(binned per thread starter’s request) Gold Trading

This topic, I will deal directly with gold.

I used to follow your content and you are great...but explain more and also announce the stop and target...announce the price movement. I am also following this topic.

Following, I will like to learn from you. You're really a great trader. Said that yesterday but my content was hidden.

short 3750.70

add short 3754.0 , SL 3763

Core PCE, Personal Income, Personal Spending – Today
Looking at the past year of data:

1. Core PCE: Around 60% of the time Actual = Forecast, with upside surprises generally supporting USD.
2. Personal Income: Stronger track record, about 70% of releases beat or match forecasts → usually USD positive.
3. Personal Spending: More volatile, roughly 50/50, and often the risk factor dragging the overall tone.

Overall probability estimate for Today:

1. Positive for USD: 60–65%
2. Neutral: 25%
3. Negative: 10–15%

Key risk: weaker Spending data could offset otherwise strong numbers.
Expected volatility (XAU/USD): around 15–25 USD range in the first move after release, depending on how aligned the three indicators are.

15 lots , short

closed all short at 3744

I am considering, for a new deal with gold.

short 3751

10 lots

update

stop out 3760

long 3763

add long 3760.50 , sl 3753

cut loss 3755, short 3754

update

i'am short

cut loss

short again 3772