Fed's Powell: Majority view was inflation is above target, employment is at target, and policy should be somewhat restrictive

Powell: Goods inflation is pushing us slightly off target; risks remain to both inflation and employment goals. Fed's Powell: The next steps we take are likely to be closer to neutral. Powell: A lot of data due before the next meeting; base case sees recent price rise as one-time—timing adjustments are key. POWELL: REALLY HARD TO SAY IF DATA TO BE CLEAR BY NEXT MEETING Fed's Powell: The dollar has not been a major focus of discussion.

Fed's Powell: Inflation is most of the way back to 2% and there's catch-up inflation reflecting past pressures. Fed's Powell: Services inflation coming down nicely, goods going up. Fed's Powell: We can't separate out the tariff effects on inflation. Powell: Tariff costs will be shared between consumers and retailers. Fed's Powell: What we see now is the very beginnings of tariff inflation.

*POWELL: MODESTLY RESTRICTIVE POLICY SEEMS APPROPRIATE POWELL: WE HAVE MADE NO DECISIONS ABOUT SEPTEMBER Fed's Powell: Uncertainty more or less even since last meeting. POWELL: MANY UNCERTAINTIES LEFT TO RESOLVE POWELL: FEELS LIKE THERE'S MUCH MORE TO COME Fed's Powell: Many labor measures similar to a year ago.