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Missing government data unlikely to sway Federal Reserve from rate-cut path
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut its short-term rate Wednesday for the second time this year despite an increasingly cloudy view of the economy it is trying to influence. The government shutdown has cut off the flow of data that the Fed relies on to track employment, inflation, and the broader economy. September’s jobs report, scheduled for release three weeks ago, is still postponed. This month’s hiring figures, to be released Nov. 7, will likely be delayed and may be less comprehensive when they are finally released. And the White House said last week that October’s inflation report may never be issued ... (full story)
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Available indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a moderate pace. Job gains have slowed this year, and the unemployment rate has edged up but remained low through August; more recent indicators are consistent with these developments. Inflation has moved up since earlier in the year and remains somewhat elevated. The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated. The Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate and judges that downside risks to employment rose in recent months. In support of its goals and in light of the shift in the balance of risks, the Committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent. In considering additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. The Committee decided to conclude the reduction of its aggregate securities holdings on December 1. The Committee is strongly committed to supporting maximum employment and returning inflation to its 2 percent objective. In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments. Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michael S. Barr; Michelle W. Bowman; Susan M. Collins; Lisa D. Cook; Austan D. Goolsbee; Philip N. Jefferson; Alberto G. Musalem; and Christopher J. Waller. Voting against this action were Stephen I. Miran, who preferred to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/2 percentage point at this meeting, and Jeffrey R. Schmid, who preferred no change to the target range for the federal funds rate at this meeting. FOMC STATEMENT COMPARE: pic.twitter.com/1xW7cnChGP *FED CUTS TARGET RANGE FOR BENCHMARK RATE BY 25 BPS, TO 3.75%-4% *FED SAYS IT WILL STOP SHRINKING BALANCE SHEET ON DEC. 1 *FED SAYS SCHMID DISSENTED IN FAVOR OF NO RATE CHANGE *FED SAYS MIRAN DISSENTED IN FAVOR OF HALF-POINT CUT
From finance.yahoo.com | Oct 29, 2025
Gold staged a partial recovery after a three-day selloff, with dip-buyers returning ahead of an expected interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Bullion advanced toward $4,000 an ounce, having lost more than 4% over the previous three sessions. Investors are penciling in a 25-basis-point reduction, although Fed Chair Jerome Powell is unlikely to offer ...
The Federal Reserve is poised to end its latest program of quantitative tightening, bringing the curtain down on the massive intervention in financial markets it launched in March 2020 at the start of the COVID-19 crisis. The Fed hopes that the markets can stand on their own and that the central bank can return to stimulating and cooling the economy using ...