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  • #91,941
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:41am Sep 11, 2025 7:41am
Something quite don’t make sense here to me. A lot of data came just now. Most of it green with the exception of jobless claims which are higher. Am I right in thinking that inflation could be high as F and the rates are going to be cut anyway
Insane in the Brain..
  • #91,942
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:43am Sep 11, 2025 7:43am
short again 3633 , 10 lots
vankiepsauff@gmail
  • #91,943
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:44am Sep 11, 2025 7:44am
Gold is up bcz of unemployment and will be down bcz of inflation is not down, which means there are less chances of 50% rate cut or even no rate cut in september
Patience
  • #91,944
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:45am Sep 11, 2025 7:45am
Quoting BeeTogether
Something quite don’t make sense here to me. A lot of data came just now. Most of it green with the exception of jobless claims which are higher. Am I right in thinking that inflation could be high as F and the rates are going to be cut anyway
I think gold will go down more few points than today low before anything else, not trust on this reaction, but better wait a little.
Is not the first time after market calm down the trend resume, CPI included.
1 DEV from monthly and weekly not tested so close??? Very suspicious and with low probability, very low...
  • #91,945
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:47am Sep 11, 2025 7:47am
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yes yes yes
  • #91,946
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:50am Sep 11, 2025 7:50am
3626.240 tipical tested but on CPI i am not crazy.. Stayed out...

Was my early limit sell, just because is a trade that is easy managed...
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  • #91,947
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:53am Sep 11, 2025 7:53am
based on this i am short @3640
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  • #91,948
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:55am Sep 11, 2025 7:55am
what will make the $ strong as hell soon?

it's gonna happen.. what will be the trigger? no cut?
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  • #91,949
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:56am Sep 11, 2025 7:56am
Quoting GoldGod
Today’s Bias: Short • Break above 3630 → Flip Long Happy CPI Day {image}
Update: Short zone on hold—waiting for one or two more 30-minute candles to close.
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GoldGod Flip3 Return Today: na
  • #91,950
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:58am Sep 11, 2025 7:58am
This hour closing above 3631.985 i bet buy, below the prior level to be tested sells...
But still waiting one more hour...

5 minute closing below 3622.295 invalidate buys totally...
  • #91,951
  • Sep 11, 2025 7:59am Sep 11, 2025 7:59am
Quoting Deal
This hour closing above 3631.985 i bet buy, below the prior level to be tested sells... But still waiting one more hour...
IMO wait for 4hrs candle
Patience
  • #91,952
  • Sep 11, 2025 8:07am Sep 11, 2025 8:07am
That H4 MA @ 3614 going to prove hard to go imo, expect a decent drop if it closes below after rejection
Que Sera
  • #91,953
  • Sep 11, 2025 8:10am Sep 11, 2025 8:10am
Quoting SibiSh
{quote} IMO wait for 4hrs candle
It depend if you are a long term or short term trend....
I already been where you are and learn if i want day trade is 30m below to 5m.
4H will be late to have consistency in one trade a day. There are the right times to trade and pivots to average, and now is all i do because is this times that settle the trend. But is just my opinion, is not random tthe prices i give and literally were wicked for both sides. I hadn't patterns below 4H but now with hours and hours on them i see repetitive patterns in all sessions..
Believe me long term above 1H day trade below...

You just need a good pattern, no matter de pips, because generaly any rejection on gold you have 2.5k points, is enough.
  • #91,954
  • Edited 8:27am Sep 11, 2025 8:11am | Edited 8:27am
Quoting Elliottway
i am waiting for 3607 to trigger my buy order.
https://tradedelicious.com/p/stop-chasing-perfect-entries
subscription needed - but see below

Stop Chasing Perfect Entries
Studies confirm entries add little to returns. The real drivers are exits, risk, and discipline. Meanwhile, UK GDP data could be the catalyst that decides the pound’s next move.

The Myth of the Perfect Entry
Every trader dreams of catching the market at the exact turning point, the perfect entry that makes the chart look like it was drawn for them. But in reality, this obsession is one of the most costly distractions in trading.
Data shows that timing the entry is far less important to long-term performance than what happens afterward: how the trade is managed, where stops are placed, and how exits are executed.

Here’s what you need to know:
1. Entries Don’t Predict Profitability

Studies on hedge funds and retail performance show that entry timing contributes little to overall returns compared to trade management. A well-managed trade with a slightly late entry can still deliver strong results, while a poorly managed “perfect entry” can still end in loss.
Traders who obsess over precision often miss bigger moves waiting for the ideal price. Quantified Strategies’ backtests confirm the same: traders put too much weight on entry signals, but exits and risk rules explain the majority of performance outcomes
2. Risk Management Is the Real Edge

AsKahneman and Tversky showed in their Prospect Theory research (1979), losses weigh about twice as much as gains. This means the true battleground isn’t entry but how much you’re willing to risk.
Position sizing and stop placement consistently matter more to equity curves than whether you were five pips early or late.
3. Exits Drive the P&L
Performance data across active traders shows exits carry more weight than entries. A trade entered late but held through the right risk-to-reward framework will often outperform a perfect entry that’s exited prematurely out of fear.
The discipline to let trades run or cut them when invalidated creates the bulk of long-term returns.
4. The Illusion of Control

The fixation on entries often comes from psychology, the feeling that precision equals control. But markets are probabilistic, not precise.
By waiting endlessly for perfect alignment, traders fall into analysis paralysis, missing opportunities that didn’t fit the “picture-perfect” entry. The edge is not found in control, but in consistency.
My Takeaway
The perfect entry is a myth.
What separates professionals from amateurs isn’t their ability to nail the first tick but their consistency in managing trades once they’re in. Risk limits, position sizing, and disciplined exits are what build accounts over time. Focus less on being the trader who “bought the bottom” and more on being the one who stayed solvent long enough to compound gains.
-Shaun A

edit 15:26 MESZ conclusion for me: trade from Excel
  • #91,955
  • Sep 11, 2025 8:12am Sep 11, 2025 8:12am
look like a short?
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  • #91,956
  • Sep 11, 2025 8:17am Sep 11, 2025 8:17am
Quoting Deal
{quote} It depend if you are a long term or short term trend.... I already been where you are and learn if i want day trade is 30m below to 5m. 4H will be late to have consistency in one trade a day. There are the right times to trade and pivots to average, and now is all i do because is this times that settle the trend. But is just my opinion, is not random tthe prices i give and literally were wicked for both sides. I hadn't patterns below 4H but now with hours and hours on them i see repetitive patterns in all sessions.. Believe me long term...
Yep you are right but sometimes at big events you need to see every time frame, bcz some times its showing possitive on small timeframe but actually its negative on big time frame, we call it retracement at some levels. But everyone has its own strategy and patience.
Patience
  • #91,957
  • Sep 11, 2025 8:17am Sep 11, 2025 8:17am
Quoting Whale
look like a short? {image}
Still left NY do his thing, wait about 1h....
  • #91,958
  • Sep 11, 2025 8:19am Sep 11, 2025 8:19am
Quoting PatienceFx
i will not buy gold ANYWHERE today for at least 4 to 12 hours
Gold tanking as expected
  • #91,959
  • Sep 11, 2025 8:19am Sep 11, 2025 8:19am
have fun everyone, i got another sell today, nice touch at the high, partial take at 3625 for nice few risk in future
I need to wait H4 to hold much longer, close below 3623 is the dooms day for buyer otherwise it is wise to run from this shit hole, i mean smaller shithole inside a sinkhole
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Will is the most powerful weapon in the world.
  • #91,960
  • Sep 11, 2025 8:22am Sep 11, 2025 8:22am
Quoting vankiepsauff
short again 3633 , 10 lots
closed at 3621 , 10 lots
vankiepsauff@gmail
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