Why it is possible to predict price movement?

There are a lot of setups, but the easiest to spot is probably the corrective phase after the 5th wave, which is the final push in the trend's direction. This phase usually has a 3-wave correction. I might create a journal thread at some point to explain this.

In general, trading methods for predicting price movement are based on probabilities rather than certainties. Predicting price direction is inherently uncertain because markets are influenced by countless variables, and even professionals struggle to consistently forecast market movements. Methods like technical analysis, cycle theory, and fundamental analysis aim to identify patterns or tendencies, not guarantees.
Ultimately, price movement tends to follow probabilities, with some strategies increasing the likelihood of success, but there's no 100% guarantee. The key is managing risk effectively while recognizing that market behavior is random and influenced by many unpredictable factors. The goal is to identify higher-probability scenarios based on past data, but even the best strategies can't eliminate uncertainty.

Sounds good. Would love to see that journal thread. But do you usually trade in correction or trend?

Sounds interesting. Looking forward!

Sure, I can explain my method for predicting price movements in a journal thread, but that's not really the main challenge. There are already plenty of systems on ForexFactory that do a decent job at predicting price movements. The real challenge is having an effective trade management strategy to get the most out of that system.

In other words, you need a clear plan for how to enter and manage your trades. In my opinion, this is the most important part.

For example, the demo account I’m showing in this video https://imgur.com/3QvpnxR is currently 1K in profit on a 5K account. This is not just because of price predictions. It's mostly due to effective trade management. With good trade management, you don't have to be perfect in predicting price movements. You can even be a little off and still come out ahead.

But, if you are trading manually with only one or two trades, then accurate price predictions become much more important. The thing is finding the right balance between your trade management strategy and your system.

Totally! managing trade makes difference. When do you decide to scale out?

Price prediction is possible, however, not the way many traders think it is. It all boils down to how price moves. One has to understand that one first. All movements have a story and the story is framed by several, not obviously related influences. I do not engage in discussions anymore because most people do not understand how, why and when price moves. And when they do, they can not make themselves available for trade execution. It is a continuous intellectual effort or challenge to understand what is going on with price. It needs presence to read its movements properly. I am always open with my performance and although I consider myself one of the best traders (although I do not know anyone better), even I can not trade well, if my full attention is not on price movements. And I am talking about trading one single pair, so you can understand the complexity and fluidity of when, how and why price moves. Miss a point, replace it with "I believe.." type of statements and you may get punished immediately. I have broken all codes and performed very well for half a year with full attention on price movement (tripled my account), but quickly lost ground once life's challenges interfered and took my attention away. Why strategies fail many times is because traders are not aware that any single movement, that I call a function of price movement, can take any amount of time. Think about the implications regarding the outcomes you expect from price movements and your availability and presence. I have my teachings about price movements that nobody ever matches but my advice to everyone is to simply stop trading as even to understand those concepts is a challenge, let alone practicing to apply them. I tought few people for a very little amount of money but I have come to the conclusion that it is best for nearly all to just give it up. There is a holy grail but it is beyond the reach for nearly everybody. I think this is my final 2 cents here and I will likely die without passing the knowledge on. I am not rich and can not prove anything to you except performances delivered when I had the luxury of unshared attention. So I am telling you this from the position of one who has actually broken all codes but have not the luxury of time at the moment. You can imagine the performance of those who have not even broken the code. I am talking about day trading not the kind of trading that uses small positions that can be bailed out if things take unexpected turns. 15 years of daily experience is behind me, so you know it is not just a matter of reading stuff and connecting dots that others do not. Good luck to all who choose this path, but believe me you will be better off by focusing on some other activities!

Predicting price movement is not easy. Many factors like market conditions, political situations, or economic events play a role. But by using some methods or analysis, we can get a good idea, though nothing is ever certain. So, predicting when prices will go up or down is often difficult.

Predicting price movements is possible because markets are influenced by patterns, trends, and recurring behaviors driven by supply and demand, news, and investor psychology. Many trading methods rely on technical analysis (past price action), fundamental analysis (economic factors), or a mix of both. While no method guarantees success, patterns and probabilities can give traders an edge.

Price movement is sometimes predictable because markets are driven by human behavior — and humans tend to repeat certain patterns due to emotion (fear/greed), psychology, and structural inefficiencies in the market.

Price movements can be predicted using technical analysis (patterns, indicators), fundamental analysis (news, economic data), and market psychology—though no method guarantees 100% accuracy due to unpredictable variables.

Why can price be predicted?
Because markets don’t move on logic.
They move on liquidity.
And liquidity lives where traders feel the most pain.
Big players don’t chase price — they drag it.
Into your stop loss.
Into your FOMO long.
Into your panic sell.
TA isn’t magic.
It’s a map of where emotions stack up — and where someone stronger plans to eat them.
You’re not predicting the future.
You’re just front-running fear.

Learn SMC Bro , Im the private student of ict . WELL, Wanna see me predict price movement . OK so , today is 12 aug , usdjpy will gonna to atleast 150 before hitting 147.335 i made early entry and now is on a profit of 11,000$ and trade is still running , go take entry fast before its too late.

You too student of ICT?