Cycle Trading

More turns forecast by the yellow wavy line. I haven't been near the charts to trade so I missed all of that drop but there's a potential long coming up soon?

cycle arrived. Looks like a good start, eh?

That long got blown out of the water. So I went back to figure out why and I think I found it.

Simple square of the range. The range measured is yellow... 276 pips Price just passed 276 bars.. the low. Price also achieve 276 x 2 = 552.. ok, it only did 547, but that's pretty close. So I'm long again based on that price-time squaring.

Interesting. 276 bars. 554 pips. believe it or not.

wow. 554 Bars bottom to bottom. For those in the know this is classic Cowan PTV. I haven't done a PTV in ages so it's crazy cool to have found one out of the blue. This is like finding a pearl in an oyster at the all you can eat oyster bar. Moreover, it carves out the faces of a platonic structure. From here on out I can continue to build the faces as they rotate in/out of the field of view that is a 2D chart. Throw in a little astro flavor and it's looking good for some good ol' fashioned 4D structure trading. Good timing as well. Should really help me in the FXDD trading contest.

I posted in my blog about measuring impulse moves and then how to watch for changes in trend when the measurement of price = measurements of time.

Here is a current example. I based the square on a range of price. The first impulse in the square moved just shy of 4 purple squares. Counting over just shy of 4 purple squares and there's a high. Counting over another just shy of 4 purples squares is a low. As Gann said.. "when price and time square, change is inevitable."

Another late hockey night. Decided to scalp the guppy on the 1 min. chart. Simple bar count cycle. Last trade I let run because price cleared the trend line and there was decent upside potential. Price ended going up another 20 pips after I exited and then fell hard.

Edit: Look at that crappy spread! 9 pips or something. That 2nd to last short side trade was spot on but still ended up b/e because of the spread.

Guppy short and a trigger waiting. Pretty simple setup come off the top of resistance. Red forecast is in agreement so far. With such a long straight forecast, I'm suspecting a possible inversion half way down the thing.

3 orders triggered and all in profit. I've got my finger on the close button as price has moved past it's average daily range. Still a few pips to go to hit what I call the aggressive range, but the conservative is near 175% and the combined average is around 110%. Watching the range is a hold over from my old stat based model. It's pretty simple.. just figure out a daily range from x amount of daily bars. Then watch price fill up the range. It's mainly an intraday tool for me, but it's useful on longer term stuff for gauging add ons, partial take offs, whatever.

GBPUSD 1h chart with a square. Price initial impulse in the square went 3 1/2 squares of price. The crash bottom was at 3 1/2 squares of time. Embarrassingly, I completely traded that bottom wrong. I kept trying to catch the bottom before the bar closed. Stupid. With all cycle type trading the bar has to close and it's safe to let a couple of bars after close as well to verify the cycle did pick a top/bottom. Then wait for a pull back or follow through to enter. Suffice it to say, I'm waiting for the pullback and also follow through now.

Euro symmetry. Currently long.

Balancing price-time.

As to not get off topic in another thread, here's my post concerning balancing price-time.

A range of price and time will usually balance out in a perfect square. Sometimes the reaction is slight and other times dramatic. In this case it was dramatic. 5 min chart. square is based on units of price/time and not bars. Bar counts are not equal. Price-time counts are equivalent. There's a difference between equal and equivalent.

I also closed the short because price has already hit beyond it's average range for the day.

Mirror Cycle forecast. Currently inverted.

100 pipperooos. A near perfect squaring of price-time.

Here's a 30 minute chart of my entry. Another perfect squaring.

Another cool hundy and some add-ons.

When larger cycles are in play, it's just a matter of buying dips/selling rallies. 5 minute chart with plain ol' pivots and fibs.

Bill Williams Alligator and Fractals added for dramatic effect.

Just closed out some nice profits. 108, 104, 65, 41, 28. Got me thinking... the hardest part of trading is letting go. Letting go of losses obviously, but also letting go of profit lost or opportunity lost. Plan the trade, trade the plan. If profit ends up moving another 100 pips without me, who cares as long as I've traded my plan.

Opportunity lost is a lot easier to swallow than capital lost!

If you haven't seen this, this is the coolest thing ever for some trade management. It's called 'Once Clicker' and it's free.

http://www.toolsfortradingtheforex.com/download.html
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...er#post3732797

Thanks man