Treasury Market Scuttles Hope for December Rate Cut, Doubts January Cut, after Hawkish Fed Minutes | Metals Mine

  • Treasury Market Scuttles Hope for December Rate Cut, Doubts January Cut, after Hawkish Fed Minutes

    From wolfstreet.com

    The minutes of the FOMC’s October meeting, released today, made official what a majority of Fed speakers have been saying for weeks: Unless the data changes drastically, there is not much chance of a December rate cut, and the Treasury market adjusted to it: The 6-month Treasury yield rose by 2 basis points today and closed at 3.83%, well within the Fed’s current target range of 3.75% to 4.0% (shaded area). Just before the Fed’s October rate cut, it had dropped to 3.75% on a downward trajectory to price in the next rate cut in December, but then it reversed. Traders and algos scrutinize everything that the Fed ... (full story)

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Jade Gate
Nov 19, 2025 7:57pm
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Yes, well tariffs have a way of feeding domestic inflation.
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Trader#B637
Nov 19, 2025 9:06pm
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Quoting Jade Gate
Yes, well tariffs have a way of feeding domestic inflation.
"A new study that examined 150 years of tariffs in the U.S. and abroad found they disrupt the economy and financial markets so much that the result is lower inflation.

In a working paper published on Thursday, San Francisco Fed researchers Régis Barnichon and Aayush Singh said higher tariffs lead to reduced economic activity, higher unemployment and lower inflation in the short term." - Fortune
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Trader#C358
Nov 19, 2025 8:00pm
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What the hell is going on?
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