Powell: Labor market seems to have significant downside risks

*POWELL: GRADUAL LABOR MARKET COOLING JUSTIFIED RATE CUT TODAY Fed's Powell: We think there's a negative 20,000 in payrolls per month. ?*POWELL: WE THINK JOB GAINS OVERSTATED BY 60K IN RECENT MONTHS Fed's Powell: Evidence is growing that services inflation has come down, and goods inflation is entirely due to tariffs. Fed's Powell: Inflation has come in a touch lower.

Fed's powell: It is a less likely possibility that the labour market gets tight and boosts inflation; not particularly likely. Fed's Powell, when asked if we are seeing a positive productivity shock: Yes.

POWELL: RISE IN LONG RATES MAY BE DUE TO EXPECTATIONS FOR HIGHER GROWTH Fed's Powell: Nothing happening in long rates that suggests concern about inflation in the long run. POWELL: WE HEAR LOUD AND CLEAR HOW PEOPLE ARE EXPERIENCING HIGHER COSTS Fed's Powell: Will need to have some years where wages outpace inflation for people to feel good about affordability. POWELL: WE WILL DELIVER 2% INFLATION