Swing Trades DAX/DOW/NQ/GOLD

SnP stuck at MR1. NQ at WPP waiting for US inflation data Tdy

Both markets turned Bullish again. Lets see for how long

China gets 10%, allies get 25%. Reminds me of that quote:

“It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal.”

― Henry Kissinger

Everybody finds it normal when this kind of things happen in countries such as N Korea and Russia. US moved now in the same catagory of these kind of countries.

Those FBI agents were assigned those investigations. They didn't choose them.

But logic in the eyes of Trump, cause you wouldn’t want people who know the ins and outs of how you like to break the law.

January 20: FAA director fired
January 21: Air Traffic Controller hiring freeze
January 22: Aviation Safety Advisory Committee disbanded
January 28: Buyout/retirement demand sent to existing employees
January 29: First American midair collision in 16 years
January 31: second plane crash in 3 days

Well, one thing in life is for certain: and that is, Trump will be on TV tomorrow blaming DEI and mocking the memory of the victims

America consumes the most energy Globally, especially Oil and gas. D.T just announced yesterday that he wants to double the energy production in his country. Stepping on the neck of his closest allies is probably a dumb idea, especially when your entire economy depends on foreign energy, Not to mention Canada has more lumber, more fresh water, more oil and gas than what they consume.

So there is a trade deficit between a country with 40 million people (Canada) and one with 340 million people (US)?
How could that be? What an idiot.

This president is so predictable in his unpredictability that he in the end lacks (global) authority.

That fellon doesnt know how tariffs work. They never work, just drives up prices on consumers. This guy doesnt have a clue.

A former senior advisor for the Federal Reserve was arrested Friday on charges that he conspired to steal Fed trade secrets for the benefit of China.

Gaining advance knowledge of U.S. economic policy, including advance knowledge of changes to the federal funds rate, could provide China with an advantage when selling or buying U.S. bonds or securities,” the office said. Prosecutors noted that China holds about $816 billion of U.S. government debt.

FBI Assistant Director in Charge of the Washington office David Sundberg in a statement said, “The Chinese Communist Party has expanded its economic espionage campaign to target U.S. government financial policies and trade secrets in an effort to undermine the U.S.

Sundberg was told Thursday that he was being forced out the FBI, NBC News reported Friday, citing two senior law enforcement sources.

Thank you for your service. YOU ARE FIRED!

Stock futures tumbled Sunday night to kick off a new trading month as investors weighed new U.S. tariffs on goods from key trade partners and their potential impact on the economy and corporate profits.

Canada responded with retaliatory tariffs of its own, while Mexico said it would explore levies on U.S. imports. The Chinese government, meanwhile, said it would file a lawsuit with the World Trade Organization.

DOW dropped -/+ 1.0% to 44K zone. D GAP up to 44.650 zone
SnP dropped -/+ 2.0% to 5940 zone. D GAP up to 6060 zone
NQ dropped -/+ 3.0% to 21K zone. D GAP up to 21.535 zone

And there is a GAP between Trumps 2 ears, which never can be filled.


MNQ Short 21.08 last 2 lot
T1 +11/12p 2 lot
T2 +15/16p 1 lot
1 left SL BE zone
Last closed -8/9p

If these tariff moves and counter-moves from US trade partners are sustained, we are effectively in a trade war with all of the fallout for growth and prices and disruptions to supply chains and companies that this brings. The chief longer term risk is one of stagflation: weak growth with higher inflation levels.

Companies suffering a direct hit due to production in Canada and Mexico. Car producers from Ford and especially GM, which respectively produce from 15-20% and 30-40% of their vehicles in Canada and Mexico. Volkswagen has a large Audi plant in Mexico and European carmakers are set for a rocky performance if Trump follows through with tariffs against European countries. Some apparel makers will also feel considerable impact.

Consider the impact on the biggest American brands. Already at the weekend, Canadian hockey fans were booing the singing of the US nation anthem at NHL hockey matches in Canada and social media saw widespread demands for boycotting US products, with Tesla and Amazon especially in focus. Canadian liquor stores are being asked by provincial premiers to remove all US products from liquor stores. Tesla has additional considerable risk in China and especially in Europe if Trump moves forward with tariffs against the EU. Already Musk’s brand is under siege in Denmark, for example, if we are to infer the 50% collapse in monthly Tesla Model Y sales in the country since the summer period. Tesla sold about half of its cars outside the US in 2024.

And this is about cars and liquor only

NQ Long 21.135 1 lot
Closed +16/17p

21K is a BRN/SP level (for now)

SnP closing a 3 weeks old TPO GAP down to 5920
Nex target 5900

Daily GAP up to 6060

NQ down targets
20.900
20.800 MS1
IN the worst case 20.500

Up target 21.550 zone D GAP

DOW Up target D GAP to 44.650 zone Fridays low.

Down targets:
44K
44.900 MPP
44.600 close Jan. VWAP
43K left open 3 Wks old TPO GAP

YM MIni short last lot from 44.141
Closed +30p

Still last 2 MYM Micros running for 44K and lower
SL BE

MNQ Short again 21.128 last 4 lot (Bear Flag)

T2 +57/60p 3 lot
1 left for 20.050<>21K
Closed +77/78p at -2.5%

@ -2.5% zone again


SnP down to -2.0%? -2.5% GAP close?
NQ will follow down to -3.0% ifit does.

MES short 5956 last 2 lots
ES short and closed +2.75p

MNQ Short again 21.026 last lot
Last lot closed BE. 21K SP zone

NQ short 21.020 1 lot
Closed +15/16p 1 lot

MES Short 5956 last 2 lot

T2 +13.5p 1 lot
1 left/Closed +10p

Target 5925/20
-2% SP so far

ES Mini short 1 lot 5955
closed +14p

DOW at 44K WS1/-1.5%

Markets do not like tarifs. Markets send a clear message.

But this was common news for a long time already.

US drops into a chaos.

Besides the tarifs lot of spendings are froozen.

Elon Musk seems to have access to all government payments to US citizens.
He gets what he wants now. His election investment in Trump/GOP pays off.

The Trump administration has placed two top security chiefs at the U.S. Agency for International Development on leave after they refused to turn over classified material in restricted areas to Elon Musk’s government-inspection teams, a current and a former U.S. official told The Associated Press on Sunday.
Members of Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency, known as DOGE, eventually did gain access Saturday to the aid agency’s classified information, which includes intelligence reports, the former official said.

Musk on Sunday responded to a post about the news on X by saying, “USAID is a criminal organization. Time for it to die.”
At least 56 senior career USAID staffers were abruptly placed on administrative leave.

It comes a day after DOGE carried out a similar operation at the Treasury Department, gaining access to sensitive information including the Social Security and Medicare customer payment systems.

The Bottom Line
To help pay for Trump tax cuts, new taxes on worker benefits become GOP target. With the size of the deficit and Trump wanting trillions of dollars in expiring and new tax cuts, some budget pay-fors will need to be found, and this one would dip into workers’ pockets.

It seems Trump would have a good reason for blaming DIE:
"Buttigieg Roasted For Blaming Helicopter-Plane Collision on President Trump After FAA Turned Down 1,000 ATC Applicants Because of DEI Policies."

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/202...n-near-reagan/