BOJ Likely To Raise Rates In December, Government To Tolerate Move – RTRS Cites Sources | Metals Mine

  • BOJ Likely To Raise Rates In December, Government To Tolerate Move – RTRS Cites Sources

Added at 11:43pm

  • BOJ likely to raise rates in December, government to tolerate move, sources say

    From reuters.com

    The Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates in December with the government expected to tolerate such a decision, three government sources familiar with the deliberations said. The BOJ looks set to proceed with a hike in its policy rate to 0.75% from 0.5%, which was flagged by Governor Kazuo Ueda in a speech on Monday, the sources said. It would be the first hike since January. "If the BOJ wants to raise rates this month, please make your own decision. That's the government's stance," said one of the sources, adding it was nearly certain the bank will proceed with a hike this month. The ... (full story)

Comment Options
Ericedge
Dec 4, 2025 4:22am
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Quoting Js3mwtRc
What if they aren't? They'll probably manipulate the yen by selling US dollars during significant news releases or a Fed rate cut to take advantage of bad USD news. The USD/JPY pair could fall 500 pips in a few hours.
Rather few hours from now the uj will shoot to the moon.
Js3mwtRc
Dec 4, 2025 12:11am
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What if they aren't? They'll probably manipulate the yen by selling US dollars during significant news releases or a Fed rate cut to take advantage of bad USD news. The USD/JPY pair could fall 500 pips in a few hours.
Reply
Trader#3089
Dec 4, 2025 12:02am
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Nothing has really changed. Yes, the BoJ will probably hike, but they still have the lowest rates among the central banks. Unless something bad happens JPY will continue to depreciate against other currencies.
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TimmyBTrades
Dec 3, 2025 11:47pm
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About time, test balloon to see market reaction to Dec hike. JGBs!
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Foxikus
Dec 4, 2025 2:38am
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perfect storm is coming
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Foxikus
Dec 4, 2025 6:27am
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One currency to rule them all now , one to find them all, One to bring them all, and in the darkness bind them.
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objective
Dec 4, 2025 7:34am
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Bullish for yen
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javaid786
Dec 3, 2025 11:49pm
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GBPJPY trade start moving negatively after news before was moving very nicely in uptrend
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Trader#F627
Dec 4, 2025 1:50am
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Quoting Ferna
the yen will fall
why do you say that?
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ZforexCM
Dec 4, 2025 3:21am
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The yen strengthened toward 155 per dollar, marking its best level in more than two weeks as expectations grew that the BOJ may raise rates this month.

Confidence in this view increased after Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed optimism about Japan’s economic outlook and said the central bank would carefully assess any policy adjustment.

Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama added that the government and the BOJ share the same assessment of current conditions, signaling continued alignment.

USD/JPY faces resistance near 157.95, with support positioned around 154.20.

R1: 157.95 | S1: 154.20
R2: 160.15 | S2: 153.65
R3: 161.20 | S3: 151.60
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Hashir2003
Dec 3, 2025 11:41pm
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Soft
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muraokaps
Dec 3, 2025 11:50pm
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I don't think raising 25bps will make any difference, especially if they keep the dovish stance. 5 years of negligence has its consequences.
Wisdomman27
Dec 3, 2025 11:55pm
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Money must be made in either ways
Reply
Martin024
Dec 3, 2025 11:55pm
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EJ Was in a nice bull move, I will still go for the bulls
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keyc
Dec 4, 2025 12:00am
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The BOJ was waiting for the USA to cut rate so it can drag its feet but the market is getting very impatient that its interest rate are lower than the inflation for too long.
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Trader#467C
Dec 4, 2025 12:16am
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Quoting Js3mwtRc
What if they aren't? They'll probably manipulate the yen by selling US dollars during significant news releases or a Fed rate cut to take advantage of bad USD news. The USD/JPY pair could fall 500 pips in a few hours.

If this is the case then what will happen to EJ how many to drop ?
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LT51
Dec 4, 2025 12:38am
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been hearing this since weeks if not months ago, and still the same "likely"

damn
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keyc
Dec 4, 2025 12:55am
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The last time it increase rate by 0.25 in Jan 24, it takes about 14 days to drop 500 pips.
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Trader#3089
Dec 4, 2025 1:26am
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Quoting Js3mwtRc
What if they aren't? They'll probably manipulate the yen by selling US dollars during significant news releases or a Fed rate cut to take advantage of bad USD news. The USD/JPY pair could fall 500 pips in a few hours.
If BoJ doesn't hike rates it'll probably be a bloodbath. Intervention is highly likely going to take place soon if that is the case. Second thing to watch, which is in my opinion as important as the rate decision, YCC. Will BoJ continue YCC or not? If the answer is yes, then there is no hope for JPY.

Also, according to my charts, MN, W1 and D1 are ready for another significant leg up. While H4 is hinting at some possible deeper retracement, it is not really significant as no other higher TF is on the same page. Meaning, there is no sign of reversal yet.

CHF/JPY I was talking about in prior comments has held D1 support at 193 and looks ready for another move higher. Swiss Y/Y CPI is 0.0% which leaves the rate decision up in the air. It's really 50/50 whether SNB will cut this month and go negative. Next meeting is in March and this is where SNB is definitely going negative on rates, as Swiss starts experiencing deflation.

Interventions so far have produced a drop of around 500 pips, that is correct.
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Trader#CD7E
Dec 3, 2025 11:49pm
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tp got hit due this
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Trader#BE11
Dec 3, 2025 11:54pm
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Gold moving downtrend after the new
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Trader#0A4D
Dec 3, 2025 11:57pm
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To open the news
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Trader#F31F
Dec 4, 2025 2:16am
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The JEN Pairs have been in a Bull market for a while now. This news just adds to a switch in my Bias for the next few months
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