story)