Ollio's Gold - Supply and Demand

Hi can you please include me in the webinars

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Monday April 28, 2014

Please note that exceptionally for today, I will not be able to post my charts and give you my analysis.

Thank you all for your understanding.

Your name has been added to the list.

Tuesday April 29, 2014

Chart #1

On the 4 Hour, (1) the market is Bullish above 1290.41, (2) Demand has overcome Supply such that we have a Low, (3) we have a Retracement Level @1290.41. The market is Bullish above 1290.41 and Bearish below 1287.61. The market is Neutral between 1290.41 and 1287.61.
On the 8 Hour, the market is Bullish above 1289.38 with Supply @1297.54.
On the Day, (1) the market is Bullish above 1291.23, (2) Demand has overcome Supply such that we have a Low, (3) we have a Retracement Level @1291.23. The market is Bullish above 1291.23 and Bearish below 1285.72. The market is Neutral between 1291.23 and 1285.72.
On the Week, the market is Bullish above 1270.32 with Supply @1330.70.

Chart #2

On the 4 Hour, the market is Neutral between 1290.41 and 1287.61. The market returns Bullish above 1290.41 and Bearish below 1287.61.
On the 8 Hour, the market is in the Passive Consolidation Zone between 1289.38 and 1287.66. The market returns Bullish above 1289.38 and Bearish below 1287.61.
On the Day, the market holds a Bullish Bias above 1285.72. The market returns Bullish above 1291.23 and Bearish below 1285.72.
The Week remains unchanged.

Chart #3

On the 4 Hour, the market is Bullish above 1286.50 with Supply @1295.09.
On the 8 Hour, the market is Bullish above 1285.82 with Supply @1291.26.
The Day and the Week are unchanged.

Chart #4

On the 4 Hour, (1) the market is Bullish above 1286.98, (2) Demand has overcome Supply such that we have a Low, (3) we have a Retracement Level @1286.98.
On the 8 Hour, (1) the market is Bullish above 1290.11, (2) Demand has overcome Supply such that we have a Low, (3) we have a Retracement Level @1290.11.
On the Day, the market is Bullish above 1291.23.
The Week remains unchanged.

Chart #5

On the 4 Hour, the Retracement Level now reads 1292.43.
On the 8 Hour, the Retracement Level now reads 1295.56.
On the Day, the Retracement Level now reads 1296.41.
The Week remains unchanged.

Chart #6

We have an Active Consolidation Zone as the market is simultaneously Bearish below 1297.95 on the 4 Hour and Bullish above 1295.56 on the 8 Hour.
On the 4 Hour, the market is Bearish below 1297.95 with Demand @1291.99.
The 8 Hour remains unchanged.

On the Day, the market holds a Bullish Bias above 1285.72. The market returns Bullish above 1296.41 and Bearish below 1285.72. The market is Neutral between 1296.41 and 1285.72.
The Week remains unchanged.

Chart #7

The Active Consolidation Zone is no longer in effect while market is below 1295.56.
On the 4 Hour, the market is Bearish below 1298.38 with Demand @1292.40.
On the 8 Hour, the market holds a Bullish Bias above 1285.82. The market returns Bullish above 1295.56 and Bearish below 1285.82.
The Day and the Week remain unchanged.

Chart #8 (Last)

On the 4 Hour, the market is in the Passive Consolidation Zone between 1303.00 and 1291.52.
On the 8 Hour, the market is in the Passive Consolidation Zone between 1301.80 and 1293.42.
The Day and the Week remain unchanged.

so, it would seem we are clean and green until the 1330.70 wkly supply area, yes ?

Pretty much so.

Going from here, we are aiming for the Supply Level on the Week @1330.70.

Keep in mind though that, starting tomorrow, we will be getting intermediate levels of Supply on the Day as we aim for the Supply Level on the Week.

so, in the meantime, we are buying pullbacks for rest of today it appears then.

It really depends on your strategy.

Some will choose to buy today when market pulls back to the Retracement Levels.

Others will choose to buy starting tomorrow.

etc. etc.

do you think the retracement levels will change much this morning and if so will they move up ?

Excellent question (as usual ).

I can't really tell you how much more upside there is for the day before I get the next Supply Level on the 4 Hour.

Since the market is Bullish, the retracement levels can only increase as the market reaches for new highs and, as mentioned before, you would use these retracement levels to trail your Stop Loss (if using trailing stop losses is part of your trading strategy).

You will see the new Retracement Levels when I publish the next chart.

appreciate your responses Jack.

Not as much as I appreciate your questions !

Wednesday April 30, 2014

Chart #1

On the 4 Hour, (1) the market is Bullish above 1290.83, (2) Demand has overcome Supply such that we have a Low, (3) we have a Retracement Level @1290.83.
On the 8 Hour, the market holds a Bearish Bias below 1297.36. The market goes Bearish below 1289.88.
On the Day, the market is Bullish above 1290.81 with Supply @1301.94.
On the Week, the market is Bullish above 1270.32 with Supply @1330.70.

Chart #2

On the 4 Hour, (1) the market is Bearish below 1290.30, (2) Supply has overcome Demand such that we have a High, (3) we have a Retracement Level @1290.30.
On the 8 Hour, the market is Bearish below 1289.88 with Demand @1281.96.
On the Day, the market holds a Bullish Bias above 1283.76. The market returns Bullish above 1290.65 and Bearish below 1283.76.
The Week remains unchanged.

Chart #3

On the 4 Hour, the market is in the Passive Consolidation Zone between 1291.02 and 1287.47.
On the 8 Hour, the market holds a Bullish Bias above 1287.58. The market becomes Bullish above 1289.65 and Bearish below 1287.58.
On the Day, the market holds a Bullish Bias above 1283.76. The market becomes Bullish above 1290.57 and Bearish below 1283.76.
The Week remains unchanged.

Chart #4

On the 4 Hour, (1) the market is Bullish above 1287.47, (2) Demand has overcome Supply such that we have a Low, (3) we have a Retracement Level @1287.47.
On the 8 Hour, (1) the market is Bullish above 1287.58, (2) Demand has overcome Supply such that we have a Low, (3) we have a Retracement Level @1287.58.

**** Key Supply Level @1297.21 on the Day ****
On the Day, the market is Bullish above 1286.08 with Supply @1297.21.
On the Week, the market is now Bullish above 1269.00 with Supply @1329.37.

Chart #5

On the 4 Hour, the market is Neutral between 1293.89 and 1286.26. The market returns Bullish above 1293.89 and Bearish below 1286.26.
On the 8 Hour, the market is Neutral between 1294.00 and 1284.89. The market returns Bullish above 1294.00 and Bearish below 1284.89.
On the Day, the market has filled 100% of the Market Spread (i.e. Market Gap between Supply and Demand) such that the Unfilled Gap Indicator (i.e. Yellow Bar) is blank (i.e. 0% unfilled).
The Week remains unchanged.

Chart #6

On the 4 Hour, the market is Bullish above 1292.46 with Supply @1296.13.
The 8 Hour, Day and Week are unchanged.

Chart #7

On the 4 Hour, the market is Neutral between 1294.03 and 1291.42. The market returns Bullish above 1294.03 and Bearish below 1291.42.
On the 8 Hour, the market is Neutral between 1294.57 and 1284.89. The market returns Bullish above 1294.57 and Bearish below 1284.89.
On the Day, (1) the market is Bullish above 1286.59, (2) Demand has overcome Supply such that we have a Low, (3) we have a Retracement Level @1286.59.
The Week remains unchanged.

Chart #8 (Last)

On the 4 Hour, the market is Neutral between 1294.03 and 1289.08. The market returns Bullish above 1294.03 and Bearish below 1289.08.
On the 8 Hour, the market is Neutral between 1294.57 and 1284.89. The market returns Bullish above 1294.57 and Bearish below 1284.89.
The Day and the Week remain unchanged.

Hope to see 1282 , it will be a good RR for long.

Agree.

looks like we're headed there.

Certainly does.

Thursday May 1, 2014

Chart #1

On the 4 Hour, (1) the market is Bullish above 1281.96, (2) Demand has overcome Supply such that we have a Low, (3) we have a Retracement Level @1281.96.
On the 8 Hour, the market is Bearish below 1284.02 with Demand @1277.39.
On the Day, the market is in the Passive Consolidation Zone between 1287.14 and 1282.93.
On the Week, the market is Bullish above 1263.86 with Supply @1324.04.

Chart #2

On the 4 Hour, the market is Neutral between 1285.30 and 1281.46. The market returns momentarily Bullish above 1285.30 and momentarily Bearish below 1281.46.
On the 8 Hour, the market is in the Passive Consolidation Zone between 1286.23 and 1284.02.
The Day and the Week remain unchanged.

Chart #3

On the 4 Hour, the market holds a Bullish Bias above 1276.37. The market becomes Bullish above 1280.60.
On the 8 Hour, (1) the market is Bullish above 1277.71, (2) Demand has overcome Supply such that we have a Low, (3) we have a Retracement Level @1277.71.

We have an Active Consolidation Zone as the market is simultaneously Bearish below 1282.93 on the Day and Bullish above 1261.94 on the Week.
On the Day, the market is Bearish below 1282.93 with Demand @1775.43.
On the Week, the market is Bullish above 1261.94 with Supply @1322.27.

Chart #4

On the 4 Hour, the market is Neutral between 1283.10 and 1280.60. The market returns momentarily Bullish above 1283.10 and momentarily Bearish below 1280.60.
On the 8 Hour, the market holds a Bullish Bias above 1277.48.

The Active Consolidation Zone remains in effect.
The Day and the Week remain unchanged.

Chart #5

On the 4 Hour, the market is Neutral between 1283.30 and 1279.99. The market returns momentarily Bullish above 1283.10 and momentarily Bearish below 1279.99.
On the 8 Hour, the market now holds a Bullish Bias above 1276.87.

The Active Consolidation Zone remains in effect.
The Day and the Week remain unchanged.

Chart #6

On the 4 Hour, the market is in the Passive Consolidation Zone between 1286.19 and 1281.07.
On the 8 Hour, the market is Bullish above 1284.44.

On the Day, the market is Bullish above 1284.61 with Supply @1291.97.
The Week remains unchanged.

Chart #7 (Last)

On the 4 Hour, the market is in the Passive Consolidation Zone between 1286.07 and 1281.07.
On the 8 Hour, the market holds a Bullish Bias above 1276.87.
On the Day, the market is in the Passive Consolidation Zone between 1284.61 and 1282.93.
The Week remains unchanged.

IMPORTANT :

Those of you who would be interested in having access to my application for free, please send me an email at [email protected] by end of day Friday May 2, 2014.

Make sure to include your ForexFactory ID (if you have one).

Access to the application is cloud based.

Your free access to the software is limited to one instrument, Gold only, along with the 4 timeframes covered here in my analysis which are the 4 Hour, 8 Hour, Day and Week.

Although my plans are to eventually accommodate every request, please understand that it may not be possible for me to do so in this first round.

Requests will be honoured on a FCFS (First Come First Serve) basis.

Cheers.

Let's have a good time!
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