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Price Action & Order Flow (Gold|Silver|Copper)

  • #181
  • Jan 31, 2026 5:07am Jan 31, 2026 5:07am
Gold may give a good discount opportunity if it holds 4.600 - 500, right at the monthly PoC and VAL + anchored VWAP from the hold of 4.100
Silver is fucked up.
Copper is at an interesting place, there are a number of opportunities. I'm mainly interested in the 5.6 - 6.2 range to long, although there's some supply/demand drama going on.
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  • #182
  • Jan 31, 2026 5:34am Jan 31, 2026 5:34am
Quoting duksi
This is ridiculous... {image} {image}
Hi duksi

Nice Squeeze in that Gold move.

Iv'e been playing my Gold trades safe by applying Stop Buys or Stop Sells inside those large candles to avoid being ran over by the next large move.
Alternatively, the next safest trades for me is just following the price action move and then join the move when I see large Delta Imbalance.
This way, I can't get trapped for any large losses whatsoever.

Its a trader's paradise in truth.

Cheers
Trading thin liquidity at the boundary of the charts
  • #183
  • Jan 31, 2026 7:03am Jan 31, 2026 7:03am
Quoting RickM
{quote} Hi duksi Nice Squeeze in that Gold move. Iv'e been playing my Gold trades safe by applying Stop Buys or Stop Sells inside those large candles to avoid being ran over by the next large move. Alternatively, the next safest trades for me is just following the price action move and then join the move when I see large Delta Imbalance. This way, I can't get trapped for any large losses whatsoever. Its a trader's paradise in truth. Cheers
Nice strategy Rick.
  • #184
  • Jan 31, 2026 7:37am Jan 31, 2026 7:37am
Quoting duksi
{quote} Nice strategy Rick.
jobs gonna be next week.. it might stall from its current low or something..
high volatility since monday..
Safe trades.
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  • #185
  • Jan 31, 2026 11:25am Jan 31, 2026 11:25am
jesus..
a lot of profit taking..
and force closing of positions..
Safe trades.
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  • #186
  • Jan 31, 2026 11:50am Jan 31, 2026 11:50am
Quoting dark.midas
jesus.. a lot of profit taking.. and force closing of positions.. Safe trades. {image}
Oh yeah. As far as we know, they could take profits for the whole month of February, then we prepare for March especially in Silver.
P.S. for those who don't know what they're looking at, we're really only interested in the "non-commercial", those are large speculators. Commercial has an inverse relation because they are hedging.

Btw Midas, are you following any stock indices or ETF's? I would like to analyze them here.
  • #187
  • Jan 31, 2026 8:13pm Jan 31, 2026 8:13pm
Quoting duksi
{quote} Oh yeah. As far as we know, they could take profits for the whole month of February, then we prepare for March especially in Silver. P.S. for those who don't know what they're looking at, we're really only interested in the "non-commercial", those are large speculators. Commercial has an inverse relation because they are hedging. Btw Midas, are you following any stock indices or ETF's? I would like to analyze them here.
i think it's great.. your thread anyways..
there's a bit of correlation between these so sometimes I look at whats happening there also..
Safe trades.
  • #188
  • Feb 1, 2026 2:38am Feb 1, 2026 2:38am
When your broker halts trading:
https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/economy...s-across-korea
  • #189
  • Feb 2, 2026 2:43am Feb 2, 2026 2:43am
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  • #190
  • Feb 2, 2026 4:54am Feb 2, 2026 4:54am
Looking at 4.000 as a potential long term floor in Gold, just like the 2.000 roof; maybe it's something worth considering. The 2.000 acting as major resistence, now 4.000 potentially acting as major support.
For Silver it could be something like 30-60.
What do you guys think?
  • #191
  • Feb 2, 2026 5:03am Feb 2, 2026 5:03am
Quoting duksi
Looking at 4.000 as a potential long term floor in Gold, just like the 2.000 roof; maybe it's something worth considering. The 2.000 acting as major resistence, now 4.000 potentially acting as major support. For Silver it could be something like 30-60. What do you guys think?
could be.. if the orderflow said so..
4k looks decent if this current bull leg doesn't hold..
Safe trades.
  • #192
  • Feb 2, 2026 6:08am Feb 2, 2026 6:08am
Some ETF's worth checking. South Korea is especially performing well.
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  • #193
  • Feb 2, 2026 7:07am Feb 2, 2026 7:07am
Supply/Demand dynamics using 1.0 & 0.5 standard deviations of a set VWAP.
Deviations should be looked at as VAL & VAH, just like with the volume profile. The closest price is to the VWAP, the closest it is to balance, and finds areas of supply/demand generally between the 0.5 & 1.0 standard deviations.
The general rule is to short whenever price is below VWAP and long whenever price is above; however, this can be misleading since the market may establish support in the VAL or VAH as seen in this example.
Any VWAP traders out there?
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  • #194
  • Feb 4, 2026 6:43am Feb 4, 2026 6:43am
I'm eyeing 4.800 - 900 to go long. Seems like the Book is rebalancing.
  • #195
  • Feb 7, 2026 4:42am Feb 7, 2026 4:42am
Good reactions in Gold.
Weekly PoC is held higher at ~4920; both VAL of the profile and VWAP were defended; price tested volumes below 4700, good bullish reaction.
On the higher TF, good rejection of VAL Yearly VWAP, back above VWAP; decent confidence for a reversal.
Fundamentals continue to support the rally, although the market by some logic favors geopolitics more than the economy. Soft US data continues, but looks like the momentum in Gold will be gradual rather than explosive.
I think we could expect a lot of back and forth this month; profits were taken, now it's time to fill for the next round.
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  • #196
  • Edited 10:11am Feb 9, 2026 9:58am | Edited 10:11am
How's the start of the week for you guys?

We've got some restored confidence in Gold seeing the distribution of volumes and continuation (anchored VP from swing low)
4900 -5000 range offers good safety, value is shifting higher again after the market found support and rejected VAL's (monthly VP & VWAP)
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  • #197
  • Feb 9, 2026 10:42am Feb 9, 2026 10:42am
Btw I made a small document for anyone who's interested in my approach to the market. It's 10 pages nothing too fancy, hopefully it will be useful for somebody.
I wanted to incorporate ''Execution and risk management'' but that's a very subjective topic, so I left it out.
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  • #198
  • Feb 10, 2026 4:21am Feb 10, 2026 4:21am
Gold miners saw decent recovery; could offer good discount opportunity at yearly VWAP, strong reclaim of 100.
100 -104 range could see renewed demand.
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  • #199
  • Feb 11, 2026 3:37am Feb 11, 2026 3:37am
Watch out for Silver. Renewed demand 80 - 82, held monthly VWAP ~81, broke resistance on 84.
Seems like things could get moving.

Volume distribution before breakout; a pullback might offer opportunity.
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  • #200
  • Feb 11, 2026 6:39am Feb 11, 2026 6:39am
Gold testing 5080.
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