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  • #91,541
  • Sep 8, 2025 11:43am Sep 8, 2025 11:43am
Taken the money..
Insane in the Brain..
  • #91,542
  • Sep 8, 2025 12:19pm Sep 8, 2025 12:19pm
This could go even higher today.. not writing off 3650
Insane in the Brain..
  • #91,543
  • Sep 8, 2025 12:33pm Sep 8, 2025 12:33pm
Settle the volatile pressure first because chances to go 500 pips +/- difference. Not good for both sides.

Daily will give peaceful setup later.
SURFER
  • #91,544
  • Sep 8, 2025 1:56pm Sep 8, 2025 1:56pm
Quoting GoldGod
{quote} Update: 3630 is now officially a buy level — chart adjusted accordingly {image}
Done for today—no trades.
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GoldGod Flip3 Return Today: na
  • #91,545
  • Sep 8, 2025 5:45pm Sep 8, 2025 5:45pm
Just an opinion, 5m closing below 3629.224 is a sell.
I think i am gonna take this opportunity, smell like a shift.
Waiting for mitigate 1 close candle to validate.
  • #91,546
  • Sep 8, 2025 6:08pm Sep 8, 2025 6:08pm
Quoting Deal
Just an opinion, 5m closing below 3629.224 is a sell. I think i am gonna take this opportunity, smell like a shift. Waiting for mitigate 1 close candle to validate.
No momentum, and looks just a sweep of the close, wich means also can be the low too.
Do nothing for now.
  • #91,547
  • Edited 6:53pm Sep 8, 2025 6:24pm | Edited 6:53pm
Quoting Deal
{quote} No momentum, and looks just a sweep of the close, wich means also can be the low too. Do nothing for now.
Well take my chance sell stop at 3628.407, i doubth price touch again there if realy do not want go lower, and this setup turns in a opportunity for a buy breaking above 3633.074

For buy will wait Toquio, more safe...
  • #91,548
  • Sep 8, 2025 7:14pm Sep 8, 2025 7:14pm
Quoting Deal
{quote} Well take my chance sell stop at 3628.407, i doubth price touch again there if realy do not want go lower, and this setup turns in a opportunity for a buy breaking above 3633.074 For buy will wait Toquio, more safe...
In a buy to 3642... Sell stop for now in place too....

Edit: Partials taken breakeven. We have to follow thru supply, just in case.
  • #91,549
  • Sep 8, 2025 7:31pm Sep 8, 2025 7:31pm
Quoting Deal
{quote} In a buy to 3642... Sell stop for now in place too.... Edit: Partials taken breakeven. We have to follow thru supply, just in case.
Gonna sleep, sell stop canceled, breakeven on buy hit, only play out 1 dev.
But the day look like will be bullish again, everything is pointing that, open tokio playing out bullish, Ny IDR signaling bullish, momentum bulish...
Be safe!
  • #91,550
  • Sep 8, 2025 11:07pm Sep 8, 2025 11:07pm
Died the old beautiful days when the market was moving charmly, hitting clear resistances, supports, and retracement levels and backing off for dozens of pips.
Nowadays with artificial algorithms, stupid traders and everything fake...the market is all f*cked up big time, stopping at whatever levels, moving randomly few pips and pulling back. BS to say the least even if you can still make money but no longer interesting/entertaining but boring!
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #91,551
  • Sep 8, 2025 11:29pm Sep 8, 2025 11:29pm
Quoting ChiForex
Died the old beautiful days when the market was moving charmly, hitting clear resistances, supports, and retracement levels and backing off for dozens of pips. Nowadays with artificial algorithms, stupid traders and everything fake...the market is all f*cked up big time, stopping at whatever levels, moving randomly few pips and pulling back. BS to say the least even if you can still make money but no longer interesting/entertaining but boring!
Thats what we call a Trending market buddy.
Buy and Hold
When everyone does the same thing, and nobody selling, market buy orders keep pushing through the roof to take Take profit orders only.
Selling orders are not present at the moment.
Even the minor shorts are getting squeeze, which keep pushing price to through the roof.
Its the time to make the most money.

With PPI/ & CPI tomorrow, high probability for a tick up price data, together with Bad NFP (which translate into bad economy) inducing FED to CUT into stagflation, GOLD/commodities are outperforming every assets class.
Even the digital gold lagged behind.
No more engagement as from today.
  • #91,552
  • Sep 8, 2025 11:32pm Sep 8, 2025 11:32pm
High possibility for 687 today before we get a correction.
No more engagement as from today.
  • #91,553
  • Sep 8, 2025 11:38pm Sep 8, 2025 11:38pm
weekly high of 3656...... expecting a quick fall asap..


not going to trade.. i don't trust HT setup.. need extra patience, H1 is good for making very quick money. i will wait
SURFER
  • #91,554
  • Sep 8, 2025 11:41pm Sep 8, 2025 11:41pm
Quoting Elliottway
weekly high of 3656...... expecting a quick fall asap..
3660 books all my open trades
  • #91,555
  • Sep 8, 2025 11:43pm Sep 8, 2025 11:43pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} 3660 books all my open trades
if you have that much confident. why not 3684
SURFER
  • #91,556
  • Sep 8, 2025 11:45pm Sep 8, 2025 11:45pm
Quoting Elliottway
{quote} if you have that much confident. why not 3684
one step at a time wins the race
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  • #91,557
  • Sep 8, 2025 11:52pm Sep 8, 2025 11:52pm
Any HT close above 3656.. will confirm the buy setup. no meaning of selling at this point.
SURFER
  • #91,558
  • Sep 8, 2025 11:55pm Sep 8, 2025 11:55pm
Quoting thebigshot
{quote} Thats what we call a Trending market buddy. Buy and Hold When everyone does the same thing, and nobody selling, market buy orders keep pushing through the roof to take Take profit orders only. Selling orders are not present at the moment. Even the minor shorts are getting squeeze, which keep pushing price to through the roof. Its the time to make the most money. With PPI/ & CPI tomorrow, high probability for a tick up price data, together with Bad NFP (which translate into bad economy) inducing FED to CUT into stagflation, GOLD/commodities...
Why FED CUT makes GOLD outperforming every other asset classes.

Lets take an example
Tue 02 Sept to now, US10y Y falls ~6%.
if we look at the % change for the same period:
SPX: ~2%
Nas100: ~3%
TLT: ~4%
Gold: ~5.3%

We can see Funds are rushing more in safe haven than risk assets.
Why??
Real interest rate keeps falling.
With US01y yield - 01y Inf expectation, spread narrowing.
With abundant money in the system, + ballooning consumer credit, Money flows like crazy every where.

With Premium on Gold contracts/bullion getting more expensive, the money continue chasing it, untill it become too expensive to hold the long contract, that when we will see take profit.

But why GOLD outperforming TLT?
That lies in the idea of a FED policy error.
At first, the US10y was falling, while Us30Y was holding UP. (the idea of FED cutting now, but down the road it will need to hike again- sticky inf)
Last NFP, the idea of FED not making a policy error was reinstated by the market, making US30Y yield to fall.
Making housing market to breath easily.

So what will burst everything?
At first there were 3 main ideas:
1. Cross boarder capital flows
2. Long end rates
3. Carry trades.

What we need to continue to look at is the US30Y yield.
Whether FED is making a policy error or not, or it already make it and by the time market realise it,
The Vol of GOLD, will spike from $45 daily range to $90, leaving a print of large daily candle on the chart, like Apr charts.

Making us to see at least 4700 level during the FED cutting cycle.
No more engagement as from today.
  • #91,559
  • Sep 8, 2025 11:59pm Sep 8, 2025 11:59pm
Target achieved successfully
$47=470 Pips Booked ($3600-$3,647 Target)
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Patience
  • #91,560
  • Sep 9, 2025 12:02am Sep 9, 2025 12:02am
Quoting Elliottway
Any HT close above 3656.. will confirm the buy setup. no meaning of selling at this point.
gold will driop 1000 usd if trump is impeached which is now given to happen soon
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