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Inflation Guy’s US CPI Summary (February 2026)
It’s going to be hard to get too jazzed about today’s CPI report. Because it is entirely a pre-Iran-war number, it won’t have any of the energy spike that will make next month’s figure so exciting/alarming. Now, ordinarily I’d say that this will be the last ‘clean’ number without those influences, but this number isn’t in any sense clean because there are still echoes of the shutdown in it. Still, the fun part of those echoes will be in April’s number when the rent figures will have a one month spike as the October OER sample (all zeroes by assumption) drops out of the calculation. And that month ... (full story)
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Economists expect February’s Consumer Price Index report to show rising consumer prices and inflation stuck well above the Fed’s 2% target. The year kicked off with softer-than-expected inflation in January, thanks to early dips in durable goods and energy prices. While the Iran War has caused oil prices to spike over the last week, economists say ...
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in February, after rising 0.2 percent in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.4 percent before seasonal adjustment. The index for shelter rose 0.2 percent in February ...
Inflation likely was elevated last month even before the spike in oil and gas prices of the past two weeks that is expected to send consumer costs soaring in the months ahead. Consumer prices are forecast to have risen 2.5% in February from a year earlier when the Labor Department reports last month’s figures Wednesday, according to a survey of economists ...
