Fed's Williams: Clear communication can limit market disruption

NEW YORK FED'S WILLIAMS: FED CAN STILL CUT RATES IN THE NEAR TERM GIVEN CURRENT POLICY IS MODESTLY RESTRICTIVE WILLIAMS: INFLATION PROGRESS HAS STALLED, BUT SHOULD BE ON TRACK TO 2% IN 2027 *FED'S WILLIAMS STILL SEES ROOM FOR A NEAR-TERM RATE CUT Williams: Navigating Unpredictable Terrain Good morning. It’s a pleasure be here to celebrate the 100th anniversary of the Central Bank of Chile. The topic of my remarks today is inflation targeting, which is both an important part of Chile’s central banking history and a core foundation of successful monetary policy. Most central banks around the world have adopted inflation targeting regimes over the past 35 years, and Chile was among those leading the way. Although specifics vary across jurisdictions, these strategies share three principles: independence and accountability, transparency and the clear communication of an inflation target, and well-anchored inflation expectations, gained from the credibility that central banks build over time.1 Today I will discuss the success of inflation targeting strategies in helping central banks achieve price stability and better economic outcomes. I’ll also talk about how these strategies were critically important in managing uncertainty after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic—and how they helped countries bring inflation down while minimizing disruptions to financial markets and economies. Fed's Williams: Tariffs adding half to three-quarter PPT to inflation

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said he sees room for the US central bank to cut interest rates again in the near term as the labor market softens. In the text of a speech he delivered Friday in Santiago, Chile, Williams said downside risks to employment have increased while upside risks to inflation have eased. “I view monetary ...

Fed's Logan: The Fed should hold rates steady for a time to assess degree of restriction. Opening remarks for panel titled ‘Economic uncertainty and the design and conduct of monetary policy’ Good afternoon. Thank you to the Karl Brunner Institute for inviting me to participate in this important conference. As always, the views I’ll share are mine and not necessarily those of my colleagues on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). It is an honor to join this distinguished panel addressing a topic that is both timely and timeless: the role of economic uncertainty in monetary policy. The topic is timely because this is a moment of substantial uncertainty about the economic outlook. And it is timeless because, really, there’s nothing especially new about that situation. Uncertainty is a pervasive feature of the macroeconomy and monetary policymaking. Theoretical models in which one knows the precise current state of the economy, fully understands the economic mechanisms and has perfect foresight about the future can sometimes provide useful baseline approximations. But these are merely approximations. The world is complex, multifaceted and ever-changing. A policymaker cannot know with certitude the current state of every relevant aspect of the economy, let alone exactly how every part of the economy works or what shocks may arrive. Yet policymakers must still make policy decisions. Even a choice not to act is itself a decision. And we cannot let uncertainty paralyze us. Rather, it’s incumbent on policymakers to tackle uncertainty head-on. First off, policymakers can reduce uncertainty about the state of the economy by gathering economic information from a wide range of sources. For me, those sources include official statistics, private-sector data, financial market conditions, surveys of households and businesses, and reports from business and community leaders and market contacts about what they are seeing in the economy and financial system. Besides sharpening the economic picture, taking on information from a wide range of sources makes the policy process more robust to disruptions in the flow of information from any one source, such as the government shutdown in the United States that recently paused publication of many federal official statistics . But even after thorough information-gathering, some uncertainty will always remain. Fed's Logan: October rate cut was not warranted. FED'S LOGAN SAYS REPEATS SHE WOULD FIND IT DIFFICULT TO SUPPORT DECEMBER RATE CUT || INFLATION TOO HIGH, LABOR MARKET ROUGHLY BALANCED