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Price Action & Order Flow (Gold|Silver|Copper)

  • #101
  • Nov 11, 2025 4:46am Nov 11, 2025 4:46am
Quoting duksi
There might be a bit of resistence at 4,150 - 160 due to the wall of offers. I also noticed that the bids seem to be shifting higher to catch the move. Furthermore, price broke through the quarterly VWAP leaving room for a retest, combining that with ~50% retracement of the move would make a decent level for entry. What do you guys think? {image} {image}
that midpoint range aligns slightly with weekly vwap. so it's a pretty good target in case we fall.. we are having some sells getting filled at 4145s 50s.. for buying I think it s great ..
  • #102
  • Nov 11, 2025 5:11am Nov 11, 2025 5:11am
Quoting duksi
{quote} I'm using the ATAS platform. The bubbles are displayed by a filter tool called Big Trades. I think most platforms will call it something along those lines. You choose a minimum amount of contracts or units that are traded at once (or you can choose cumulative/adaptive). This is simply done to follow big players.
Yes
A journey of thousands light years begins with a single step.
  • #103
  • Nov 11, 2025 5:26am Nov 11, 2025 5:26am
Quoting dark.midas
{quote} that midpoint range aligns slightly with weekly vwap. so it's a pretty good target in case we fall.. we are having some sells getting filled at 4145s 50s.. for buying I think it s great ..
Yeah, 4,100 I think will be key (or 4,100 - 4,080 as a zone).
Silver doing great also, but I wonder if we will see a retest of 50.
  • #104
  • Nov 11, 2025 9:10am Nov 11, 2025 9:10am
Quoting duksi
{quote} Yeah, 4,100 I think will be key (or 4,100 - 4,080 as a zone). Silver doing great also, but I wonder if we will see a retest of 50.
same.. am eyeing those areas as well in case we see interest
  • #105
  • Nov 11, 2025 9:20am Nov 11, 2025 9:20am
Quoting dark.midas
{quote} same.. am eyeing those areas as well in case we see interest
The wall of offers held and NY is hitting those bids that shifted higher. We already have buyers on the dips.
This could be an epic opportunity.
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  • #106
  • Nov 11, 2025 11:05am Nov 11, 2025 11:05am
Just came across your thread.. Good job !

Your first post's 6 pt. summation of Market Objectivity is Excellent ! 100% nailed it.

The core philosophy behind market objectivity:
I. Price action is the result of the interaction between market participants (aggressive/active & passive/resting).
II. The continuous interaction of participants produces competition by behavior (market mechanics) which, in turn, reveals intention and context.
III. The competition between participants produces market structure.

IV. Volume is the lifeblood of a market, because without volume (traded orders) there is no market to speak of;
therefore, volume is of first importance and priority in market analysis.
V. The volume traded around a context, intention or structure, produces value in a market.
VI. Value (in the context of market mechanics) is the compass for navigating uncertainty and produces balance or stability in a market;
therefore, value is of second importance and priority in market analysis.


As well as your post #19


"...
Order Flow is simply the analysis of traded volume and market behaviour/intention according to that volume, in correspondence with price. When you think about it, that's all that really matters in a market; where is the volume, why is volume there and where volume might go next.
I also suggest that you become familiar with Auction Market Theory."



Exactly ! and yes AMT is the Foundation that VP MP etc is built on...all revolving around value.

I was looking in on one of the Gold threads...and it's apparent few if not none are in tune to Volume or Value.

I ask myself are we balanced or imbalanced ? Where is Value ? A simple return to value short setup today.
With several other setups apparent as well...

Anyways excellent thread Duksi.... I may share the 6pt summation on my thread with a link to your post if thats ok with you ?

Cheers
Blue

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Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #107
  • Edited Nov 12, 2025 2:47am Nov 11, 2025 11:44am | Edited Nov 12, 2025 2:47am
Quoting bluesteele
Just came across your thread.. Good job ! Your first post's 6 pt. summation of Market Objectivity is Excellent ! 100% nailed it. The core philosophy behind market objectivity: I. Price action is the result of the interaction between market participants (aggressive/active & passive/resting). II. The continuous interaction of participants produces competition by behavior (market mechanics) which, in turn, reveals intention and context. III. The competition between participants produces market structure. IV. Volume is the lifeblood of a market, because...
Yes, you may share it. I'm glad you found sense in it.
Feel free to share your thoughts here, it will be appreciated.
  • #108
  • Nov 12, 2025 5:42am Nov 12, 2025 5:42am
GC gems..

they are absolutely interested on this daily vwap.. got some buys getting filled.. let's see if they still defend the area.
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  • #109
  • Nov 12, 2025 8:06am Nov 12, 2025 8:06am
Quoting dark.midas
GC gems.. they are absolutely interested on this daily vwap.. got some buys getting filled.. let's see if they still defend the area. {image} {image}
We have support on the bids but they're having trouble getting past that wall of offers. Maybe NY brings in the volume to break it.
  • #110
  • Nov 12, 2025 8:11am Nov 12, 2025 8:11am
Quoting duksi
{quote} We have support on the bids but they're having trouble getting past that wall of offers. Maybe NY brings in the volume to break it.
yea right.. pre-market's doing great so far.
  • #111
  • Nov 12, 2025 8:28am Nov 12, 2025 8:28am
Quoting dark.midas
{quote} yea right.. pre-market's doing great so far.
This is a bit of a head scratcher because we have 1st deviation of the monthly VWAP around 4,080 still not tested.
I guess we'll see what NY will do, but I have a feeling they will either break the wall or drop it to 4,100 possibly to the 1st deviation.
Some volatility I think can be expected, but if they consolidate to mid-session we'll have to look for which side gets absorbed.
  • #112
  • Nov 12, 2025 9:03am Nov 12, 2025 9:03am
Quoting duksi
{quote} This is a bit of a head scratcher because we have 1st deviation of the monthly VWAP around 4,080 still not tested. I guess we'll see what NY will do, but I have a feeling they will either break the wall or drop it to 4,100 possibly to the 1st deviation. Some volatility I think can be expected, but if they consolidate to mid-session we'll have to look for which side gets absorbed.
buyers acting a bit strange.. pft
  • #113
  • Edited 11:04am Nov 12, 2025 9:20am | Edited 11:04am
Quoting dark.midas
{quote} buyers acting a bit strange.. pft
Well, they swept those offers. The only issue now is whether they will sustain the strength as we approach 4,200.
.
.
I would like to see analysis on other's charts. I'm interested to see how you guys mark levels and zones.
  • #114
  • Edited 6:03am Nov 13, 2025 3:46am | Edited 6:03am
We have very interesting situations in Gold and Silver which I think might provide good opportunities.
Gold is approaching the volumes at 4,250; if we see a reaction from sellers, I'm looking at 4,150 as an ideal area of interest for support due to the initiated buying that broke resistence.
Silver is already deep in those top volumes from which the selloff started; if we see a reaction from sellers, I'm looking at 52.5 to be tested as support, but will pay close attention to behavior as the weekly VAH sits at 52 and was not tested for support.

This is an environment that creates FOMO: all who shorted thinking that the markets have topped will now rush to buy, therefore stop runs are inevitable.
It is key to be cautious and patient in such environment.

Edit: the clusters of bids that sit around those levels (1st image Gold, 2nd image Silver).
VAH in Silver shifted to 52.5
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  • #115
  • Nov 13, 2025 8:09am Nov 13, 2025 8:09am
GC gems..

Probably some interest sitting at this vwap resistances.. some offers getting hit and might visit today's lows. alright let's see.
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  • #116
  • Nov 13, 2025 8:17am Nov 13, 2025 8:17am
Quoting dark.midas
GC gems.. Probably some interest sitting at this vwap resistances.. some offers getting hit and might visit today's lows. alright let's see. {image} {image}
Today would actually be a good day for that NY manipulation.
  • #117
  • Nov 13, 2025 8:28am Nov 13, 2025 8:28am
Quoting duksi
{quote} Today would actually be a good day for that NY manipulation.
do we get some bids sitting at the lows?
  • #118
  • Nov 13, 2025 8:32am Nov 13, 2025 8:32am
Quoting dark.midas
GC gems.. Probably some interest sitting at this vwap resistances.. some offers getting hit and might visit today's lows. alright let's see. {image} {image}
interesting imbalance right at daily vwap.. probably getting hit by offers.
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  • #119
  • Nov 13, 2025 8:32am Nov 13, 2025 8:32am
Quoting dark.midas
{quote} do we get some bids sitting at the lows?
We got large bids going all the way to the initiated buying from yesterday, I shared pictures.
  • #120
  • Nov 13, 2025 8:37am Nov 13, 2025 8:37am
Quoting duksi
{quote} We got large bids going all the way to the initiated buying from yesterday, I shared pictures.
ohh, i see. might gonna visit the 2nd layer..
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