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  • #93,241
  • Sep 25, 2025 11:14am Sep 25, 2025 11:14am
Buy, and SL at BE
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Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #93,242
  • Sep 25, 2025 11:46am Sep 25, 2025 11:46am
We won't go above 3655.. The targets are still 3706.
  • #93,243
  • Sep 25, 2025 12:19pm Sep 25, 2025 12:19pm
Quoting ChiForex
DXY expected to find resistance at ~98.10, if this breaks.. only God can help who're shorting the $, coz DXY will go all the way to 98.40
Furious attack by DXY at 98.10 after finding support around 98, if it fails, bears will try to base price below 98. If it succeeds prepare for 98.40 gradually. Meaning 50+ pips fall of currencies vs mighty $
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #93,244
  • Sep 25, 2025 12:23pm Sep 25, 2025 12:23pm
Gold stays too strong it had to be -1% . Eurusd, gbpusd delivers more.
  • #93,245
  • Sep 25, 2025 12:25pm Sep 25, 2025 12:25pm
Quoting ChiForex
{quote} Furious attack by DXY at 98.10 after finding support around 98, if it fails, bears will try to base price below 98. If it succeeds prepare for 98.40 gradually. Meaning 50+ pips fall of currencies vs mighty $
The crash continuing while bulls still searching for longs on their micro timeframes
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #93,246
  • Sep 25, 2025 12:36pm Sep 25, 2025 12:36pm
Quoting ChiForex
{quote} Furious attack by DXY at 98.10 after finding support around 98, if it fails, bears will try to base price below 98. If it succeeds prepare for 98.40 gradually. Meaning 50+ pips fall of currencies vs mighty $
We're surely going to hit the weekly supports vs mighty $ by tomorrow. DXY to 98.40+ Very bearish if weekly penetrates even below there on this weekly candle, that will surely mean we're gonna hit the monthly support next week, before month end, that's around 80 pips from here.
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #93,247
  • Sep 25, 2025 12:38pm Sep 25, 2025 12:38pm
Quoting ChiForex
{quote} We're surely going to hit the weekly supports vs mighty $ by tomorrow. DXY to 98.40+ Very bearish if weekly penetrates even below there on this weekly candle, that will surely mean we're gonna hit the monthly support next week, before month end, that's around 80 pips from here.
Bears will enter again at around 20-25 pips from current price, if an upward retracement happen before today end or by tomorrow..

For EU/GU specifically.
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #93,248
  • Sep 25, 2025 12:51pm Sep 25, 2025 12:51pm
Looks like we are preparing to go to 3760 again.
"Who Dares Wins"
  • #93,249
  • Sep 25, 2025 1:17pm Sep 25, 2025 1:17pm
Important that Gold daily candle closes below 3742, to try a weekly close around 3690-3710 or below the better by tomorrow...
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #93,250
  • Sep 25, 2025 1:22pm Sep 25, 2025 1:22pm
I think the future movement of gold on the 1-hour timeframe will look like this.
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  • #93,251
  • Sep 25, 2025 1:49pm Sep 25, 2025 1:49pm
Quoting 1900
I think the future movement of gold on the 1-hour timeframe will look like this. {image}

Or going tomorrow for new all time high. 50 ~ 65 area will be critical.
  • #93,252
  • Sep 25, 2025 2:09pm Sep 25, 2025 2:09pm
Reason for the pump is the news -
Gold, Oil Jump After Europe "Privately" Warned Russia It's Ready To Shoot Down Its Jets
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/13...-warned-russia

Will there be another ATH or more towards 4000 ?
  • #93,253
  • Sep 25, 2025 2:12pm Sep 25, 2025 2:12pm
Core PCE, Personal Income, Personal Spending – Tomorrow
Looking at the past year of data:

  1. Core PCE: Around 60% of the time Actual = Forecast, with upside surprises generally supporting USD.
  2. Personal Income: Stronger track record, about 70% of releases beat or match forecasts → usually USD positive.
  3. Personal Spending: More volatile, roughly 50/50, and often the risk factor dragging the overall tone.

Overall probability estimate for Tomorrow:

  1. Positive for USD: 60–65%
  2. Neutral: 25%
  3. Negative: 10–15%

Key risk: weaker Spending data could offset otherwise strong numbers.
Expected volatility (XAU/USD): around 15–25 USD range in the first move after release, depending on how aligned the three indicators are.

success comes from finding win-win solutions
  • #93,254
  • Sep 25, 2025 2:18pm Sep 25, 2025 2:18pm
Quoting forkstrader
Reason for the pump is the news - Gold, Oil Jump After Europe "Privately" Warned Russia It's Ready To Shoot Down Its Jets https://www.forexfactory.com/news/13...-warned-russia Will there be another ATH or more towards 4000 ?
probably yes. EU wants war with Russia so tensions can heat up. For now price is on resistance. So we have to see which way it will go.
  • #93,255
  • Sep 25, 2025 4:15pm Sep 25, 2025 4:15pm
Quoting 1900
I think the future movement of gold on the 1-hour timeframe will look like this. {image}
Basically agree with this as the most likely scenario, except I think it will go higher for manipulation of the wicks in the vicinity of 3761-3765 to take that liquidity and also "sell" the bullish fake out. Fib pulls from various locations indicate, even in the short term, it needs a deeper retrace, and DXY fundamentals and price action momentum looks like even more bullishness currently in the tank.
  • #93,256
  • Sep 25, 2025 5:50pm Sep 25, 2025 5:50pm
Quoting fxcontest
Buy, and SL at BE {image}
TPed All
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #93,257
  • Sep 25, 2025 10:15pm Sep 25, 2025 10:15pm
Quoting ChiForex
Important that Gold daily candle closes below 3742, to try a weekly close around 3690-3710 or below the better by tomorrow...
Reminder.
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #93,258
  • Sep 25, 2025 10:25pm Sep 25, 2025 10:25pm
Gold market awaits US PCE number
World gold prices are currently trading around $3737 per ounce, currently gold prices are in a short-term downtrend.
The US GDP report for the second quarter showed the economy grew 3.8% year-on-year, higher than the forecast of 3.5%. The PCE only distributed the number in the report also stopped higher than expected. This development is considered to be "post-conditional" for the Fed's monetary policy, thereby creating negative pressure on gold prices.
According to the interest rate forecast tool, the October 29 exam now has only 85% of the rate cut, down about 10% compared to last week. At the October 12 exhibition, the probability of a rate cut also dropped to 60.4%, nearly 20% lower. Further, in 2026, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is below 50%, reflecting the light of the market's declining expectations.
Today, the market will wait for the Core PCE Index report - the perfect measure of the Fed and also the most important report on consumer strength.
In terms of gold price trend, the current market is still in a short-term downtrend, the priority is to sell the downtrend. In case the value breaks this trend, it can continue that growth trend.
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  • #93,259
  • Sep 25, 2025 10:31pm Sep 25, 2025 10:31pm
problem with any indicator

it limits our mind from thinking out of the box
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  • #93,260
  • Sep 25, 2025 11:00pm Sep 25, 2025 11:00pm
https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...8?d=1758764083
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