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Cycle Trading

  • #281
  • Nov 17, 2011 4:26am Nov 17, 2011 4:26am
Quoting JR97
...I'm still amazed at how well trading time works and how easy it is.
Perhaps I am a numbnut, but I am finding it anything but easy glad someone is though And that you share as much as you do!
  • #282
  • Nov 17, 2011 10:32am Nov 17, 2011 10:32am
Initial entries were small wins due to trailing stops. Last entries did ok. Ended up shutting it down because things were starting to look too choppy with no discernible or sustainable trend. I usually enjoy trading 40-50 pip swinging ranges, but it was 3:00 am... up waaaaaay too late.
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  • #283
  • Nov 19, 2011 8:33pm Nov 19, 2011 8:33pm
hey JR nice thread u got going ill join up surely and subscribe and post some cycles of mine as well

got a hefty long against USD on friday.

damn well good day !
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #284
  • Nov 19, 2011 8:41pm Nov 19, 2011 8:41pm
and im watching ur videos and damn ur forecasts are great! not to mention that the tutorials are great too.
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #285
  • Nov 19, 2011 9:43pm Nov 19, 2011 9:43pm
great confluence on aussie.
looking to long on open

lots of confluence and thats where i take trades. confluence.
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Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #286
  • Nov 20, 2011 8:50am Nov 20, 2011 8:50am
my mirror forecast
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  • #287
  • Nov 20, 2011 4:21pm Nov 20, 2011 4:21pm
bought aussie.

cycle and bullflag on daily, and m5 projections are good for now
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  • #288
  • Nov 21, 2011 5:37pm Nov 21, 2011 5:37pm
hey Chad,

about cycles, would u enter on the daily close of the cycle if it was a daily cycle? or right at the open?

thanks
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #289
  • Nov 21, 2011 6:12pm Nov 21, 2011 6:12pm
intraday mirror trade on eurusd

70 bar count, also got some confluence with s/r flip become support.
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Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #290
  • Nov 21, 2011 6:39pm Nov 21, 2011 6:39pm
Quoting bumapatria
hey Chad,

about cycles, would u enter on the daily close of the cycle if it was a daily cycle? or right at the open?

thanks
Depends on the time frame I'm trading. The super safe play is the bar low if it's the end of an up cycle and vice versa for a down cycle.

The other issue is that the cycle bar can be an up or down bar regardless of whether it's the end of an up or down cycle. You just never know.

For example at the end of an up cycle and price rising in to the cycle line, all you know is that the high is probably going to be put in on that bar. So whether the bar opens with the high and drops or spends all day rising to the high is why you can't just automatically short the bar when it opens. You should typically wait for it to close. Or at least have some smaller time frames that you can dial it in. Which is what I do.
  • #291
  • Nov 21, 2011 6:43pm Nov 21, 2011 6:43pm
Quoting JR97
Depends on the time frame I'm trading. The super safe play is the bar low if it's the end of an up cycle and vice versa for a down cycle.

The other issue is that the cycle bar can be an up or down bar regardless of whether it's the end of an up or down cycle. You just never know.

For example at the end of an up cycle and price rising in to the cycle line, all you know is that the high is probably going to be put in on that bar. So whether the bar opens with the high and drops or spends all day rising to the high is why you can't just automatically...
ah okay. that makes perfect sense, thanks again.
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #292
  • Nov 22, 2011 10:42am Nov 22, 2011 10:42am
hi JR, what do u think of this hit? this is where i get confused sometimes.
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  • #293
  • Nov 22, 2011 12:54pm Nov 22, 2011 12:54pm
Quoting bumapatria
hi JR, what do u think of this hit? this is where i get confused sometimes.
I prefer to have a bit more history so that you can see how spot on the cycle is and what it looks like when it's not spot on. Does it wander by a bar or two occasionally? Does it just flat out miss occasionally?

Again, multiple time frames or multiple cycle methods can help confirm. Plus, don't forget about price patterns. I don't talk a lot about price because there are a billion ways to play price that most everyone is aware of.. fibs, support/resistance, trend lines, pivots, etc. The idea is that price and time and meet.
  • #294
  • Nov 22, 2011 7:08pm Nov 22, 2011 7:08pm
Quoting JR97
I prefer to have a bit more history so that you can see how spot on the cycle is and what it looks like when it's not spot on. Does it wander by a bar or two occasionally? Does it just flat out miss occasionally?

Again, multiple time frames or multiple cycle methods can help confirm. Plus, don't forget about price patterns. I don't talk a lot about price because there are a billion ways to play price that most everyone is aware of.. fibs, support/resistance, trend lines, pivots, etc. The idea is that price and time and meet.
price and time meet.... okay, so the verticals meet the horizontals. make sense. i do mix it up with fibs, its just that lagging nature sometimes. my cycles have a great hit nature and drops on that day, sometiems that is the perfect swing low, or sometimes its too early, sometiems its too late. then again, your idea is that price and tiem meet.

thanks JR, im getting more of this, i appreciate your help
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  • #295
  • Nov 23, 2011 12:07am Nov 23, 2011 12:07am
my possible price/time setup in eurusd
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  • #296
  • Nov 23, 2011 8:49pm Nov 23, 2011 8:49pm
possibly invalidated.

anyways im long the dow. 50% fib retrace for bulls, and price and time meet (please) TP at old supporrt on this one.

45 degree first hit.

15 up currently
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  • #297
  • Nov 24, 2011 12:14am Nov 24, 2011 12:14am
hi JR got a question on this one. i have a classic gann setup of price to time setup. price moved two square sbefore, and now i moved two squares, and if i am not wrong this is a price/time setup right gann style?
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  • #298
  • Nov 24, 2011 12:18am Nov 24, 2011 12:18am
something else that looks interesting. i put an ovrelay chart basically upside down version of the same chart, but they interstect

what do u think?
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  • #299
  • Nov 24, 2011 8:08pm Nov 24, 2011 8:08pm
my result on that one

+80 on 2 trades
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  • #300
  • Nov 24, 2011 9:56pm Nov 24, 2011 9:56pm
nice.

Here's what I'm looking at right now
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