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US production growth slows in September amid ongoing tariff disruptions
A solid, but nonetheless slower, improvement in US manufacturing sector operating conditions was signaled by September’s S&P Global PMI® data. The latest survey showed a weaker gain in production, whilst new order book growth softened as tariffs continued to weigh on exports. Tariffs and broader policy uncertainty also dampened firms’ assessment of the business outlook, but expectations of manufacturing production reshoring and hopes of better demand in the year ahead meant sentiment remained positive overall. Cost pressures meanwhile were again elevated, with tariffs reportedly the dominant factor pushing up ... (full story)
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Oct 1, 2025 8:54am
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Private sector employment shed 32,000 jobs in September and pay was up 4.5 percent year-over-year according to the September ADP National Employment Report® produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab ("Stanford Lab"). The ADP National Employment Report is an independent measure of the labor market based on the anonymized weekly payroll data of more than 26 million private-sector employees in the United States. ADP's Pay Insights captures nearly 14.8 million individual pay change observations each month. Together, the jobs report and pay insights use ADP's fine-grained data to provide a representative and high-frequency picture of the private-sector labor market. *(US) SEPT ADP EMPLOYMENT CHANGE: -32K V +51KE; Includes preliminary rebenchmarking of the National Employment Report; Notes U.S. employers have been cautious with hiring - Prior revised lower from +54K to -3K (More at ) 
Private payrolls declined in September by 32,000 in key ADP report coming amid shutdown data blackout Private payrolls saw their biggest decline in two-and-a-half years during September, a further sign of labor market weakening that compounds the data blackout accompanying the U.S. government shutdown. Companies shed a seasonally adjusted 32,000 jobs during the month, the biggest slide since March 2023, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an increase of 45,000. In addition to the drop in September, the August payrolls number was revised to a loss of 3,000 from an initially reported increase of 54,000. The report comes as the funding impasse in Washington, D.C. has led to the first government closure since late 2018 int
Private payrolls declined in September by 32,000 in key ADP report coming amid shutdown data blackout Private payrolls saw their biggest decline in two-and-a-half years during September, a further sign of labor market weakening that compounds the data blackout accompanying the U.S. government shutdown. Companies shed a seasonally adjusted 32,000 jobs during the month, the biggest slide since March 2023, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an increase of 45,000. In addition to the drop in September, the August payrolls number was revised to a loss of 3,000 from an initially reported increase of 54,000. The report comes as the funding impasse in Washington, D.C. has led to the first government closure since late 2018 int
German manufacturers reported the strongest production growth in three-and-a-half years in September, according to the latest HCOB PMI® survey. However, the survey's more forward-looking indicators weakened, with business expectations for the year ahead sinking to the lowest in nine months and firms facing a renewed decline in intakes of new work. On the ...
*SUPREME COURT REFUSES TO LET TRUMP IMMEDIATELY OUST FED'S COOK baaaam The US Supreme Court is to hear arguments over Trump's bid to remove Federal Reserve Governor Cook. Supreme Court allows the Fed's Lisa Cook to stay in office for now as Trump pushes to fire her The Supreme Court on Wednesday deferred action on whether President Donald Trump can immediately fire Federal Reserve board member Lisa Cook, instead agreeing to hear oral arguments in the case early next year. The move means that Cook can remain in office while the consequential legal question is decided. The court will hear oral arguments in January, the brief order said, with a ruling likely before the end of June. Trump had asked the court to allow him to immediately fire Cook while litigation continued in lower courts. Under the Federal Reserve Act, presidents are restricted from removing governors unless it is “for cause,” meaning there is evidence of wrongdoing. Trump has said he fired Cook for cause, over allegations of mortgage fraud made by one of his political appointees, Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Bill Pulte. Cook has denied the allegations, and bank documents obtained by NBC News appear to contradict the fraud claim. Since taking office in January, Trump has pushed for lower interest rates and had criticized the Fed for failing to act on his wishes. While the president's aggressive use of executive power has often led to setbacks in lower courts, the Supreme Court has regularly granted the administration's emergency requests that allow his policies to move forward.
Supreme Court allows the Fed's Lisa Cook to stay in office for now as Trump pushes to fire her The Supreme Court on Wednesday deferred action on whether President Donald Trump can immediately fire Federal Reserve board member Lisa Cook, instead agreeing to hear oral arguments in the case early next year. The move means that Cook can remain in office while the consequential legal question is decided. The court will hear oral arguments in January, the brief order said, with a ruling likely before the end of June. Trump had asked the court to allow him to immediately fire Cook while litigation continued in lower courts. Under the Federal Reserve Act, presidents are restricted from removing governors unless it is “for cause,” meaning there is evidence of wrongdoing. Trump has said he fired Cook for cause, over allegations of mortgage fraud made by one of his political appointees, Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Bill Pulte. Cook has denied the allegations, and bank documents obtained by NBC News appear to contradict the fraud claim. Since taking office in January, Trump has pushed for lower interest rates and had criticized the Fed for failing to act on his wishes. While the president's aggressive use of executive power has often led to setbacks in lower courts, the Supreme Court has regularly granted the administration's emergency requests that allow his policies to move forward.
