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  • #1,741
  • Dec 12, 2025 5:37pm Dec 12, 2025 5:37pm
Likewise Kon, been waiting all week.....next
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  • #1,742
  • Dec 12, 2025 8:19pm Dec 12, 2025 8:19pm
Quoting Toboso01
Long Entry Analysis: I suspect I entered this trade prematurely, but I’ll monitor how it develops. Ideally, my confirmation for a long position would be a clean break above the Resistance AOI zone. On the 1D chart (right), price remains bearish within a corrective phase, which means the market still has room to retest the previous lows. My entry was based on the prior day’s candle showing a clear rejection of a support level. On the 1H chart (left), BTC broke the downward trendline, broke above the local resistance, and then retested it. However,...
As I thought, I entered prematurely. BTC is not ready to go long yet. My FOMO won—I need to trust my analysis. Today, price consolidated around the resistance line drawn at my entry point on the 1H chart. I didn’t close the trade when I noticed the consolidation, which resulted in a larger drawdown.
I will keep the trade open and accept the loss—if it hits my SL, that’s fine. I moved my SL to the previous swing to give the trade a bit more room, as on the daily chart I noticed that the support zone (the gray area) was previously resistance, which was breached, flipped to support, and tested several times. If it holds, I’m safe; if not, that’s okay. It would confirm that this consolidation is another corrective move within the daily downtrend.
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  • #1,743
  • Dec 13, 2025 1:01am Dec 13, 2025 1:01am
Quoting mallee
Likewise Kon, been waiting all week.....next{image}
It's all good man. With ANY trading strategy executed with DISCIPLINE there can only ever be three outcomes...

1. a small loss
2. a small win
3. a big win

There is nothing else if the plan, any good plan, is followed. Moves like this where we just get wicked out are just a test of our emotional discipline, nothing more.
Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #1,744
  • Edited 7:44am Dec 14, 2025 7:29am | Edited 7:44am
We just got a new bottom here at 89XXX, let's buy BTCUSD and for some 93XXX before January 2026.
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tinyurl.com/ABKForexWhatsApp
  • #1,745
  • Dec 14, 2025 7:38am Dec 14, 2025 7:38am
Quoting Toboso01
{quote} As I thought, I entered prematurely. BTC is not ready to go long yet. My FOMO won—I need to trust my analysis. Today, price consolidated around the resistance line drawn at my entry point on the 1H chart. I didn’t close the trade when I noticed the consolidation, which resulted in a larger drawdown. I will keep the trade open and accept the loss—if it hits my SL, that’s fine. I moved my SL to the previous swing to give the trade a bit more room, as on the daily chart I noticed that the support zone (the gray...
the pump you hope for will surely happen but more profits if you've been scalping every test from 8XXXX zones and exiting at 91XXX. Now is a good entry from another buy.
tinyurl.com/ABKForexWhatsApp
  • #1,746
  • Dec 14, 2025 4:01pm Dec 14, 2025 4:01pm
every low is a discount, the pump is coming. DCA at every new low
tinyurl.com/ABKForexWhatsApp
  • #1,747
  • Dec 14, 2025 4:14pm Dec 14, 2025 4:14pm
Quoting Konichiwhaat
{quote} Waking up to break even on this one, all good. Crunch day is coming. Will look for weakness today for potential shorts for a potential final push to 80K. {image}
Good morning? Yes it is Plan the trade, trade the plan. Short since 90089. SL to BE. Can we break this little uptrend resistance for the last push to 80K? Lets see.
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Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #1,748
  • Dec 14, 2025 4:58pm Dec 14, 2025 4:58pm
Quoting AlphaTradex1
every low is a discount, the pump is coming. DCA at every new low
I hope you are buying spot Bitcoin and not "trading" it on a CDF platform. Martingale strategies can be destroyed very quickly with Bitcoin. Trade safe.
Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #1,749
  • Dec 14, 2025 6:03pm Dec 14, 2025 6:03pm
Quoting Konichiwhaat
{quote} I hope you are buying spot Bitcoin and not "trading" it on a CDF platform. Martingale strategies can be destroyed very quickly with Bitcoin. Trade safe.
Thank you. But I trade BTCUSD. I don't trade Martingale. The bottom is in. With good risk management, buy at 8XXXX and take profits at key resistances.
tinyurl.com/ABKForexWhatsApp
  • #1,750
  • Dec 14, 2025 6:29pm Dec 14, 2025 6:29pm
Quoting AlphaTradex1
{quote} Thank you. But I trade BTCUSD. I don't trade Martingale. The bottom is in. With good risk management, buy at 8XXXX and take profits at key resistances.
No one knows if the bottom is in, or the top... period. But stick to your plan, and yes, risk management is the key. It sounds like you know what you are doing, so best of luck.
Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #1,751
  • Dec 14, 2025 7:42pm Dec 14, 2025 7:42pm
Weekly Market Analysis – Week Ending December 14, 2025
Hey guys,
The week has closed, so let’s review last week’s price action and outline what to expect in the upcoming week.

Market State
The market remains in a deep correction phase, currently trading near the 75% Fibonacci retracement level. Although the correction has been strong and sellers have maintained control, there are clear signs that bearish momentum is weakening.
For the past three weeks, price has been consolidating within the range of the November 17 weekly candle, failing to break either its open or close. In addition, the weekly uptrend line continues to act as dynamic support, with price reacting positively in this area.
Overall, the market appears to be near the lower boundary of the correction, resting on a key support zone that could potentially attract renewed buying pressure.

Scenarios for This Week’s Candle (Starting December 15)
Scenario 1: Bearish (Most Likely)
Sellers remain in control and push price lower toward the most recent swing lows.
Scenario 2: Bullish Challenge
Buyers step in aggressively and manage to engulf the previous week’s open—ideally the high as well. This would also engulf the November 17 weekly candle, which has acted as strong resistance after being tested and rejected for three consecutive weeks. A successful break above this level would signal a potential shift in momentum back in favor of the bulls.

Lower Timeframe Trade Ideas (D, 1H, 4H, 15M)
Do you see any bullish reversal patterns forming around current support, or do bears regain control with a clean break lower? What are your thoughts on direction from here—more bullish or bearish?

Feel free to share your lower-timeframe analysis, specific entry ideas, or target levels. Let’s discuss and refine the best setups together!

* Be aware of the high-impact news events for this week below.
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  • #1,752
  • Dec 14, 2025 7:58pm Dec 14, 2025 7:58pm
Quoting Konichiwhaat
{quote} Good morning? Yes it is Plan the trade, trade the plan. Short since 90089. SL to BE. Can we break this little uptrend resistance for the last push to 80K? Lets see. {image}
Mmm, I don't trust this 1H bull bar... I smell a rat. So I will take the (risk free) risk and wait to see another 1H candle close.
Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #1,753
  • Dec 14, 2025 8:03pm Dec 14, 2025 8:03pm
Quoting AlphaTradex1
{quote} the pump you hope for will surely happen but more profits if you've been scalping every test from 8XXXX zones and exiting at 91XXX. Now is a good entry from another buy.
Totally agree, bro! Scalping those 8XXXX retests to 91XXX has been printing money. The big pump is coming, but this dip is a gift for another long entry. Loading up!
  • #1,754
  • Dec 14, 2025 8:53pm Dec 14, 2025 8:53pm
Quoting Konichiwhaat
{quote} Good morning? Yes it is Plan the trade, trade the plan. Short since 90089. SL to BE. Can we break this little uptrend resistance for the last push to 80K? Lets see. {image}
Nice trade and good level I’m seeing the same setup, but reading it a bit differently. I’d want to see the daily candle actually close below the Dec. 25 wick. Since it closed above, it looks more like a rejection for now, with that wick acting as liquidity.
Also worth noting how price is converging with the trendline and that wick SR area. On my chart, the gray zone has been a solid support/resistance level—price has interacted with it several times through both wick lows and highs.
I agree there’s still a chance we push lower. For the uptrend to really continue, today would ideally engulf yesterday’s candle. If that doesn’t happen, the odds of more downside increase.
I’m still holding my buy (currently in the red ), so I’m watching closely to see how price reacts this week, especially with the upcoming news. Let’s see how it plays out.
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  • #1,755
  • Dec 14, 2025 8:58pm Dec 14, 2025 8:58pm
Quoting Toboso01
{quote} Nice trade and good level I’m seeing the same setup, but reading it a bit differently. I’d want to see the daily candle actually close below the Dec. 25 wick. Since it closed above, it looks more like a rejection for now, with that wick acting as liquidity. Also worth noting how price is converging with the trendline and that wick SR area. On my chart, the gray zone has been a solid support/resistance level—price has interacted with it several times through both wick lows and highs. I agree there’s still a chance we push lower. For...
Nice. For as long as we are in a small timeframe downtrend in a larger timeframe downtrend, there is only one option for me. Best of luck.
Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #1,756
  • Dec 14, 2025 9:00pm Dec 14, 2025 9:00pm
Quoting Konichiwhaat
{quote} Mmm, I don't trust this 1H bull bar... I smell a rat. So I will take the (risk free) risk and wait to see another 1H candle close.
Classic, happy I held. Nice pin bar with a perfect touch of the 90k level. Now will that hold for more downward action, or is it s double fake?
Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #1,757
  • Dec 14, 2025 9:04pm Dec 14, 2025 9:04pm
Quoting Konichiwhaat
{quote} Classic, happy I held. Nice pin bar with a perfect touch of the 90k level. Now will that hold for more downward action, or is it s double fake?
I respect that Sticking to your bias and plan is key. Best of luck—let’s see how this week unfolds.
  • #1,758
  • Dec 14, 2025 9:10pm Dec 14, 2025 9:10pm
Quoting Toboso01
{quote} I respect that Sticking to your bias and plan is key. Best of luck—let’s see how this week unfolds.
I never have a bias but I always have a plan. There is only the plan. Cheers
Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #1,759
  • Dec 14, 2025 9:10pm Dec 14, 2025 9:10pm
Quoting Konichiwhaat
{quote} Classic, happy I held. Nice pin bar with a perfect touch of the 90k level. Now will that hold for more downward action, or is it s double fake?
Yeah, exactly — it could definitely mean a rejection Nice reaction off that level.
I won’t lie, it’s a bit scary for me jejeje. Let’s see if that level holds and gives more downside, or if it turns into a double fake. The next candles should tell us a lot.
  • #1,760
  • Dec 14, 2025 9:15pm Dec 14, 2025 9:15pm
Quoting Toboso01
{quote} Yeah, exactly — it could definitely mean a rejection Nice reaction off that level. I won’t lie, it’s a bit scary for me jejeje. Let’s see if that level holds and gives more downside, or if it turns into a double fake. The next candles should tell us a lot.
Don't hold loosing trades. Cut them immediately. Hope is not a strategy.
Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
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