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Jefferson: AI and the Economy
Thank you, President Nagel and the Bundesbank, for the opportunity to meet with you today.1 I am excited to be here. I cherish opportunities to talk with groups of young people such as this. I spent most of my career as a professor and university administrator. I am glad to return to those roots a bit today. I will make sure I leave plenty of time for questions. But I would like to start by speaking with you about a topic that's been on my mind, and I bet it has been on many of yours: artificial intelligence (AI). Often, when I gather with students, consumers, or businesspeople, the conversation quickly turns to AI. ... (full story)
Added at 6:09am
- FED VICE CHAIR JEFFERSON SAYS FED SHOULD PROCEED SLOWLY WITH FURTHER RATE CUTS AS POLICY APPROACHES NEUTRAL RATE
JEFFERSON WILL DECIDE ON HIS VOTES MEETING BY MEETING, CITES POTENTIAL LACK OF GOVERNMENT DATA DUE TO SHUTDOWN
JEFFERSON SAYS AVAILABLE INFORMATION SUGGESTS NOT MUCH ABOUT THE ECONOMY HAS CHANGED IN RECENT MONTHS
JEFFERSON SAYS IT IS TOO SOON TO TELL HOW AI WILL CHANGE ECONOMY
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video Our stage is set for a high-profile meeting: between a member of the ECB Governing Council and a member of the US Federal Reserve System (Fed). At Euro20+, we extend a warm welcome to: Joachim Nagel. Since early 2022, he has been President of the Deutsche Bundesbank and thus one of the most important voices in European monetary policy. Mr Nagel, ...
JEFFERSON: THE FED HAS ENOUGH DATA TO MAKE POLICY, BUT NOT QUESTION THAT OFFICIAL DATA IS THE GOLD STANDARD
The Federal Reserve Bank of New Yorks Center for Microeconomic Data today released the October 2025 Survey of Consumer Expectations, which shows that households inflation expectations decreased at the short-term horizon and remained unchanged at the medium- and longer-term horizons. Unemployment rate and job finding expectations worsened, while job loss expectations slightly improved. Spending and household income growth expectations remained largely unchanged. Perceptions and expectations about credit availability improved, but respondents were somewhat less optimistic about their future household financial situation. The survey was fielded from October 1 through October 31, 2025. The main findings from the October 2025 Survey are: Inflation Median inflation expectations decreased by 0.2 percentage point to 3.2% at the one-year-ahead horizon in October. They were unchanged at the three-year- (3.0%) and five-year-ahead (3.0%) horizons. The surveys measure of disagreement across respondents (the difference between the 75th and 25th percentiles of inflation expectations) increased at all horizons. US NY Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectations Oct: 3.2% (prev 3.4%) - 3-Year Inflation Expectations: 3.0% (prev 3.0%) - 5-Year Inflation Expectations: 3.0% (prev 3.0%) NY FED: OCTOBER EXPECTATION OF FUTURE FINANCIAL SITUATION DECLINED