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The US government has shut down – what happens next?
Shutdowns typically do not make sizeable impacts on the markets or the economy, though the potential for a lengthy political impasse bears monitoring. The United States federal government shut down today after lawmakers were unable to agree on funding allocations ahead of the October 1 start to the government’s fiscal year. While shutdowns loom large in the political sphere, historically, they tend not to be market events. “While volatility may increase, it tends to be moderate – far less severe than the market turbulence experienced related to tariff uncertainty in April and May,” says Raymond James Chief ... (full story)
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From pmi.spglobal.com|Oct 1, 2025|1 commentCanada’s manufacturing economy experienced a further deterioration in operating conditions during September. Sales and output both fell at quicker rates, with the trading ...
From forex.com|Oct 1, 2025Gold futures are charging toward the $4,000 milestone, backed by firm bullish positioning, rising implied volatility, and strong technical momentum. While sentiment remains ...
From prnewswire.com|Oct 1, 2025|68 commentsPrivate sector employment shed 32,000 jobs in September and pay was up 4.5 percent year-over-year according to the September ADP National Employment Report® produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab ("Stanford Lab"). The ADP National Employment Report is an independent measure of the labor market based on the anonymized weekly payroll data of more than 26 million private-sector employees in the United States. ADP's Pay Insights captures nearly 14.8 million individual pay change observations each month. Together, the jobs report and pay insights use ADP's fine-grained data to provide a representative and high-frequency picture of the private-sector labor market. *(US) SEPT ADP EMPLOYMENT CHANGE: -32K V +51KE; Includes preliminary rebenchmarking of the National Employment Report; Notes U.S. employers have been cautious with hiring - Prior revised lower from +54K to -3K (More at )
Private payrolls declined in September by 32,000 in key ADP report coming amid shutdown data blackout Private payrolls saw their biggest decline in two-and-a-half years during September, a further sign of labor market weakening that compounds the data blackout accompanying the U.S. government shutdown. Companies shed a seasonally adjusted 32,000 jobs during the month, the biggest slide since March 2023, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an increase of 45,000. In addition to the drop in September, the August payrolls number was revised to a loss of 3,000 from an initially reported increase of 54,000. The report comes as the funding impasse in Washington, D.C. has led to the first government closure since late 2018 int
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From pmi.spglobal.com|Oct 1, 2025|1 commentA solid, but nonetheless slower, improvement in US manufacturing sector operating conditions was signaled by September’s S&P Global PMI® data. The latest survey showed a weaker ...
From cnbc.com|Oct 1, 2025Traders in prediction markets are betting that the U.S. government shutdown could drag on for nearly two weeks, with odds rising that Congress will not reach a deal until at least ...
From prnewswire.com|Oct 1, 2025|16 commentsEconomic activity in the manufacturing sector contracted in September for the seventh consecutive month, following a two-month expansion preceded by 26 straight months of contraction, say the nation's supply executives in the latest ISM® Manufacturing PMI® Report. The report was issued today by Susan Spence, MBA, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. "The Manufacturing PMI® registered 49.1 percent in September, a 0.4-percentage point increase compared to the reading of 48.7 percent recorded in August. The overall economy continued in expansion for the 65th month after one month of contraction in April 2020. (A Manufacturing PMI® above 42.3 percent, over a period of time, generally indicates an expansion of the overall economy.) The New Orders Index contracted in September following one month of growth; the figure of 48.9 percent is 2.5 percentage points lower than the 51.4 percent recorded in August. The September reading of the Production Index (51 percent) is 3.2 percentage points higher than August's figure of 47.8 percent. The Prices Index remained in expansion (or 'increasing' territory), registering 61.9 percent, down 1.8 percentage points compared to the reading of 63.7 percent reported in August. The Backlog of Orders Index registered 46.2 percent, up 1.5 percentage points compared to the 44.7 percent recorded in August. The Employment Index registered 45.3 percent, up 1.5 percentage points from August's figure of 43.8 percent. ISM Mfg 49.1, Exp. 49.0, Last 48.7 Prices Paid 61.9, Exp. 62.7, Last 63.7 New Orders 48.9, Exp. 50.0, Last 51.4 Employment 45.3, Exp. 44.3, Last 43.8
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- Oct 1, 2025 8:31am Posted byFundamental Analysis5,735
