Gold with No Drama

Every time oil reaches $108, Trump comes out with a statement lowering the price. It seems someone is screaming every time it touches that price.

i agree. And One more thing for your knowledge Trump is just a play boy there is a Mafia Behind him... He is just an employee like a robot who works for them... Whole world know this....

What will become of you when he's no longer president?
You guys put your focus as day traders to much outside charts...

nothing i guss.. trading will be back to normal

I strongly agree with you because market will be moving as it has to... these news will be coming every hour. So focus should be on charts instead of news. news should only for a quicker move only...

nice reaction there....both for tp or entry

Daily rejection lower ....

all set for gold as per my analysis to head this higher
like i said yesterday the price action was totally pathetic and baseless to me it wasnt normal and range bounded
for those who trade ranges for them it is but not for others
anyways this is what i see today
if no bullshit happens

Price action and candlestick behavior
The candles on the right side are showing a recovery leg with higher lows, especially from the 4525–4540 area. The latest bullish push is trying to expand upward, but price is now close to the upper band and near short-term resistance. That means I would not chase a fresh buy at 4577 unless you are scalping with tight risk.
The better long entry is a pullback into support.
Best buy setup
Preferred buy zone: 4563–4572
Wait for M15 or M5 to pull back there and reject.
Entry: 4563–4572 after bullish rejection
Stop loss: below 4550, safer below 4540
TP1: 4586
TP2: 4601
TP3: 4616
Stretch target: 4632–4650 if momentum expands
For the candle confirmation, I’d want to see a bullish rejection wick, bullish engulfing candle, or price retest 4571–4563 and close back above it.
Sell setup
Do not sell randomly here either. The better short would be from resistance.
First sell zone: 4601–4616
Stronger sell zone: 4632–4650
For a short, wait for M15 bearish rejection from those zones.
Short entry: 4601–4616 rejection
Stop loss: above 4632, or safer above 4650
TP1: 4586
TP2: 4571
TP3: 4556–4540
Indicator confluence
The buy signal at 4572.85 supports the short-term bounce, but the success rate shown is only 55.88%, so I would not rely on the signal by itself. The better confluence is that price is holding above the mid-band and forming higher lows. That supports a short-term buy, but only if pullbacks hold.
Institutional-style logic
Right now, price is moving from discount into a possible rebalance area. Buyers likely defended the 4480–4510 demand zone, but institutions may sell again if price reaches premium resistance around 4601–4616 or 4632–4650. If order-flow data were available, I’d want to see whether the bounce is supported by positive cumulative delta and aggressive buy prints, or whether buyers are being absorbed near resistance.
Fundamental backdrop
Gold is getting mixed macro signals today. Reuters reported that spot gold rose slightly as a weaker U.S. dollar supported demand, but gains were limited by rising bond yields and higher oil prices, which keep inflation and tighter-rate expectations in focus. Higher yields usually pressure non-yielding gold, while a weaker dollar can support it. Reuters also reported the dollar index eased around 0.14% on Monday, while markets continued watching Fed policy and inflation risks.
My direct trade view
For now, I would treat this as a short-term buy setup, not a chase buy.
Best entry: 4563–4572 pullback buy
Stop: below 4550 or 4540
Targets: 4586, 4601, 4616

and it formed again
trump pattern out of nowhere
this time on m30 kind of hahah

Monday, TP some and tiny trailing

Daily... And 4H... And Volume....
How to use the levels is not up to me....
And why NY went down again? Innefeciency mentioned here left, London window hidden pivot not tested...
For shorts, is not wise short before volume levels, particulary because the probability of hiting the 4h test is very high.
Trade with validation the volume levels and will be just ok... Like any limit order have his risks, levels have too if don't know how to trade them, but knowing that if 1h don't reject that price will be high probability to be immediatly tested.
Price can go down or up, doesn't matter, if i go sell or buy is where i starting looking for, is called buy low or sell high...
Not beeing respected we can be in the middle of a short term trend and is a warning...
If i expect price go down? For now yes... But would like to see 1st make this 4h test.


EDIT: And 4586.695 is an old level, is where price is beeing rejected, but i think is just that a reaction...

Expecting Asia premarket to position itself downwards with Asia to low sweep and pump afterwards to 4600 and beyond

Tokyo session low has been broken — a sign of bearish continuation and increasing selling pressure on Gold.
Waiting for price to respect the breakdown zone before continuation toward lower liquidity levels.
Entry: 4575
Target: 4555
Clean structure + session low breakdown = strong probability setup.
Sellers are currently in control of the market momentum.

1H +COG on DXY at demand here lets see

It seems the past have memory after all....
Didn't give up of the idea of the higher test or will, but just in case, volume levels to buy low...
We are in a big range open/close of weekly, my advice don't trust so much in both, we can see manipulation today, that i didn't see it yesterday...
In fact is a levels zones, is the reason so many ups and downs, but i think at the end the fresh ones will be the really magnets...
Looks like with such conditions i will not have a trade by 4h and daily today.... Between 4569 and 4543 i sure don't trade.
Safe trades.

SELL and safe

Gonna be PayDay

Good to see my bias was correct

Edit: well half way correct lets see if targets 4600 now

4555–4560 zone is acting as a strong Fibonacci Golden Zone support.
Price reaction from this area could trigger a fresh bullish momentum toward higher highs.
Entry: 4560
Target: 4585 – 4595

The technical and fundamental analyses have merged on Gold.
The bears have become unsuccessful in pushing PA below Fib 38.2 of the latest H4 Swing.
Also, both M15 and M30 are posting Lo-Hi (South).

On the fundamental side, the intended strike on Iran has been postponed and that’s victory for the bulls.

In effect, 4600 is now in sight