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FOMC Meeting Preview: So Much for 2% Inflation this Year?
Traders and economists expect the Fed to hold interest rates in the 3.75-4.00% range with high confidence As of writing, Fed Funds futures traders are pricing in 99% odds of no change to interest rates per CME FedWatch: chart Even looking out over the next couple meetings, traders are pricing in 75%+ odds of no change to rates through June, so interest rates are highly likely to remain on hold until at least the second half of the year as it stands. Assuming the Fed leaves rates unchanged as expected, the market’s focus will immediately shift to the central bank’s Monetary Policy Statement, Summary of Economic ... (full story)
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The war in Iran has thrust the world's major central banks into a familiar — and deeply uncomfortable — position. Just as inflation pressures were easing and policymakers were preparing to move toward rate cuts, a surge in energy prices driven by disruptions in the Middle East is complicating the global outlook. The result is a worsening policy dilemma: ...
The United States has been informed by most of our NATO “Allies” that they don’t want to get involved with our Military Operation against the Terrorist Regime of Iran, in the Middle East, this, despite the fact that almost every Country strongly agreed with what we are doing, and that Iran cannot, in any way, shape, or form, be allowed to have a Nuclear Weapon. I am not surprised by their action, however, because I always considered NATO, where we spend Hundreds of Billions of Dollars per year protecting these same Countries, to be a one way street — We will protect them, but they will do nothing for us, in particular, in a time of need. Fortunately, we have decimated Iran’s Military — Their Navy is gone, their Air Force is gone, their Anti-Aircraft and Radar is gone and perhaps, most importantly, their Leaders, at virtually every level, are gone, never to threaten us, our Middle Eastern Allies, or the World, again! Because of the fact that we have had such Military Success, we no longer “need,” or desire, the NATO Countries’ assistance — WE NEVER DID! Likewise, Japan, Australia, or South Korea. In fact, speaking as President of the United States of America, by far the Most Powerful Country Anywhere in the World, WE DO NOT NEED THE HELP OF ANYONE! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP Trump: We no longer need Japan's, Australia's, or South Korea's support.
The Iran war has scrambled the Federal Reserve’s outlook on inflation and unemployment and will likely further delay interest rate cuts this year, putting off any relief for consumers struggling with high borrowing costs for home and car purchases. The spike in oil and gas prices presents already-divided Fed officials with a worst-case scenario as they ...
