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All Majors and Gold

  • #5,221
  • Apr 27, 2013 8:01am Apr 27, 2013 8:01am
3+1: daily 21ema.


Quoting deepak925
3 reasons to go down .. only doubt good uptrend last few days.. {image}
  • #5,222
  • Apr 27, 2013 8:02am Apr 27, 2013 8:02am
Quoting samadum
3+1: daily 21ema. {quote}
GBP/USD
  • #5,223
  • Apr 27, 2013 8:15am Apr 27, 2013 8:15am
Quoting deepak925
3 reasons to go down .. only doubt good uptrend last few days.. {image}
i am not convinced.
  • #5,224
  • Apr 27, 2013 8:39am Apr 27, 2013 8:39am
then following tweet is just for you:

"You know you are a bear when you know these guys."

Quoting seaman2
{quote} i am not convinced.
  • #5,225
  • Apr 27, 2013 8:41am Apr 27, 2013 8:41am
and here is another one:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-0...y-be-sold.html

Quoting seaman2
{quote} i am not convinced.
  • #5,226
  • Apr 27, 2013 8:49am Apr 27, 2013 8:49am
Quoting samadum
and here is another one: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-0...y-be-sold.html {quote}
ok, you get short and I will watch
  • #5,227
  • Apr 27, 2013 8:54am Apr 27, 2013 8:54am
i am neight bear or bull. don't like to be like sinclair-ish who always buy gold.
let's see how next week will start. we are trying to figure out most probable
way for next week with deepak.

how about your arguments for bullish recovery?

Quoting seaman2
{quote} ok, you get short and I will watch
  • #5,228
  • Edited 9:40am Apr 27, 2013 9:22am | Edited 9:40am
main reason, i have buy signal in aud. Not in position yet. See pic. Looking for TL break as signal.

Presume if aud up -> gold up.

If gold down -> aud down -> my signal fails.

copper broke LL sequence on hourly http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=HG&p=h1

ECB is expected to lower the interest rate to 0.5% from 0.75% next week on Thursday May 5.
Attached Image
  • #5,229
  • Apr 27, 2013 10:13am Apr 27, 2013 10:13am
Quoting gnomoneey
{quote} golf not fishing not hanging out in patio watching skin and hardly clad clothe women come out of the cocoon from the winter is my thing.... enjoy bro.....
Now ur talkin

I believe this week we will retrace, down to test 1400-1420. It moved up way too fast, and they walked up the price end of day friday right before close so I imagin we will plummet down through 1450 down to 1430 no problem...wishful thinking haha

Cheers to a green week for all
"It is not enough to have a good mind; the main thing is to use it well"
  • #5,230
  • Apr 27, 2013 12:37pm Apr 27, 2013 12:37pm
Quoting EricB
I think the best way of dealing with this would be to go for a long iron condor to capture any perceived excessive volatility risk premium including the short side. I am sticking to my thesis that cost of making delivery will become higher for shorts as June approaches as the offer price will exceed the opportunity cost. In the meantime downside risk remain. This is a great opportunity if we can survive Mrs Market.(April 16th)
Start of Hybrid Perceived Volatility Trade - April 19th.

Met Target 1 April 24th
Met Target 2 April 25th
Met Target 3a April 26th
Chances of meeting Target 3b are low though position is open.

Target 4 and above. Bias is up.
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  • #5,231
  • Apr 27, 2013 1:07pm Apr 27, 2013 1:07pm
Gold....just my technical analysis
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  • #5,232
  • Apr 27, 2013 2:34pm Apr 27, 2013 2:34pm
Quoting seaman2
main reason, i have buy signal in aud. Not in position yet. See pic. Looking for TL break as signal. Presume if aud up -> gold up. If gold down -> aud down -> my signal fails. copper broke LL sequence on hourly http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=HG&p=h1 ECB is expected to lower the interest rate to 0.5% from 0.75% next week on Thursday May 5. {image}
I think gold will fall next week. The Adx above 30 and the resistance of the 20 days moving average should let the gold fall…and the Aussie too.
  • #5,233
  • Apr 27, 2013 3:37pm Apr 27, 2013 3:37pm
Quoting elisab
{quote} I think gold will fall next week. The Adx above 30 and the resistance of the 20 days moving average should let the gold fall…and the Aussie too.
I agree. Just think of it this way. The banks around the globe are accumulating at the cheap levels. The run up last week has made gold "expensive" for them to accumulate, so they wait for the breather/retrace, and then they will buy again. I am thinking we see those lower 1410-1420 levels consolidate before another attempt at 1490....the move to 1490 was too fast and this will be seen next week.

GLTA.
"It is not enough to have a good mind; the main thing is to use it well"
  • #5,234
  • Apr 28, 2013 8:31am Apr 28, 2013 8:31am
Nervous !! Haha drop??
  • #5,235
  • Apr 28, 2013 11:14am Apr 28, 2013 11:14am
I have made this some dasy ago.And it met my some targets
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  • #5,236
  • Apr 28, 2013 4:10pm Apr 28, 2013 4:10pm
Quoting EricB
{quote} I am not too sure about this. There is no doubt that JPM’s gold inventories at Comex have fallen, but we don’t know why. The short on the market was on futures and options. I can tell you for certain that 1,966,000 troy ounces of gold are not out in the open markets as no one seems to have any physical spare right now. This may have just been moved from registered gold, stores in the Comex approved vaults and therefore deliverable, and eligible gold inventories into an unregistered vault, or someone has taken delivery on these...
yes it was all pysically delivered like i said dimon trying to outmsart market... however with unlimited firepower not really outsmarting but manipulating at will...
  • #5,237
  • Apr 28, 2013 4:29pm Apr 28, 2013 4:29pm
Quoting QuikFlipp
{quote} I agree. Just think of it this way. The banks around the globe are accumulating at the cheap levels. The run up last week has made gold "expensive" for them to accumulate, so they wait for the breather/retrace, and then they will buy again. I am thinking we see those lower 1410-1420 levels consolidate before another attempt at 1490....the move to 1490 was too fast and this will be seen next week. GLTA.
Yes, I am also waiting for a retracement in area 1400 to come back long.
  • #5,238
  • Apr 28, 2013 8:37pm Apr 28, 2013 8:37pm
Quoting elisab
{quote} Yes, I am also waiting for a retracement in area 1400 to come back long.
Seem like gold will hit 1520 before bear..
  • #5,239
  • Apr 28, 2013 10:22pm Apr 28, 2013 10:22pm
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-0...mmodities.html
  • #5,240
  • Apr 28, 2013 10:35pm Apr 28, 2013 10:35pm
Quoting elekboy
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-0...mmodities.html
Yes.. That why last Fri close with green in 4H, 1H.. today is rising..
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