Powell: Haven't made a decision on January

POWELL: DOESNT FEEL LIKE A HOT ECONOMY Fed's Powell: The tick up in the Fed funds rate says we're at ample reserves. Fed's Powell: We got to ample reserves a little faster than we had thought we would. Fed's Powell: Frontloading next few months of purchases to get through tax season. FED POWELL: WHEN BOTH GOALS ARE EQUALLY AT RISK, POLICY SHOULD BE AT NEUTRAL.

*POWELL: GRADUAL LABOR MARKET COOLING JUSTIFIED RATE CUT TODAY Fed's Powell: We think there's a negative 20,000 in payrolls per month. ?*POWELL: WE THINK JOB GAINS OVERSTATED BY 60K IN RECENT MONTHS Fed's Powell: Evidence is growing that services inflation has come down, and goods inflation is entirely due to tariffs. Fed's Powell: Inflation has come in a touch lower.

POWELL: SOME PEOPLE FEEL WE SHOULD STOP HERE AND WAIT FED POWELL: SOME THINK WE SHOULD PAUSE AND WAIT, WHILE OTHERS THINK WE SHOULD CUT ONCE OR MORE. Fed's Powell: The unemployment rate may only tick up one, two more tenths. Fed's Powell: Don't expect a sharper downturn in employment with rates in a plausible range of neutral. Fed's Powell: We have made progress this year in non-tariff related inflation.

POWELL: RISE IN LONG RATES MAY BE DUE TO EXPECTATIONS FOR HIGHER GROWTH Fed's Powell: Nothing happening in long rates that suggests concern about inflation in the long run. POWELL: WE HEAR LOUD AND CLEAR HOW PEOPLE ARE EXPERIENCING HIGHER COSTS Fed's Powell: Will need to have some years where wages outpace inflation for people to feel good about affordability. POWELL: WE WILL DELIVER 2% INFLATION

*POWELL: LABOR MARKET SEEMS TO HAVE SIGNIFICANT DOWNSIDE RISKS POWELL: IF YOU GET AWAY FROM TARIFFS INFLATION IS IN THE LOW 2S POWELL: TARIFFS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONE-TIME PRICE INCREASES Fed's Powell: If we didn't have to worry about the labour market, the policy rate would be higher Fed's Powell: labour supply has also come down sharply.

Fed's Powell: AI is probably part of the weak jobs story, but not a big part. FED POWELL: WE’RE HEARING A LOT ABOUT A K-SHAPED ECONOMY, AND WE DON’T YET KNOW THE ECONOMIC IMPACT IF TARIFFS ARE STRUCK DOWN. Fed Chair Powell: Views Are Varied Among Governors And Among Presidents - People On Both Sides In Both Groups Of Policymakers FED'S POWELL Q&A: DON'T THINK A QUARTER POINT CUT GOING TO IMPROVE HOUSING MKT MUCH; SHORTAGE OF HOUSES BEYOND TOOLS OF THE FED #Powell #FOMC #FederalReserve #economy Fed's Powell: There is a risk that tariff inflation turns out to be more persistent.