Silver

would not surprise me, bought the small bounces early today at 48 in and out.
my next shot will be 45. and then 43.
my opinion for what it is worth as it is just an opinion.
appreciate this thread!also i trade the futures not the physical.
43 would be a nice place to add for the stack.

nice bounce from 47 this evening
real nice almost a buck
i got a quarter.
25 cents is peanuts but with the future its 50 bucks per penny
the DOM is really rammy tonight so caution is the word.
don't know what it will do from here.

also like this VWAP thingy thing.
starting out at 43... will it return to the scene of the crime?

Silver has indeed faced heavy downside pressure earlier this week, but the market is now showing signs of stabilization. A scalping buy setup is valid only if the daily candle closes above $49.20, which would confirm short-term bullish momentum and open the door for corrective upside. Until then, price action remains vulnerable to further dips.

Happy Thursday
Hope all is well.
The weekly look still ain't bad lookin 50 still the big round number.
close over fifty would be sweet , over 49 ok, take out 47 then lower 40's in play

the daily look now
myself am not an elliot wave guy but it has that kinda look to it.big red down 1, small green up 2, big red down 3, small red and green up for4, and another big red down possibility for 5 would put us down in the 43 zone.

240 chart looks promising. took many 240 bars to pop 48 from end of september so seems a reasonable idea to really test that
so with all that patience is what pays. for scalpers
so using the wave theory this pullback will have to reject at 50. will watch for that.
nothing is promised which brings me the question .
Is trading gambling?
Many will say No and get defensive.
But I say yes absolutely because Myself never knows 100 % the out come of any trade.
So knowing this we look at probabilities and work with that.
Investing is different than day trading.
and always trade what we see not what we want to happen.
Peace!

Refined price study for blastusbooz.

Thanks!

According to the daily chart, I am bearish on Silver. I’m expecting a strong selling push on the H4 timeframe. If price breaks below the $47.47 level, my next target will be $46.90.

my silver investment strategy has been giving me slow but good return. thinking of opening account for trading silver only, next week is new month, maybe a good start.

I took a small long position from 49.30. We can visit 50 today. Daily, 4h, 1h charts are positive for bulls. Last day of the month also. Can be choppy day. Bulls may force to end month above 50.

Not an advice! Take your own risk and decision!

Next year 2026 -- going to be silver ---year ----The supply deficit in silver is real, deep, and accelerating, and the market is finally moving high and away as momentum builds from every direction. Whether $82 marks a temporary top or just a pause point is something only the market can decide, because in this environment price is king, China is setting the tone, and the U.S. paper market is struggling to keep up. Physical silver is already trading above futures, confirming backwardation and acute structural stress: real metal holders refuse to sell at paper prices, inventories are shrinking, and futures traders are being pushed toward premium settlement. With China potentially halting refining and exports—removing as much as 70% of available flow—Western stocks could drain at an alarming rate, exploding premiums, destroying arbitrage, and stripping credibility from the paper market. As inventories fall, short sellers face delivery problems, margin stress, and the risk of forced buybacks, while Monday’s Asia–Australia open becomes the arena where price gaps, locked limit-ups, and sudden margin calls can ignite violent moves. Settlement risk now looms large: COMEX may be forced into cash settlement if physical cannot be sourced, or shorts may have to deliver at premium levels, either of which drives paper sharply upward. With the Gold–Silver Ratio already collapsing from the 30:1 region and capable of compressing into the low 20s—or even 15:1 in a blow-off phase—the path toward $100 or even $120 silver is no longer fantasy, but a realistic outcome of backwardation, shortages, and delivery strain. Miners may be earning record margins, but they cannot increase production quickly because most silver is a by-product of base-metal mining, leaving the structural supply hole untouched. Shorts have limited escape routes: rolling forward is unprofitable in backwardation, OTC swaps do not fix physical scarcity, and flooding the market with paper only works if physical holders sell—which they are not doing. If physical continues to vanish, March delivery becomes the moment of truth, a potential generational squeeze where Asia’s premium, Western inventory drain, industrial restocking, and rising investor panic collide. The cycle is moving through Do–Re–Mi: tension, acceleration, ignition, disorder, blow-off, exhaustion, and reset. Paper is paper, physical is king, demand is rising, algorithms amplify every breakout, and the bull market is smashing resistance after resistance as control slips away. This market is not only bullish—it is showing the early signature of parabolic behavior, and whoever holds real silver in such a phase becomes king.

Silver’s Shockwave: Volatility, Supply Stress, and a Market Entering Uncharted Territory
Silver has officially stepped out of gold’s shadow.
What we are witnessing now is not a routine rally or speculative spike — it is a structural shift in how silver is being priced, traded, and perceived globally.
Over the last month, silver printed an extraordinary range, with highs near 84-ish and lows around 75.0, producing a monthly volatility band of nearly 28 points. For a metal that already carries higher beta than gold, this kind of candle is a loud signal:
something has changed.

1. Extreme Volatility Signals Stress, Not Noise
A 28-range monthly candle is not normal price behavior — it reflects:

1. Aggressive demand entering the market
2. Tightening physical availability
3. Rapid repositioning by large players

In March–April 2025, silver’s volatility was significantly lower. The current candle alone almost equals multiple prior months combined, which tells us this is not a technical accident.
This is stress showing up on the chart.

2. Silver Is Breaking Old Rules
Traditionally, silver follows gold — lagging in calm markets and outperforming during inflationary bursts.
But this time, silver is acting independently.
Old assumptions are collapsing:

1. “Silver is just an industrial metal”
2. “Silver only moves after gold”
3. “Silver spikes always fade”

Those rules are no longer reliable.
We are entering uncharted territory, where silver behaves as:

1. A strategic metal
2. A policy-sensitive asset
3. A supply-constrained commodity

3. Supply Reality: This Is Not Just a Chart Story
The current move is grounded in real-world supply stress.
Silver is essential for:

1. Solar energy
2. Electronics and semiconductors
3. Defense and advanced manufacturing

At the same time:

1. Mining supply growth is limited
2. Recycling flows are insufficient
3. Stockpiles are being quietly drawn down

This creates a structural imbalance — not a short-term squeeze.

4. ETF Chasing: What Happens If the U.S. Restricts Silver?
Now introduce the wildcard: ETFs.
Silver ETFs depend heavily on:

1. Physical availability
2. Free movement of metal
3. Global trade access

If the USA imposes restrictions, tariffs, or strategic controls on silver — even partially — ETFs could be forced into panic acquisition mode.
That leads to:

1. Forced buying at higher prices
2. Premium expansion over spot
3. Dislocation between paper and physical silver

ETF chasing physical silver in a restricted environment would accelerate price discovery violently.

5. China’s Export Restrictions: The New Year Trigger
As the new year begins, China’s export policies become critical.
China dominates large portions of:

1. Refined metals
2. Industrial processing
3. Downstream supply chains

Any tightening of exports — whether on:

1. Refined silver products
2. Associated industrial components
3. Strategic materials tied to silver demand

…would immediately tighten global availability.
This is not hypothetical. We have seen this playbook before in:

1. 1973 oil shock
2. Uranium repricing cycles
3. Rare earth metal restrictions

Each time, markets didn’t “bubble” — they re-priced reality.

6. Bubble or Repricing Event?
The big question everyone is asking:
Is this a bubble?
History suggests otherwise.
Bubbles are driven by excess supply and leverage.
Repricing events are driven by scarcity, policy risk, and strategic demand.
Silver today shows:

1. Physical constraints
2. Policy-driven uncertainty
3. Institutional and ETF demand
4. Industrial necessity

That’s not bubble behavior.
That’s structural repricing.

7. Strategic Candles & Policy Risk
That massive monthly candle is a strategic candle — one that reflects:

1. Policy risk (USA & China)
2. Supply constraints
3. Institutional positioning
4. Fear of missing physical access

Markets print candles like this when confidence in stability breaks.

Conclusion: Silver Has Entered a New Phase
This is not just volatility.
This is not speculation.
This is not social media hype.
Silver is being revalued in real time.
With:

1. ETF demand accelerating
2. Potential US restrictions
3. China tightening exports
4. Industrial demand rising
5. Physical supply under pressure

The market is telling us one thing clearly:
Silver is no longer cheap, no longer passive, and no longer predictable.
This may mark the beginning of a new cycle, where silver is treated not as a secondary metal — but as a strategic asset.
And once markets accept that reality, price does not ask for permission.

close my last buy post to focus margin on gold only. maybe will trade it on separate account.

been buying again since 31st december. has been making good profit too

real silver bar, dont trade etf without it

It seems that 100 is coming quite soon. We can see it in a week, even tomorrow. Momentum is strong at daily, no sign of weakness yet.

It was a very wild day, more than 600pips up and down. Finally, some weakness at daily chart. I m neutral for Friday and it seems that 100 will be a bit delayed.

got few open positions for my silver investment

buy, dont wait till it reach 100 and beyond